Tyler Stephenson
RHB
CIN
· 106 appearances tracked
11
HRs
10.4%
HR Rate
14.1%
Avg HR/FB
91.6
Avg EV
0.146
ISO
#3
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.168
Avg EV91.0
Barrel%10.1%
HR/FB vs RHP22.0%
Avg HR Dist392
Match%12.0%
Season HR%
10.2%
14D Pace
15.4%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-31
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
53.0%
9
Breaking
34.5%
4
Offspeed
12.5%
0
All
100%
12.2%
13
27.3%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Michael King · RHP · CIN
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Michael King in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
Great American Ball +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Even
Weather +2
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
10.1
vs
—
HR/FB
22.0
vs
14.3 ▲ edge
K%
27.3
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
11 this season · avg 400 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Aug 6
vs ATH · Mason Barnett
—
103.7
406
Aug 30
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
—
102.7
394
HR by month
Aug
All Appearances
106 tracked · 11 HR · 19 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 30
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
5
103.0
HR
5 BIP
Aug 29
@ CHC · Kevin Gausman
2
103.5
2 BIP
Aug 28
@ CHC · David Peterson
3
103.0
HR
3 BIP
Aug 25
@ SF · Adrian Houser
2
98.8
2 BIP
Aug 24
@ SF · Carson Whisenhunt
2
101.7
2 BIP
Aug 23
@ AZ · Mitch Bratt
2
90.2
2 BIP
Aug 22
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
4
106.2
4 BIP
Aug 21
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
0
—
—
Aug 20
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
2
93.1
2 BIP
Aug 19
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
2
78.1
2 BIP
Aug 18
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
0
—
—
Aug 17
vs STL · Andre Pallante
2
90.8
2 BIP
Aug 15
vs MIA · Ryan Gusto
2
88.8
2 BIP
Aug 14
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
4
101.3
4 BIP
Aug 13
@ CWS · Davis Martin
3
103.2
HR
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ CWS · Sean Burke
3
97.3
3 BIP
Aug 9
@ WSH · Brad Lord
2
104.3
2 BIP
Aug 7
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
3
96.7
3 BIP
Aug 6
vs ATH · Mason Barnett
2
103.7
HR
2 BIP
Aug 4
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
4
98.4
4 BIP
Aug 2
vs PIT · Mitch Keller
3
102.6
HR
3 BIP
Jul 31
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
1
93.7
1 BIP
Jul 30
vs PIT · Yohan Ramírez
1
94.1
1 BIP
Jul 29
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
2
94.5
2 BIP
Jul 28
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
3
102.3
3 BIP
Jul 27
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
0
—
—
Jul 25
@ STL · Andre Pallante
2
93.8
2 BIP
Jul 24
@ STL · Dustin May
2
104.2
2 BIP
Jul 22
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
4
102.1
4 BIP
Jul 21
@ SEA · Luis Castillo
0
—
—
Jul 20
@ SEA · George Kirby
2
99.7
2 BIP
Jul 19
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
4
105.1
HR
4 BIP
Jul 17
@ COL · Gabriel Hughes
1
93.7
1 BIP
Jul 12
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
4
96.3
4 BIP
Jul 10
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
4
95.7
4 BIP
Jul 9
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
3
100.7
3 BIP
Jul 7
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
1
93.8
1 BIP
Jul 5
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
3
91.5
3 BIP
Jul 3
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
3
92.0
3 BIP
Jul 1
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
3
104.5
3 BIP
Jun 29
@ MIL · Robert Gasser
3
100.7
3 BIP
Jun 28
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
3
104.8
3 BIP
Jun 26
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
4
104.6
4 BIP
Jun 24
vs MIL · Shane Drohan
1
97.6
1 BIP
Jun 22
vs MIL · Brandon Woodruff
3
102.4
3 BIP
Jun 21
@ NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
4
104.0
HR
4 BIP
Jun 19
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
1
96.8
1 BIP
Jun 16
vs NYM · Kodai Senga
2
99.1
2 BIP
Jun 15
vs NYM · Tobias Myers
3
105.9
3 BIP
Jun 13
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
1
63.9
1 BIP
Jun 12
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
0
—
—
Jun 9
@ SD · Lucas Giolito
4
98.8
4 BIP
Jun 8
@ SD · Walker Buehler
2
108.3
2 BIP
Jun 7
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
4
103.3
HR
4 BIP
Jun 5
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
4
100.9
4 BIP
Jun 3
vs KC · Stephen Kolek
2
97.7
2 BIP
Jun 2
vs KC · Noah Cameron
1
86.9
1 BIP
Jun 1
vs KC · Luinder Avila
2
89.8
2 BIP
May 30
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
3
108.5
3 BIP
May 29
vs ATL · Grant Holmes
4
96.5
4 BIP
May 27
@ NYM · Huascar Brazobán
3
107.1
3 BIP
May 26
@ NYM · David Peterson
3
97.4
3 BIP
May 25
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
1
103.3
HR
1 BIP
May 24
vs STL · Brycen Mautz
0
—
—
May 23
vs STL · Andre Pallante
2
95.1
2 BIP
May 22
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
0
—
—
May 19
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
1
96.0
1 BIP
May 18
@ PHI · Andrew Painter
3
90.5
3 BIP
May 17
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
2
93.1
2 BIP
May 15
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
93.5
3 BIP
May 13
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
3
105.5
HR
3 BIP
May 12
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
4
104.8
4 BIP
May 10
vs HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
3
78.0
3 BIP
May 9
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
0
—
—
May 8
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
2
97.1
2 BIP
May 7
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
2
99.3
2 BIP
May 6
@ CHC · Colin Rea
1
94.2
1 BIP
May 5
@ CHC · Jameson Taillon
2
89.6
2 BIP
May 4
@ CHC · Edward Cabrera
2
96.7
2 BIP
May 3
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
0
—
—
May 2
@ PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
3
105.0
3 BIP
May 1
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
3
98.3
3 BIP
Apr 30
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
3
103.2
3 BIP
Apr 29
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
1
101.0
1 BIP
Apr 25
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
1
97.2
1 BIP
Apr 24
vs DET · Framber Valdez
1
99.5
1 BIP
Apr 22
@ TB · Nick Martinez
0
—
—
Apr 21
@ TB · Steven Matz
1
89.4
1 BIP
Apr 19
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
2
98.7
2 BIP
Apr 18
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
2
101.9
2 BIP
Apr 17
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
2
105.0
2 BIP
Apr 14
vs SF · Robbie Ray
0
—
—
Apr 11
vs LAA · George Klassen
2
91.5
2 BIP
Apr 10
vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
3
97.7
3 BIP
Apr 9
@ MIA · Max Meyer
0
—
—
Apr 8
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
2
104.0
2 BIP
Apr 7
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
0
—
—
Apr 6
@ MIA · Janson Junk
3
100.1
HR
3 BIP
Apr 5
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
2
106.4
2 BIP
Apr 4
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
0
—
—
Apr 1
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
3
106.6
3 BIP
Mar 31
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
0
—
—
Mar 30
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
2
101.8
2 BIP
Mar 29
vs BOS · Connelly Early
2
91.8
2 BIP
Mar 28
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
0
—
—
Mar 26
vs BOS · Garrett Crochet
3
93.4
3 BIP
Ballpark
Great American Ball Park · open-air
Park Factor
1.074
Wind
4 mph from NW
Temp
86°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:40p
4 ↗
86°
+8
7:40p
2 ↗
83°
+5
8:40p
2 ↗
81°
+5
9:40p
3 ↗
79°
+5
10:40p
4 ↗
77°
+2
+5
Slight green alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to pull (from W)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Mon 8/31
Dueness now
0.00×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
9 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
0 gm
since his last HR, Aug 30
Season
11 HR
106 games · 2 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 10 gaps · median 9 gm · MAD ± 4.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 52 → 52
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
Pitcher FIP
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Tyler Stephenson
Will Tyler Stephenson hit a home run today?
Tyler Stephenson is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #47 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Michael King at Great American Ball Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Tyler Stephenson hit home runs?
Across 106 scored games this season, Tyler Stephenson has 11 home runs — one every 9.6 games, or about 10% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.