Ezequiel Tovar
COL
· 135 appearances tracked
12
HRs
8.9%
HR Rate
9.6%
Avg HR/FB
87.7
Avg EV
0.125
ISO
#19
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
52.3%
5
Breaking
35.8%
5
Offspeed
11.9%
3
All
100%
7.0%
13
25.5%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
25.5
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
12 this season · avg 393 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Jul 6
@ LAD · Eric Lauer
—
100.9
393
HR by month
Jul
All Appearances
135 tracked · 12 HR · 7 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 27
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
3
99.5
3 BIP
Sep 26
@ CWS · Davis Martin
4
105.7
HR
4 BIP
Sep 25
@ CWS · Sean Burke
1
77.9
1 BIP
Sep 24
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
97.7
3 BIP
Sep 23
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
4
101.5
HR
4 BIP
Sep 20
vs SEA · Kade Anderson
1
72.5
1 BIP
Sep 19
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
1
—
1 BIP
Sep 18
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
3
106.6
3 BIP
Sep 16
vs SD · Robbie Ray
3
102.4
3 BIP
Sep 15
vs SD · Walker Buehler
0
—
—
Sep 14
vs SD · Casey Mize
3
106.7
3 BIP
Sep 12
@ DET · Andrew Sears
3
107.3
HR
3 BIP
Sep 11
@ DET · Framber Valdez
1
28.8
1 BIP
Sep 10
@ NYY · Max Fried
3
94.0
3 BIP
Sep 8
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
2
71.2
2 BIP
Sep 6
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
1
90.3
1 BIP
Sep 5
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
92.4
3 BIP
Sep 2
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
0
—
—
Sep 1
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
1
77.4
1 BIP
Aug 31
vs BAL · Cade Povich
2
95.9
2 BIP
Aug 29
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
2
98.9
2 BIP
Aug 28
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
2
96.3
2 BIP
Aug 27
@ WSH · Jake Irvin
2
94.1
2 BIP
Aug 26
@ WSH · Matt Waldron
3
106.6
3 BIP
Aug 24
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
2
104.8
HR
2 BIP
Aug 23
vs CLE · Foster Griffin
3
109.4
3 BIP
Aug 21
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
1
54.1
1 BIP
Aug 19
vs LAD · Roki Sasaki
1
103.2
1 BIP
Aug 18
vs LAD · Eric Lauer
1
86.7
1 BIP
Aug 17
vs LAD · Blake Snell
3
88.1
3 BIP
Aug 15
@ SF · Logan Webb
2
98.4
2 BIP
Aug 14
@ SF · Landen Roupp
2
106.5
2 BIP
Aug 11
@ AZ · Mitch Bratt
3
72.4
3 BIP
Aug 9
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
3
93.2
3 BIP
Aug 8
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
2
92.9
2 BIP
Aug 7
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
2
92.5
2 BIP
Aug 5
vs TB · Nick Martinez
1
97.4
1 BIP
Aug 4
vs TB · Freddy Peralta
4
100.0
4 BIP
Aug 3
vs TB · Ian Seymour
4
106.2
HR
4 BIP
Aug 2
vs KC · Seth Lugo
3
95.0
3 BIP
Jul 31
vs KC · Michael Wacha
2
96.1
2 BIP
Jul 29
@ SD · Kyle Hart
0
—
—
Jul 28
@ SD · Michael King
2
100.2
2 BIP
Jul 25
@ MIL · Robert Gasser
3
101.1
3 BIP
Jul 24
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
2
86.6
2 BIP
Jul 21
vs WSH · Carson Palmquist
2
99.6
2 BIP
Jul 20
vs WSH · Andrew Alvarez
3
96.7
3 BIP
Jul 18
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
2
96.3
2 BIP
Jul 17
vs CIN · Brady Singer
2
96.0
2 BIP
Jul 12
@ SF · Trevor McDonald
3
89.6
3 BIP
Jul 11
@ SF · Tyler Mahle
2
106.5
2 BIP
Jul 10
@ SF · Robbie Ray
3
105.1
3 BIP
Jul 9
@ SF · Carson Whisenhunt
3
105.5
3 BIP
Jul 8
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
3
102.2
3 BIP
Jul 7
@ LAD · Justin Wrobleski
3
70.0
3 BIP
Jul 6
@ LAD · Eric Lauer
4
100.9
HR
4 BIP
Jul 5
vs SF · Tyler Mahle
2
89.2
2 BIP
Jul 4
vs SF · Robbie Ray
3
91.1
3 BIP
Jul 3
vs SF · Logan Webb
5
101.7
HR
5 BIP
Jul 1
vs MIA · Max Meyer
3
79.1
3 BIP
Jun 30
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
3
95.9
3 BIP
Jun 29
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
4
98.0
4 BIP
Jun 28
@ MIN · Connor Prielipp
2
96.4
2 BIP
Jun 26
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
4
93.1
4 BIP
Jun 24
vs BOS · Ranger Suarez
3
96.9
3 BIP
Jun 23
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
3
106.1
HR
3 BIP
Jun 22
vs BOS · Jake Bennett
1
81.9
1 BIP
Jun 20
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
1
103.9
1 BIP
Jun 19
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
3
80.7
3 BIP
Jun 17
@ CHC · Javier Assad
3
87.4
3 BIP
Jun 16
@ CHC · Edward Cabrera
2
92.5
2 BIP
Jun 15
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
1
89.1
1 BIP
Jun 14
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
4
104.4
4 BIP
Jun 13
@ ATH · ATH Bullpen Proxy
0
—
—
Jun 12
@ ATH · Gage Jump
0
—
—
Jun 11
vs CHC · Edward Cabrera
1
102.7
1 BIP
Jun 10
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
2
98.3
2 BIP
Jun 9
vs CHC · Colin Rea
3
106.0
HR
3 BIP
Jun 7
vs MIL · Shane Drohan
3
101.3
3 BIP
Jun 6
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
3
92.3
3 BIP
Jun 5
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
3
103.0
3 BIP
Jun 3
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
0
—
—
Jun 2
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
4
90.9
4 BIP
Jun 1
@ LAA · José Soriano
0
—
—
May 31
vs SF · Robbie Ray
2
96.8
2 BIP
May 30
vs SF · Adrian Houser
4
102.8
4 BIP
May 29
vs SF · Logan Webb
3
105.3
HR
3 BIP
May 27
@ LAD · Shohei Ohtani
1
85.2
1 BIP
May 26
@ LAD · Eric Lauer
4
108.1
4 BIP
May 25
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
4
109.1
HR
4 BIP
May 24
@ AZ · Ryne Nelson
3
101.6
3 BIP
May 22
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
4
81.7
4 BIP
May 21
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
4
88.5
4 BIP
May 20
vs TEX · Jack Leiter
1
98.9
1 BIP
May 19
vs TEX · Tyler Alexander
2
105.5
2 BIP
May 18
vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore
3
98.9
3 BIP
May 16
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
98.8
3 BIP
May 15
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
2
103.3
2 BIP
May 14
@ PIT · Mason Montgomery
3
108.2
3 BIP
May 13
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
2
98.3
2 BIP
May 12
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
2
94.2
2 BIP
May 10
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
3
103.7
3 BIP
May 9
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
0
—
—
May 8
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
2
88.1
2 BIP
May 6
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
3
93.5
3 BIP
May 5
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
0
—
—
May 3
vs ATL · Spencer Strider
4
99.2
4 BIP
May 2
vs ATL · Chris Sale
1
99.7
1 BIP
May 1
vs ATL · Grant Holmes
2
88.6
2 BIP
Apr 30
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
1
24.9
1 BIP
Apr 29
@ CIN · Brandon Williamson
3
100.4
3 BIP
Apr 28
@ CIN · Chase Burns
3
88.9
3 BIP
Apr 26
@ NYM · Kodai Senga
4
92.1
4 BIP
Apr 25
@ NYM · Kodai Senga
0
—
—
Apr 24
@ NYM · Freddy Peralta
2
82.4
2 BIP
Apr 23
vs SD · Matt Waldron
5
90.7
5 BIP
Apr 22
vs SD · Walker Buehler
0
—
—
Apr 21
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
2
93.5
2 BIP
Apr 20
vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski
2
93.2
2 BIP
Apr 18
vs LAD · Emmet Sheehan
3
101.8
3 BIP
Apr 17
vs LAD · Tyler Glasnow
2
100.4
2 BIP
Apr 16
@ HOU · Ryan Weiss
4
106.3
4 BIP
Apr 11
@ SD · Germán Márquez
5
102.1
5 BIP
Apr 10
@ SD · Walker Buehler
3
98.7
3 BIP
Apr 9
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
4
107.9
4 BIP
Apr 8
vs HOU · Cristian Javier
3
108.9
3 BIP
Apr 7
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
3
97.0
3 BIP
Apr 6
vs HOU · Cody Bolton
0
—
—
Apr 5
vs PHI · Taijuan Walker
2
81.0
2 BIP
Apr 4
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
2
95.4
2 BIP
Apr 1
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
4
93.9
4 BIP
Mar 31
@ TOR · Max Scherzer
3
86.1
3 BIP
Mar 29
@ MIA · Max Meyer
2
99.8
2 BIP
Mar 28
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
3
105.6
HR
3 BIP
Mar 27
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
108.7
3 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
0.11×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
9 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
1 gm
since his last HR, Sep 26
Season
12 HR
135 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 11 gaps · median 9 gm · MAD ± 5 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Ezequiel Tovar
Will Ezequiel Tovar hit a home run today?
Ezequiel Tovar is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 12 times in 135 scored games (about 9% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Ezequiel Tovar hit home runs?
Across 135 scored games this season, Ezequiel Tovar has 12 home runs — one every 11.2 games, or about 9% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.