Luis García Jr.
WSH
· 65 appearances tracked
9
HRs
13.8%
HR Rate
18.1%
Avg HR/FB
91.8
Avg EV
0.182
ISO
#3
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
44.1%
13
Breaking
29.5%
10
Offspeed
26.4%
7
All
100%
12.1%
30
17.7%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
17.7
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
9 this season · avg 393 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Aug 20
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
—
107.1
413
Aug 22
vs TOR · Tyler Rogers
—
108.6
387
Aug 25
vs HOU · Ethan Pecko
—
109.5
379
Aug 26
vs HOU · Enyel De Los Santos
—
99.5
354
Sep 9
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
—
105.6
413
Sep 10
vs COL · Ryan Feltner
—
103.7
413
HR by month
Aug
Sep
All Appearances
65 tracked · 9 HR · 24 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 23
vs TB · Mason Englert
2
90.9
2 BIP
Sep 20
vs NYY · Corbin Burnes
4
98.1
4 BIP
Sep 16
vs NYY · Zebby Matthews
1
89.3
1 BIP
Sep 15
vs NYY · Bailey Ober
4
106.0
4 BIP
Sep 14
vs NYY · Dean Kremer
3
102.6
3 BIP
Sep 13
vs NYM · Christian Scott
3
95.4
3 BIP
Sep 11
vs NYM · Nolan McLean
4
109.6
4 BIP
Sep 10
vs COL · Ryan Feltner
5
103.7
HR
5 BIP
Sep 9
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
2
105.6
HR
2 BIP
Sep 8
vs COL · Gabriel Hughes
3
103.4
3 BIP
Sep 6
vs NYY · Michael King
2
101.2
2 BIP
Aug 30
vs BOS · Ranger Suarez
3
110.0
3 BIP
Aug 27
vs HOU · Hayden Wesneski
2
105.5
2 BIP
Aug 26
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
5
99.5
HR
5 BIP
Aug 25
vs HOU · HOU Bullpen Proxy
5
111.1
HR
5 BIP
Aug 23
vs TOR · José Soriano
3
98.9
3 BIP
Aug 22
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
2
108.6
HR
2 BIP
Aug 20
vs NYY · Kyle Bradish
3
111.6
HR
3 BIP
Aug 19
vs NYY · Chris Bassitt
4
104.6
4 BIP
Aug 18
vs NYY · Shane Baz
2
89.9
2 BIP
Aug 16
vs NYY · Dylan Cease
3
104.2
3 BIP
Aug 15
vs NYY · Braydon Fisher
2
108.7
2 BIP
Aug 14
vs NYY · Shane Bieber
3
101.0
3 BIP
Aug 13
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
3
99.0
3 BIP
Jun 3
vs MIA · Max Meyer
2
84.3
2 BIP
Jun 2
vs MIA · Lake Bachar
3
108.5
3 BIP
Jun 1
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
75.0
3 BIP
May 31
vs SD · Griffin Canning
3
111.2
HR
3 BIP
May 30
vs SD · Michael King
4
105.2
4 BIP
May 29
vs SD · Lucas Giolito
4
108.9
4 BIP
May 27
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
2
100.5
2 BIP
May 25
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
4
108.1
HR
4 BIP
May 23
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
3
98.6
3 BIP
May 21
vs NYM · David Peterson
1
91.9
1 BIP
May 20
vs NYM · Zach Thornton
2
107.3
2 BIP
May 19
vs NYM · Nolan McLean
3
97.0
3 BIP
May 18
vs NYM · Christian Scott
3
105.4
3 BIP
May 17
vs BAL · Brandon Young
4
110.6
4 BIP
May 16
vs BAL · Chris Bassitt
3
106.1
3 BIP
May 15
vs BAL · Shane Baz
3
100.3
3 BIP
May 14
@ CIN · Chase Burns
2
102.4
2 BIP
May 12
@ CIN · Brady Singer
4
101.4
HR
4 BIP
May 10
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
4
108.0
4 BIP
May 9
@ MIA · Janson Junk
5
106.4
5 BIP
May 6
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
0
—
—
May 5
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
0
—
—
May 2
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
2
86.2
2 BIP
May 1
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
2
82.5
2 BIP
Apr 30
@ NYM · Freddy Peralta
3
106.3
3 BIP
Apr 29
@ NYM · David Peterson
0
—
—
Apr 28
@ NYM · Clay Holmes
3
107.8
3 BIP
Apr 26
@ CWS · Bryan Hudson
3
102.8
3 BIP
Apr 25
@ CWS · Noah Schultz
2
100.9
2 BIP
Apr 24
@ CWS · Bryan Hudson
4
105.3
4 BIP
Apr 23
vs ATL · JR Ritchie
2
101.7
2 BIP
Apr 21
vs ATL · Reynaldo López
5
97.9
5 BIP
Apr 20
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
3
84.7
3 BIP
Apr 19
vs SF · Robbie Ray
1
82.1
1 BIP
Apr 18
vs SF · Adrian Houser
3
107.6
3 BIP
Apr 17
vs SF · Logan Webb
2
110.9
2 BIP
Apr 16
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
2
84.4
2 BIP
Apr 14
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
2
104.1
2 BIP
Apr 12
@ MIL · Brandon Woodruff
3
107.3
3 BIP
Apr 10
@ MIL · Aaron Ashby
3
97.0
3 BIP
Mar 28
@ CHC · Cade Horton
4
109.7
4 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
1.75×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
4 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
7 gm
since his last HR, Sep 10
Season
9 HR
65 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 8 gaps · median 4 gm · MAD ± 3.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Luis García Jr.
Will Luis García Jr. hit a home run today?
Luis García Jr. is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 9 times in 65 scored games (about 14% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Luis García Jr. hit home runs?
Across 65 scored games this season, Luis García Jr. has 9 home runs — one every 7.2 games, or about 14% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.