MLB Home Run Predictions — May 31, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-05-31: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for May 31, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
29
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
2/15
Top-15 picks that homered
49.1 vs 44.8
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #4 | James Wood | Griffin Canning | 83 | A Excellent |
| #12 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | Nick Lodolo | 75 | B AboveAvg |
| #24 | Juan Soto | John King | 70 | B AboveAvg |
| #25 | Dominic Canzone | Merrill Kelly | 70 | B AboveAvg |
| #28 | Jake Bauers | Tatsuya Imai | 69 | C+ Value |
| #32 | Max Muncy | Andrew Painter | 68 | C+ Value |
| #38 | Jorge Mateo | Nick Lodolo | 66 | C+ Value |
| #43 | Colson Montgomery | Keider Montero | 64 | C+ Value |
| #44 | Jarren Duran | Tanner Bibee | 64 | C+ Value |
| #45 | Jonathan Aranda | Jack Kochanowicz | 63 | C+ Value |
| #54 | Willy Adames | Tanner Gordon | 61 | C+ Value |
| #104 | Bryson Stott | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 49 | D Below |
| #106 | Eugenio Suárez | Spencer Strider | 49 | D Below |
| #114 | Bryce Eldridge | Tanner Gordon | 48 | D Below |
| #116 | Brent Rooker | Will Warren | 47 | D Below |
| #118 | Luis García Jr. | Griffin Canning | 47 | D Below |
| #130 | Ryan O'Hearn | Zebby Matthews | 45 | D Below |
| #140 | Alex Freeland | Andrew Painter | 43 | D Below |
| #144 | Colton Cowser | Spencer Miles | 42 | D Below |
| #170 | Cole Young | Merrill Kelly | 39 | D Below |
| #186 | Michael Massey | Jack Leiter | 35 | D Below |
| #193 | Ryan Ward | Andrew Painter | 34 | D Below |
| #204 | Alex Bregman | Matthew Liberatore | 32 | D Below |
| #209 | Marcus Semien | John King | 32 | D Below |
| #210 | Carson Benge | John King | 32 | D Below |
| #217 | Brooks Lee | Braxton Ashcraft | 31 | D Below |
| #220 | Jonah Heim | Will Warren | 30 | D Below |
| #246 | Logan O'Hoppe | Shane McClanahan | 24 | D Below |
| #268 | Nick Gonzales | Zebby Matthews | 11 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Willy Adames, Bryson Stott, Eugenio Suárez, Bryce Eldridge, Brent Rooker, Luis García Jr., Ryan O'Hearn, Alex Freeland, Colton Cowser, Cole Young, Michael Massey, Ryan Ward, Alex Bregman, Marcus Semien, Carson Benge, Brooks Lee, Jonah Heim, Logan O'Hoppe, Nick Gonzales
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.