Elly De La Cruz
SHB
CIN
· 129 appearances tracked
24
HRs
18.6%
HR Rate
25.1%
Avg HR/FB
94.2
Avg EV
0.229
ISO
#1
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.234
Avg EV94.7
Barrel%12.5%
HR/FB vs LHP41.7%
Avg HR Dist404
Match%33.4%
Season HR%
18.9%
14D Pace
58.3%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-09-16
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
52.4%
17
Breaking
28.6%
6
Offspeed
19.0%
3
All
100%
15.9%
26
27.7%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Justin Wrobleski · LHP · CIN
SMALL SAMPLE · 1 PA · since 2025
1.000
AVG
1.000
SLG
0
HR
1-for-1 across 1 plate appearance since 2025. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Great American Ball +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather +4
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
12.5
vs
—
HR/FB
41.7
vs
13.6 ▲ edge
K%
27.7
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
24 this season · avg 406 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Mar 28
Sonny Gray · Great American Ball Park
—
106.8
379.0
Apr 10
Jack Kochanowicz · Great American Ball Park
—
110.0
384.0
Apr 12
José Soriano · Great American Ball Park
—
109.6
405.0
Apr 21
Steven Matz · Tropicana Field
—
108.5
406.0
Apr 25
Jack Flaherty · Great American Ball Park
—
107.6
415.0
May 17
Gavin Williams · Progressive Field
—
109.0
400.0
May 23
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
—
106.7
387.0
Jun 29
@ MIL · Robert Gasser
—
102.5
412
Jul 10
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
—
108.5
400
Jul 17
@ COL · Jeff Criswell
—
105.8
434
Jul 21
@ SEA · Luis Castillo
—
101.1
395
Jul 26
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
—
105.5
410
Aug 6
vs ATH · Mason Barnett
—
104.2
381
Aug 7
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
—
101.6
379
Sep 5
vs MIL · Dustin May
—
112.1
438
Sep 6
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
—
105.5
402
Sep 7
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
—
108.2
412
Sep 8
@ LAD · Tarik Skubal
—
109.4
444
Sep 9
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
—
106.7
403
Sep 14
vs LAD · Evan Phillips
—
114.1
457
Sep 16
vs LAD · Seth Halvorsen
—
106.4
391
HR by month
Jul
Aug
Sep
All Appearances
129 tracked · 24 HR · 103 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 16
vs LAD · Blake Snell
3
106.7
HR
3 BIP
Sep 15
vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
3
98.8
3 BIP
Sep 14
vs LAD · Tarik Skubal
2
114.1
HR
2 BIP
Sep 13
@ MIL · Robert Gasser
3
114.7
3 BIP
Sep 12
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
3
117.4
3 BIP
Sep 11
@ MIL · Dustin May
1
99.0
1 BIP
Sep 9
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2
106.7
HR
2 BIP
Sep 8
@ LAD · Tarik Skubal
4
109.4
HR
4 BIP
Sep 7
@ LAD · LAD Bullpen Proxy
2
108.2
HR
2 BIP
Sep 6
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
3
116.6
HR
3 BIP
Sep 5
vs MIL · Dustin May
2
112.1
HR
2 BIP
Sep 4
vs MIL · Shane Drohan
4
115.2
4 BIP
Sep 2
vs SD · Casey Mize
3
113.3
3 BIP
Sep 1
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
2
106.7
2 BIP
Aug 31
vs SD · Michael King
1
102.2
1 BIP
Aug 30
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
2
114.7
2 BIP
Aug 29
@ CHC · Kevin Gausman
1
83.9
1 BIP
Aug 28
@ CHC · David Peterson
4
100.5
4 BIP
Aug 26
@ SF · Logan Webb
6
112.1
6 BIP
Aug 25
@ SF · Adrian Houser
4
107.9
4 BIP
Aug 24
@ SF · Carson Whisenhunt
1
93.2
1 BIP
Aug 23
@ AZ · Mitch Bratt
3
99.7
3 BIP
Aug 22
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
5
115.2
HR
5 BIP
Aug 21
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
105.0
3 BIP
Aug 20
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
2
105.3
2 BIP
Aug 19
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
97.6
3 BIP
Aug 18
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
2
109.9
2 BIP
Aug 17
vs STL · Andre Pallante
3
110.9
3 BIP
Aug 16
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
2
107.0
2 BIP
Aug 15
vs MIA · Ryan Gusto
2
96.4
2 BIP
Aug 14
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
102.1
3 BIP
Aug 13
@ CWS · Davis Martin
2
84.6
2 BIP
Aug 12
@ CWS · Luis Castillo
3
104.1
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ CWS · Sean Burke
4
111.4
4 BIP
Aug 9
@ WSH · Brad Lord
3
90.3
3 BIP
Aug 8
@ WSH · Andrew Alvarez
3
104.2
3 BIP
Aug 7
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
2
101.6
HR
2 BIP
Aug 6
vs ATH · Mason Barnett
4
104.2
HR
4 BIP
Aug 5
vs ATH · Jacob Lopez
2
94.1
2 BIP
Aug 4
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
2
90.8
2 BIP
Aug 2
vs PIT · Mitch Keller
3
108.6
3 BIP
Aug 1
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
3
111.7
3 BIP
Jul 31
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
2
99.2
2 BIP
Jul 30
vs PIT · Yohan Ramírez
4
115.7
4 BIP
Jul 29
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
3
99.9
3 BIP
Jul 28
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
4
112.5
4 BIP
Jul 27
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
0
—
—
Jul 26
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
3
107.0
HR
3 BIP
Jul 25
@ STL · Andre Pallante
2
100.8
2 BIP
Jul 24
@ STL · Dustin May
3
110.2
3 BIP
Jul 22
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
3
85.1
3 BIP
Jul 21
@ SEA · Luis Castillo
3
101.1
HR
3 BIP
Jul 20
@ SEA · George Kirby
2
108.1
2 BIP
Jul 19
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
4
103.7
4 BIP
Jul 18
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
4
111.4
4 BIP
Jul 17
@ COL · Gabriel Hughes
5
105.8
HR
5 BIP
Jul 12
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
4
98.2
4 BIP
Jul 11
vs CHC · Javier Assad
3
112.4
3 BIP
Jul 10
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
5
108.5
HR
5 BIP
Jul 9
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
1
99.6
1 BIP
Jul 8
vs PHI · Alan Rangel
3
107.1
HR
3 BIP
Jul 7
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
2
107.9
2 BIP
Jul 5
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
1
65.0
1 BIP
Jul 4
vs BAL · Brandon Young
3
108.9
3 BIP
Jul 3
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
2
93.1
2 BIP
Jul 2
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
4
116.2
4 BIP
Jul 1
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
2
110.8
2 BIP
Jun 30
@ MIL · Brandon Sproat
3
113.9
3 BIP
Jun 29
@ MIL · Robert Gasser
3
102.5
HR
3 BIP
Jun 28
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
4
104.0
4 BIP
Jun 27
@ PIT · Jared Jones
3
107.0
3 BIP
Jun 26
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
3
97.2
3 BIP
Jun 24
vs MIL · Shane Drohan
4
111.6
4 BIP
Jun 23
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
1
100.5
1 BIP
May 31
vs ATL · Spencer Strider
2
111.5
2 BIP
May 30
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
3
106.6
3 BIP
May 29
vs ATL · Grant Holmes
1
91.9
1 BIP
May 27
@ NYM · Huascar Brazobán
3
101.1
3 BIP
May 26
@ NYM · David Peterson
3
108.7
3 BIP
May 25
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
1
105.5
1 BIP
May 24
vs STL · Brycen Mautz
0
—
—
May 23
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
6
111.7
HR
6 BIP
May 22
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
0
—
—
May 20
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
2
89.5
2 BIP
May 19
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
1
103.2
1 BIP
May 18
@ PHI · Andrew Painter
2
94.8
2 BIP
May 17
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
3
109.0
HR
3 BIP
May 16
@ CLE · Joey Cantillo
2
105.0
2 BIP
May 15
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
4
98.5
4 BIP
May 14
vs WSH · Foster Griffin
3
113.4
3 BIP
May 13
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
4
110.7
4 BIP
May 12
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
3
115.9
3 BIP
May 10
vs HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
4
109.0
4 BIP
May 9
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
87.0
3 BIP
May 8
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
3
108.0
3 BIP
May 7
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
4
116.3
4 BIP
May 6
@ CHC · Colin Rea
3
98.6
3 BIP
May 5
@ CHC · Jameson Taillon
4
95.2
4 BIP
May 4
@ CHC · Edward Cabrera
3
105.4
3 BIP
May 3
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
2
97.9
2 BIP
May 2
@ PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
1
87.7
1 BIP
May 1
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
3
94.2
3 BIP
Apr 30
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
2
74.7
2 BIP
Apr 29
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
2
97.0
2 BIP
Apr 26
vs DET · Keider Montero
1
76.8
1 BIP
Apr 25
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
3
115.3
HR
3 BIP
Apr 24
vs DET · Framber Valdez
4
112.6
4 BIP
Apr 22
@ TB · Nick Martinez
2
101.1
2 BIP
Apr 21
@ TB · Steven Matz
5
112.0
HR
5 BIP
Apr 19
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
4
109.3
4 BIP
Apr 18
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
3
108.9
3 BIP
Apr 17
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
3
112.2
3 BIP
Apr 16
vs SF · Landen Roupp
1
87.3
1 BIP
Apr 14
vs SF · Robbie Ray
2
103.4
2 BIP
Apr 12
vs LAA · José Soriano
4
109.6
HR
4 BIP
Apr 11
vs LAA · George Klassen
3
103.3
3 BIP
Apr 10
vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
3
110.0
HR
3 BIP
Apr 9
@ MIA · Max Meyer
2
105.7
2 BIP
Apr 8
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
2
91.9
2 BIP
Apr 7
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
97.4
3 BIP
Apr 6
@ MIA · Janson Junk
4
111.9
4 BIP
Apr 5
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
4
104.1
4 BIP
Apr 4
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
3
107.5
3 BIP
Apr 1
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
3
103.6
3 BIP
Mar 31
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
4
111.3
HR
4 BIP
Mar 30
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
2
110.1
2 BIP
Mar 29
vs BOS · Connelly Early
1
83.2
1 BIP
Mar 28
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
2
106.8
HR
2 BIP
Mar 26
vs BOS · Garrett Crochet
2
78.5
2 BIP
Ballpark
Great American Ball Park · open-air
Park Factor
1.070
Wind
7 mph from W
Temp
86°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
12:40p
7 ↑
86°
+10
1:40p
8 ↑
89°
+12
2:40p
8 ↑
89°
+12
3:40p
7 ↑
89°
+11
4:40p
7 ↑
90°
+11
+11
Slight green alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from WNW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Thu 9/17
Dueness now
0.00×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
4 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
0 gm
since his last HR, Sep 16
Season
24 HR
129 games · 7 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 23 gaps · median 4 gm · MAD ± 3 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 71 → 71
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
recent hr density 14d
HR/FB Matchup
season hr rate
Pitcher FIP
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Elly De La Cruz
Will Elly De La Cruz hit a home run today?
Elly De La Cruz is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #2 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Justin Wrobleski at Great American Ball Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Elly De La Cruz hit home runs?
Across 129 scored games this season, Elly De La Cruz has 24 home runs — one every 5.4 games, or about 19% of his scored games.
Has Elly De La Cruz homered off Justin Wrobleski before?
Not yet — Elly De La Cruz has faced Justin Wrobleski 1 time without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.