MLB Home Run Predictions — June 1, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-06-01: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for June 1, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
24
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
2/15
Top-15 picks that homered
44.0 vs 41.8
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2 | JJ Bleday | Luinder Avila | 77 | B AboveAvg |
| #10 | Dillon Dingler | Griffin Jax | 66 | C+ Value |
| #18 | Hunter Goodman | José Soriano | 62 | C+ Value |
| #23 | Junior Caminero | Ty Madden | 60 | C+ Value |
| #24 | Miguel Vargas | Joe Ryan | 60 | C+ Value |
| #34 | Kerry Carpenter | Griffin Jax | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #39 | Jac Caglianone | Lyon Richardson | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #48 | Michael Massey | Lyon Richardson | 49 | D Below |
| #54 | Ketel Marte | Emmet Sheehan | 48 | D Below |
| #57 | Jacob Young | Sandy Alcantara | 48 | D Below |
| #73 | Nolan Arenado | Emmet Sheehan | 45 | D Below |
| #78 | Jake Mccarthy | José Soriano | 43 | D Below |
| #90 | Riley Greene | Griffin Jax | 40 | D Below |
| #92 | Liam Hicks | Cade Cavalli | 39 | D Below |
| #94 | Kyle Stowers | Cade Cavalli | 38 | D Below |
| #98 | Andrew Benintendi | Joe Ryan | 37 | D Below |
| #101 | Marcus Semien | Emerson Hancock | 37 | D Below |
| #117 | Tristan Gray | David Sandlin | 34 | D Below |
| #119 | Alek Thomas | Emmet Sheehan | 32 | D Below |
| #120 | Hao-Yu Lee | Griffin Jax | 32 | D Below |
| #122 | Lane Thomas | Lyon Richardson | 32 | D Below |
| #138 | Masyn Winn | Jacob deGrom | 24 | D Below |
| #140 | Matt Chapman | Shane Drohan | 23 | D Below |
| #144 | Josh Naylor | Austin Warren | 21 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Ketel Marte, Jacob Young, Nolan Arenado, Jake Mccarthy, Riley Greene, Liam Hicks, Kyle Stowers, Andrew Benintendi, Marcus Semien, Tristan Gray, Alek Thomas, Hao-Yu Lee, Lane Thomas, Masyn Winn, Matt Chapman, Josh Naylor
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.