2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 4 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 5 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 6 Manny Machado 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 CJ Abrams 4 HRs · 9 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Rafael Devers 4 HRs · 12 Michael Busch 4 HRs 1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 4 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 5 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 6 Manny Machado 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 CJ Abrams 4 HRs · 9 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Rafael Devers 4 HRs · 12 Michael Busch 4 HRs
Splits Edge
Biggest handedness advantages on today's slate — where L/R matchups create real edges.
30 matchups with meaningful split edges
Historical Snapshot
Validated pre-game snapshot. This view was captured before first pitch.
refresh_14 - 2026-07-03T14:00:31-04:00
Handedness Edge — 2026-07-03
Sorted by edge magnitude
# Batter B/T Pitcher Overall HR/FB Matchup HR/FB Edge Tier Game
55 Alec Burleson L vs L David Peterson 4.0% 12.6% +215% 🟠 C STL @ CHC
156 Tj Friedl L vs L Trevor Rogers 5.0% 11.2% +124% ⚪ D BAL @ CIN
155 Luis Arraez L vs R Ryan Feltner 3.9% 8.2% +110% ⚪ D SF @ COL
148 Austin Martin R vs R Gerrit Cole 4.2% 8.2% +95% ⚪ D MIN @ NYY
22 Michael Conforto L vs R Andre Pallante 15.6% 29.6% +90% 🟠 C STL @ CHC
119 Xavier Edwards S vs R Jack Perkins 4.3% 8.1% +88% ⚪ D MIA @ ATH
173 Nico Hoerner R vs R Andre Pallante 4.1% 7.7% +88% ⚪ D STL @ CHC
161 Freddy Fermin R vs R Shohei Ohtani 4.0% 7.1% +78% ⚪ D SD @ LAD
122 Luis Torrens R vs R Grant Holmes 7.1% 12.4% +75% ⚪ D NYM @ ATL
196 Chandler Simpson L vs R Spencer Arrighetti 4.2% 7.2% +71% ⚪ D TB @ HOU
176 Richie Palacios L vs R Spencer Arrighetti 4.3% 7.3% +70% ⚪ D TB @ HOU
193 J.P. Crawford L vs R Dylan Cease 26.5% 8.6% -68% ⚪ D TOR @ SEA
144 Oswald Peraza R vs L Jake Bennett 29.4% 9.7% -67% ⚪ D BOS @ LAA
157 Caleb Durbin R vs L Reid Detmers 7.7% 12.8% +66% ⚪ D BOS @ LAA
134 Jo Adell R vs L Jake Bennett 26.1% 9.2% -65% ⚪ D BOS @ LAA
7 Kody Clemens L vs R Gerrit Cole 21.1% 34.7% +64% 🔵 C+ MIN @ NYY
118 Javier Sanoja R vs R Jack Perkins 5.0% 8.2% +64% ⚪ D MIA @ ATH
177 Nolan Schanuel L vs L Jake Bennett 20.0% 7.2% -64% ⚪ D BOS @ LAA
132 Colt Emerson L vs R Dylan Cease 45.5% 16.9% -63% ⚪ D TOR @ SEA
174 Randy Arozarena R vs R Dylan Cease 20.6% 7.7% -63% ⚪ D TOR @ SEA
169 Ildemaro Vargas S vs L Kyle Harrison 29.4% 11.2% -62% ⚪ D MIL @ AZ
127 Daniel Schneemann L vs L Anthony Kay 22.2% 8.6% -61% ⚪ D CWS @ CLE
109 Ivan Herrera R vs L David Peterson 31.2% 12.1% -61% ⚪ D STL @ CHC
95 Taylor Ward R vs R Brady Singer 6.0% 9.6% +60% ⚪ D BAL @ CIN
9 Paul Goldschmidt R vs R Mike Paredes 23.1% 36.6% +58% 🔵 C+ MIN @ NYY
160 Julio Rodríguez R vs R Dylan Cease 18.4% 7.7% -58% ⚪ D TOR @ SEA
124 Brandon Valenzuela S vs R Luis Castillo 22.7% 9.6% -58% ⚪ D TOR @ SEA
141 Jose Altuve R vs R Nick Martinez 22.6% 10.0% -56% ⚪ D TB @ HOU
91 Lawrence Butler L vs R Tyler Phillips 25.0% 11.1% -56% ⚪ D MIA @ ATH
149 Jacob Young R vs R Mitch Keller 18.9% 8.6% -54% ⚪ D PIT @ WSH
🔄
Six home runs to freedom

Uncover every splits advantage

Sign up to see all handedness edges on today's slate — find batters who crush specific pitcher types.

27 more waiting in the on-deck circle
What this means: The Edge column shows how much better (or worse) this specific handedness matchup is compared to the batter's overall HR/FB rate. A +40% edge means the batter's HR/FB rate is 40% higher in this specific L/R split — they mash this type of pitcher. Look for high-edge batters already ranked in the top 25 for the strongest plays. B/T = batter hand / pitcher throwing hand. Splits data sourced from FanGraphs platoon leaderboards with Bayesian regression for small samples.
THR 3.3.56 · build 557

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.