MLB Home Run Predictions — June 2, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-06-02: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for June 2, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
29
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
4/15
Top-15 picks that homered
52.0 vs 42.5
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Yordan Alvarez | Bubba Chandler | 87 | A Excellent |
| #11 | Brandon Lowe | Mike Burrows | 73 | B AboveAvg |
| #13 | Oneil Cruz | Mike Burrows | 71 | B AboveAvg |
| #15 | Bryce Harper | Randy Vásquez | 70 | B AboveAvg |
| #17 | Nick Kurtz | Jameson Taillon | 69 | C+ Value |
| #21 | Hunter Goodman | Grayson Rodriguez | 68 | C+ Value |
| #22 | Matt Olson | Kevin Gausman | 68 | C+ Value |
| #44 | Pete Alonso | Connelly Early | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #52 | Wenceel Pérez | Steven Matz | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #53 | Coby Mayo | Connelly Early | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #54 | Jake Bauers | Trevor McDonald | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #57 | Corbin Carroll | Eric Lauer | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #68 | Gavin Sheets | Aaron Nola | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #80 | Paul Goldschmidt | Joey Cantillo | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #86 | Willy Adames | Kyle Harrison | 49 | D Below |
| #90 | Kazuma Okamoto | Bryce Elder | 48 | D Below |
| #92 | Riley Greene | Steven Matz | 48 | D Below |
| #93 | Freddie Freeman | Michael Soroka | 48 | D Below |
| #96 | Spencer Steer | Noah Cameron | 47 | D Below |
| #104 | Tj Rumfield | Grayson Rodriguez | 45 | D Below |
| #146 | Nolan Gorman | Nathan Eovaldi | 40 | D Below |
| #147 | Gleyber Torres | Steven Matz | 40 | D Below |
| #154 | Kyle Manzardo | Cam Schlittler | 38 | D Below |
| #164 | Carson Benge | Logan Gilbert | 38 | D Below |
| #165 | Otto Lopez | Richard Lovelady | 37 | D Below |
| #174 | Joe Mack | Richard Lovelady | 35 | D Below |
| #175 | Heriberto Hernández | Richard Lovelady | 35 | D Below |
| #182 | Willi Castro | Grayson Rodriguez | 34 | D Below |
| #189 | Endy Rodríguez | Mike Burrows | 33 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Wenceel Pérez, Coby Mayo, Jake Bauers, Corbin Carroll, Gavin Sheets, Paul Goldschmidt, Willy Adames, Kazuma Okamoto, Riley Greene, Freddie Freeman, Spencer Steer, Tj Rumfield, Nolan Gorman, Gleyber Torres, Kyle Manzardo, Carson Benge, Otto Lopez, Joe Mack, Heriberto Hernández, Willi Castro, Endy Rodríguez
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.