Ezequiel Duran
TEX
· 119 appearances tracked
14
HRs
11.8%
HR Rate
17.3%
Avg HR/FB
89.3
Avg EV
0.166
ISO
#26
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
52.2%
8
Breaking
38.0%
8
Offspeed
9.9%
1
All
100%
5.9%
17
23.6%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
23.6
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
14 this season · avg 374 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
May 7
Paul Blackburn · Yankee Stadium
—
97.6
374.0
May 20
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
—
106.2
373.0
HR by month
May
All Appearances
119 tracked · 14 HR · 10 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 27
@ MIN · Dean Kremer
3
101.1
3 BIP
Sep 26
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
2
102.3
2 BIP
Sep 25
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
3
100.0
3 BIP
Sep 24
vs NYM · Zac Thornton
1
79.5
1 BIP
Sep 23
vs NYM · Nolan McLean
4
104.4
4 BIP
Sep 22
vs NYM · Sean Manaea
2
97.2
2 BIP
Sep 20
vs TOR · Spencer Miles
1
90.8
1 BIP
Sep 19
vs TOR · José Soriano
2
95.9
2 BIP
Sep 18
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
5
94.4
5 BIP
Sep 17
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
3
90.4
3 BIP
Sep 16
vs BOS · Jake Bennett
2
98.9
2 BIP
Sep 15
vs BOS · Patrick Sandoval
3
105.3
3 BIP
Sep 13
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
2
96.3
2 BIP
Sep 12
@ AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
5
105.5
5 BIP
Sep 11
@ AZ · Merrill Kelly
3
97.2
3 BIP
Sep 10
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
2
108.2
2 BIP
Sep 9
@ SEA · Kade Anderson
4
105.6
4 BIP
Sep 8
@ SEA · SEA Bullpen Proxy
1
76.1
1 BIP
Sep 6
vs TB · Ian Seymour
3
108.6
3 BIP
Sep 5
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
4
97.1
4 BIP
Sep 4
vs TB · Nick Martinez
4
104.7
HR
4 BIP
Sep 3
vs TB · Shane McClanahan
3
91.6
3 BIP
Sep 2
vs ATH · Jacob Lopez
4
103.1
HR
4 BIP
Sep 1
vs ATH · Brady Basso
1
69.0
1 BIP
Aug 31
vs ATH · Gage Jump
4
110.9
4 BIP
Aug 30
@ MIL · Dustin May
4
103.3
HR
4 BIP
Aug 29
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
3
103.4
3 BIP
Aug 28
@ MIL · Logan Henderson
1
95.3
1 BIP
Aug 26
@ CWS · Sean Burke
2
102.2
2 BIP
Aug 25
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
4
97.0
4 BIP
Aug 24
@ CWS · José Urquidy
3
104.2
3 BIP
Aug 23
vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
1
100.1
HR
1 BIP
Aug 22
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
95.7
3 BIP
Aug 21
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
5
105.0
5 BIP
Aug 20
vs WSH · Andrew Alvarez
2
100.4
2 BIP
Aug 19
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
2
103.5
2 BIP
Aug 18
vs WSH · WSH Bullpen Proxy
1
104.3
1 BIP
Aug 16
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
2
78.0
2 BIP
Aug 15
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
2
88.8
2 BIP
Aug 14
@ ATH · ATH Bullpen Proxy
4
105.8
4 BIP
Aug 13
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
4
103.8
4 BIP
Aug 12
@ LAA · George Klassen
1
90.8
1 BIP
Aug 11
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
1
105.5
1 BIP
Aug 10
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
4
96.6
4 BIP
Aug 9
vs BAL · Cade Povich
4
102.4
4 BIP
Aug 8
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
2
101.2
2 BIP
Aug 7
vs BAL · Shane Baz
0
—
—
Aug 5
vs SF · Carson Whisenhunt
2
100.2
2 BIP
Aug 4
vs SF · Blade Tidwell
4
107.4
4 BIP
Aug 3
vs SF · Logan Webb
4
110.2
HR
4 BIP
Aug 2
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
2
97.4
2 BIP
Aug 1
@ HOU · Ronel Blanco
3
90.0
3 BIP
Jul 31
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
3
77.7
3 BIP
Jul 30
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
1
96.6
1 BIP
Jul 29
@ TB · Casey Legumina
4
92.0
4 BIP
Jul 28
@ TB · Griffin Jax
3
88.2
3 BIP
Jul 27
vs SEA · George Kirby
4
106.3
HR
4 BIP
Jul 26
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
4
106.3
HR
4 BIP
Jul 25
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
3
85.4
3 BIP
Jul 24
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
4
105.8
4 BIP
Jul 22
vs CWS · Anthony Kay
2
98.3
2 BIP
Jul 21
vs CWS · Noah Schultz
4
101.6
4 BIP
Jul 20
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
1
90.9
1 BIP
Jul 19
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
2
86.1
2 BIP
Jul 18
@ ATL · ATL Bullpen Proxy
2
100.2
2 BIP
Jul 17
@ ATL · Chris Sale
1
77.1
1 BIP
Jul 12
vs HOU · Cristian Javier
1
66.5
1 BIP
Jul 11
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
2
100.3
HR
2 BIP
Jul 10
vs HOU · Hunter Brown
3
83.1
3 BIP
Jul 9
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
3
104.0
HR
3 BIP
Jul 8
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
87.6
2 BIP
Jul 7
vs LAA · José Soriano
4
104.6
4 BIP
Jul 5
vs DET · Casey Mize
3
104.2
HR
3 BIP
Jul 4
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
3
95.5
3 BIP
Jul 2
vs DET · Framber Valdez
5
109.0
5 BIP
Jul 1
@ CLE · Joey Cantillo
5
103.4
5 BIP
Jun 30
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
94.9
3 BIP
Jun 29
@ CLE · Parker Messick
2
92.9
2 BIP
Jun 28
@ TOR · TOR Bullpen Proxy
4
106.7
4 BIP
Jun 26
@ TOR · Patrick Corbin
4
101.2
4 BIP
Jun 25
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
2
90.4
2 BIP
Jun 24
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
3
80.9
3 BIP
Jun 23
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
4
101.6
4 BIP
Jun 22
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
4
103.4
HR
4 BIP
Jun 21
vs SD · Wandy Peralta
4
98.5
4 BIP
Jun 20
vs SD · Walker Buehler
2
107.2
2 BIP
Jun 19
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
2
103.5
2 BIP
Jun 18
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
3
95.7
HR
3 BIP
Jun 16
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
2
77.1
2 BIP
Jun 14
@ BOS · Connelly Early
2
87.1
2 BIP
Jun 13
@ BOS · Ranger Suarez
2
100.2
2 BIP
Jun 12
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
2
97.0
2 BIP
Jun 11
@ KC · Michael Wacha
4
79.4
4 BIP
Jun 10
@ KC · Seth Lugo
1
24.4
1 BIP
Jun 9
@ KC · Stephen Kolek
3
106.6
3 BIP
Jun 7
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
4
94.6
4 BIP
Jun 6
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
100.2
3 BIP
Jun 5
vs CLE · Parker Messick
2
103.0
2 BIP
Jun 3
@ STL · Andre Pallante
3
92.2
3 BIP
Jun 2
@ STL · Dustin May
1
90.0
1 BIP
Jun 1
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
4
103.2
4 BIP
May 31
vs KC · Michael Wacha
3
99.8
3 BIP
May 30
vs KC · Seth Lugo
3
82.1
3 BIP
May 29
vs KC · Stephen Kolek
3
91.6
3 BIP
May 28
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
103.6
3 BIP
May 27
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
1
65.1
1 BIP
May 26
vs HOU · Jason Alexander
3
102.3
3 BIP
May 25
vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai
1
93.7
1 BIP
May 24
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
1
87.0
1 BIP
May 22
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
3
84.7
3 BIP
May 20
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
2
106.2
HR
2 BIP
May 19
@ COL · Sammy Peralta
5
106.4
5 BIP
May 18
@ COL · Jose Quintana
4
102.1
4 BIP
May 17
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
4
90.2
4 BIP
May 16
@ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
4
100.4
4 BIP
May 15
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
1
93.7
1 BIP
May 7
@ NYY · Paul Blackburn
2
101.0
HR
2 BIP
Apr 16
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
4
107.3
4 BIP
Mar 29
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
3
90.2
3 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
3.33×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
6 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
20 gm
since his last HR, Sep 4
Season
14 HR
119 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 13 gaps · median 6 gm · MAD ± 4 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Ezequiel Duran
Will Ezequiel Duran hit a home run today?
Ezequiel Duran is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 14 times in 119 scored games (about 12% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Ezequiel Duran hit home runs?
Across 119 scored games this season, Ezequiel Duran has 14 home runs — one every 8.5 games, or about 12% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.