MLB Home Run Predictions — June 4, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-06-04: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for June 4, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
22
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
2/15
Top-15 picks that homered
49.0 vs 41.8
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #8 | Eric Haase | Coleman Crow | 68 | C+ Value |
| #9 | Shea Langeliers | Shota Imanaga | 68 | C+ Value |
| #16 | Byron Buxton | Seth Lugo | 65 | C+ Value |
| #18 | Ian Happ | J.T. Ginn | 63 | C+ Value |
| #20 | Casey Schmitt | Coleman Crow | 62 | C+ Value |
| #39 | Jackson Chourio | Adrian Houser | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #41 | Jonah Heim | Shota Imanaga | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #45 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | J.T. Ginn | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #47 | Willson Contreras | Trevor Rogers | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #48 | Tyler Soderstrom | Shota Imanaga | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #49 | Manny Machado | Zack Wheeler | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #54 | Ryan O'Hearn | Kai-Wei Teng | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #58 | Isaac Paredes | Jared Jones | 48 | D Below |
| #61 | Corbin Carroll | Justin Wrobleski | 47 | D Below |
| #62 | Kody Clemens | Seth Lugo | 47 | D Below |
| #71 | Ketel Marte | Justin Wrobleski | 44 | D Below |
| #88 | Adolis García | Lucas Giolito | 40 | D Below |
| #98 | Jackson Merrill | Zack Wheeler | 37 | D Below |
| #103 | Michael Massey | Andrew Morris | 36 | D Below |
| #119 | David Hamilton | Adrian Houser | 33 | D Below |
| #128 | Mauricio Dubón | Mason Fluharty | 30 | D Below |
| #151 | Victor Caratini | Seth Lugo | 17 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Ryan O'Hearn, Isaac Paredes, Corbin Carroll, Kody Clemens, Ketel Marte, Adolis García, Jackson Merrill, Michael Massey, David Hamilton, Mauricio Dubón, Victor Caratini
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.