MLB Home Run Predictions — June 3, 2026

The graded receipt for 2026-06-03: what the model predicted, what actually happened.

Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for June 3, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.

HRs by scored batters

1/5

Top-5 picks that homered

2/15

Top-15 picks that homered

39.6 vs 42.8

Avg score: HR vs miss

Catch rates by cutoff

How many of our top-N picks went yard on 2026-06-03.

Top 5

1/5

20.0%

Top 10

2/10

20.0%

Top 15

2/15

13.3%

Top 25

2/25

8.0%

Home runs, graded

29 home runs by batters the model scored that day, listed by model rank. Low rank = the model called it; high rank = an honest miss.

Rank	Batter	Vs pitcher	Score	Tier
#2	Dillon Dingler	Nick Martinez Tropicana Field	77	B AboveAvg
#8	Kyle Schwarber	Walker Buehler Citizens Bank Park	71	B AboveAvg
#67	Pete Crow-Armstrong	Jeffrey Springs Wrigley Field	54	C BelowAvg
#72	Henry Davis	Spencer Arrighetti Minute Maid Park	52	C BelowAvg
#87	Vaughn Grissom	Michael Lorenzen Angel Stadium	49	D Below
#102	Esteury Ruiz	Andrew Alvarez Nationals Park	46	D Below
#111	Rhys Hoskins	Gerrit Cole Yankee Stadium	45	D Below
#117	Andrew Benintendi	Taj Bradley Target Field	44	D Below
#122	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Gavin Williams Yankee Stadium	43	D Below
#126	Seiya Suzuki	Jeffrey Springs Wrigley Field	42	D Below
#135	J.P. Crawford	Freddy Peralta T-Mobile Park	41	D Below
#152	José Ramírez	Gerrit Cole Yankee Stadium	38	D Below
#157	Kyle Manzardo	Gerrit Cole Yankee Stadium	37	D Below
#159	Vinnie Pasquantino	Chase Burns Great American Ball Park	37	D Below
#161	Ozzie Albies	Patrick Corbin Truist Park	37	D Below
#162	Wilyer Abreu	Chris Bassitt Fenway Park	37	D Below
#184	Brandon Valenzuela	Grant Holmes Truist Park	34	D Below
#186	Blake Dunn	Stephen Kolek Great American Ball Park	34	D Below
#190	Kyle Tucker	Zac Gallen Chase Field	34	D Below
#193	J.T. Realmuto	Walker Buehler Citizens Bank Park	34	D Below
#194	Nick Gonzales	Spencer Arrighetti Minute Maid Park	34	D Below
#200	Jake Rogers	Nick Martinez Tropicana Field	33	D Below
#201	Nathan Lukes	Grant Holmes Truist Park	33	D Below
#207	Isaac Paredes	Paul Skenes Minute Maid Park	30	D Below
#209	Nick Loftin	Chase Burns Great American Ball Park	29	D Below
#214	José Caballero	Gavin Williams Yankee Stadium	28	D Below
#215	Mauricio Dubón	Patrick Corbin Truist Park	28	D Below
#236	Cedric Mullins	Troy Melton Tropicana Field	24	D Below
#245	Victor Bericoto	Robert Gasser American Family Field	22	D Below

Outside the top 50

Batters who homered but sat below our top-50 cut — the misses stay on the page.

Pete Crow-Armstrong, Henry Davis, Vaughn Grissom, Esteury Ruiz, Rhys Hoskins, Andrew Benintendi, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Seiya Suzuki, J.P. Crawford, José Ramírez, Kyle Manzardo, Vinnie Pasquantino, Ozzie Albies, Wilyer Abreu, Brandon Valenzuela, Blake Dunn, Kyle Tucker, J.T. Realmuto, Nick Gonzales, Jake Rogers, Nathan Lukes, Isaac Paredes, Nick Loftin, José Caballero, Mauricio Dubón, Cedric Mullins, Victor Bericoto

The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.

Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.

See plans

MLB Home Run Predictions — June 3, 2026

Catch rates by cutoff

Home runs, graded

Outside the top 50

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.