2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Ty France 5 HRs · 2 Eugenio Suárez 5 HRs · 3 Esmerlyn Valdez 5 HRs · 4 Nick Gonzales 4 HRs · 5 Drake Baldwin 4 HRs · 6 Salvador Perez 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 3 HRs · 8 Jacob Wilson 3 HRs · 9 Jackson Merrill 3 HRs · 10 Jeremy Peña 3 HRs · 11 Alex Bregman 3 HRs · 12 Ceddanne Rafaela 3 HRs 1 Ty France 5 HRs · 2 Eugenio Suárez 5 HRs · 3 Esmerlyn Valdez 5 HRs · 4 Nick Gonzales 4 HRs · 5 Drake Baldwin 4 HRs · 6 Salvador Perez 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 3 HRs · 8 Jacob Wilson 3 HRs · 9 Jackson Merrill 3 HRs · 10 Jeremy Peña 3 HRs · 11 Alex Bregman 3 HRs · 12 Ceddanne Rafaela 3 HRs
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOU · LHB
Yordan Alvarez

Yordan Alvarez

LHB
HOU · 66 appearances tracked
18 HRs
27.3% HR Rate
25.3% Avg HR/FB
94.2 Avg EV
0.336 ISO
#1 Best Rank
as of 2026-07-26
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
98
0.325
Avg EV
98
94.6
Barrel%
88
11.6%
HR/FB vs RHP
94
28.6%
Avg HR Dist
80
405
Match%
95
23.7%
Season HR%
28.4%
14D Pace
22.2%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
98
98
88
94
80
95
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 27 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-07-26
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 57.4%
19.6%
20
17.8%
Breaking 25.7%
24.4%
11
19.0%
Offspeed 16.9%
9.7%
3
14.6%
All 100% 18.9% 34 17.5%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Erick Fedde · RHP · HOU
SMALL SAMPLE · 5 PA · since 2022
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-4 and 1 walk across 5 plate appearances since 2022. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers 2 of 4 active
Rate Neutral Pitcher form Cold Platoon Edge Weather Neutral
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 11.6 vs
11.6
HR/FB 28.6 vs 9.1 ▲ edge
28.6
9.1
K% 17.5 vs
17.5
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 18 this season · avg 403 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Apr 15 Jose Quintana · Minute Maid Park 107.2 375.0
Apr 17 Kyle Leahy · Minute Maid Park 104.2 357.0
Apr 18 Andre Pallante · Minute Maid Park 109.2 421.0
Apr 19 Matthew Liberatore · Minute Maid Park 95.8 357.0
Apr 22 Tanner Bibee · Progressive Field 108.8 422.0
Apr 30 Chris Bassitt · Camden Yards 107.4 424.0
May 14 Luis Castillo · Minute Maid Park 110.7 422.0
May 16 Jacob deGrom · Minute Maid Park 97.8 362.0
Jun 2 vs PIT · Bubba Chandler 103.0 363
Jun 30 vs MIN · Joe Ryan 105.7 395
Jul 3 vs TB · Nick Martinez 106.6 427
Jul 4 vs TB · Casey Legumina 108.3 424
Jul 10 @ TEX · Cal Quantrill 111.2 455
Jul 11 @ TEX · Kumar Rocker 112.8 425
Jul 20 vs MIA · Lake Bachar 108.3 419
Jul 22 vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara 104.9 394
HR by month
2
2
6
May Jun Jul
All Appearances 66 tracked · 18 HR · 60 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Jul 25 @ CWS · Sean Burke 2 98.8 2 BIP
Jul 24 @ CWS · Davis Martin 3 115.7 3 BIP
Jul 22 vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara 4 104.9 HR 4 BIP
Jul 21 vs MIA · Tyler Phillips 3 98.1 3 BIP
Jul 20 vs MIA · Janson Junk 3 114.2 HR 3 BIP
Jul 19 vs BAL · Brandon Young 3 95.9 3 BIP
Jul 18 vs BAL · Trevor Rogers 3 108.3 3 BIP
Jul 17 vs BAL · Dean Kremer 3 104.0 3 BIP
Jul 12 @ TEX · MacKenzie Gore 3 91.6 3 BIP
Jul 11 @ TEX · Kumar Rocker 3 112.8 HR 3 BIP
Jul 10 @ TEX · Cal Quantrill 4 111.2 HR 4 BIP
Jul 8 @ WSH · Foster Griffin 2 87.4 2 BIP
Jul 7 @ WSH · Andrew Alvarez 4 104.7 4 BIP
Jul 6 @ WSH · Miles Mikolas 3 108.8 3 BIP
Jul 5 vs TB · Mason Englert 3 89.8 3 BIP
Jul 4 vs TB · Drew Rasmussen 5 108.3 HR 5 BIP
Jul 3 vs TB · Nick Martinez 3 118.5 HR 3 BIP
Jul 1 vs MIN · Taj Bradley 4 107.1 4 BIP
Jun 30 vs MIN · Joe Ryan 3 115.1 HR 3 BIP
Jun 29 vs MIN · Zebby Matthews 2 105.2 2 BIP
Jun 28 @ DET · Jack Flaherty 2 100.5 2 BIP
Jun 26 @ DET · Keider Montero 1 98.1 1 BIP
Jun 24 @ TOR · Trey Yesavage 2 96.6 2 BIP
Jun 23 @ TOR · TOR Bullpen Proxy 4 105.4 4 BIP
Jun 22 @ TOR · Dylan Cease 1 88.6 1 BIP
Jun 4 vs PIT · Jared Jones 3 115.1 3 BIP
Jun 3 vs PIT · Paul Skenes 5 106.3 5 BIP
Jun 2 vs PIT · Bubba Chandler 4 107.1 HR 4 BIP
May 31 vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski 0
May 30 vs MIL · Brandon Sproat 3 115.1 3 BIP
May 29 vs MIL · Coleman Crow 2 112.7 2 BIP
May 25 @ TEX · Kumar Rocker 4 110.6 HR 4 BIP
May 23 @ CHC · Colin Rea 1 81.3 1 BIP
May 22 @ CHC · Jameson Taillon 2 87.0 2 BIP
May 20 @ MIN · Joe Ryan 4 99.8 4 BIP
May 18 @ MIN · Kendry Rojas 2 87.0 2 BIP
May 17 vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi 1 99.9 1 BIP
May 16 vs TEX · Jacob deGrom 3 99.3 HR 3 BIP
May 15 vs TEX · Jack Leiter 3 110.0 3 BIP
May 14 vs SEA · Luis Castillo 3 110.7 HR 3 BIP
May 13 vs SEA · Bryce Miller 3 89.1 3 BIP
May 12 vs SEA · Bryan Woo 1 78.6 1 BIP
May 11 vs SEA · George Kirby 2 107.9 2 BIP
May 10 @ CIN · Andrew Abbott 0
May 9 @ CIN · Chase Burns 1 109.7 1 BIP
May 6 vs LAD · Tyler Glasnow 1 102.7 1 BIP
May 5 vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani 3 113.4 3 BIP
May 4 vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 2 112.9 2 BIP
May 3 @ BOS · Ranger Suarez 3 107.1 3 BIP
May 2 @ BOS · Connelly Early 3 111.4 3 BIP
Apr 30 @ BAL · Chris Bassitt 5 107.4 HR 5 BIP
Apr 29 @ BAL · Chris Bassitt 0
Apr 28 @ BAL · Shane Baz 4 99.4 4 BIP
Apr 26 vs NYY · Luis Gil 4 107.8 4 BIP
Apr 25 vs NYY · Ryan Weathers 4 95.6 4 BIP
Apr 24 vs NYY · Will Warren 3 111.2 3 BIP
Apr 22 @ CLE · Tanner Bibee 4 108.8 HR 4 BIP
Apr 21 @ CLE · Parker Messick 5 100.8 5 BIP
Apr 20 @ CLE · Slade Cecconi 5 106.3 5 BIP
Apr 19 vs STL · Matthew Liberatore 5 95.8 HR 5 BIP
Apr 18 vs STL · Andre Pallante 3 117.8 HR 3 BIP
Apr 17 vs STL · Kyle Leahy 5 111.0 HR 5 BIP
Apr 16 vs COL · Juan Mejia 3 91.7 3 BIP
Apr 15 vs COL · Jose Quintana 3 107.2 HR 3 BIP
Apr 10 @ SEA · Emerson Hancock 3 104.5 HR 3 BIP
Mar 29 vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz 2 102.2 2 BIP
Ballpark Rate Field · open-air
Park Factor 0.876 Wind Temp Roof
TimeWindTempFIT
-4
Neutral alignment
true spray · park signal · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
3% 10% 26% 32% 29% OPPO PULL Rate Field
August 2026
All batters →
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game Sun 7/26
Dueness now
1.00×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
2 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
2 gm
since his last HR, Jul 22
Season
18 HR
66 games · 2 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 17 gaps · median 2 gm · MAD ± 1 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

Score Breakdown Base 67 → 67
ISO (Power)
+29.9
Barrel Matchup
+16.4
season hr rate
+5.9
Pitcher FIP
+5.6
HR/FB Matchup
+3.8
recent hr density 14d
+2.4
Exit Velocity
+2.0
Park Factor
+1.0
Six home runs to freedom

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