Ezequiel Duran
RHB
TEX
· 94 appearances tracked
12
HRs
12.8%
HR Rate
17.2%
Avg HR/FB
89.4
Avg EV
0.165
ISO
#35
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.169
Avg EV88.8
Barrel%6.3%
HR/FB vs LHP14.3%
Avg HR Dist394
Match%10.5%
Season HR%
12.8%
14D Pace
16.7%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-31
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
56.0%
6
Breaking
33.4%
7
Offspeed
10.6%
1
All
100%
6.1%
14
24.1%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Gage Jump · LHP · TEX
SMALL SAMPLE · 9 PA · since 2026
.333
AVG
.333
SLG
0
HR
3-for-9 across 9 plate appearances since 2026. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Globe Life +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather +3
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
6.3
vs
—
HR/FB
14.3
vs
14.9 ▼ risk
K%
24.1
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
12 this season · avg 374 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
May 7
Paul Blackburn · Yankee Stadium
—
97.6
374.0
May 20
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
—
106.2
373.0
HR by month
May
All Appearances
94 tracked · 12 HR · 9 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 30
@ MIL · Dustin May
4
103.3
HR
4 BIP
Aug 29
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
3
103.4
3 BIP
Aug 28
@ MIL · Logan Henderson
1
95.3
1 BIP
Aug 26
@ CWS · Sean Burke
2
102.2
2 BIP
Aug 25
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
4
97.0
4 BIP
Aug 24
@ CWS · José Urquidy
3
104.2
3 BIP
Aug 23
vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
1
100.1
HR
1 BIP
Aug 22
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
95.7
3 BIP
Aug 21
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
5
105.0
5 BIP
Aug 20
vs WSH · Andrew Alvarez
2
100.4
2 BIP
Aug 19
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
2
103.5
2 BIP
Aug 18
vs WSH · WSH Bullpen Proxy
1
104.3
1 BIP
Aug 16
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
2
78.0
2 BIP
Aug 15
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
2
88.8
2 BIP
Aug 14
@ ATH · ATH Bullpen Proxy
4
105.8
4 BIP
Aug 13
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
4
103.8
4 BIP
Aug 12
@ LAA · George Klassen
1
90.8
1 BIP
Aug 11
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
1
105.5
1 BIP
Aug 10
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
4
96.6
4 BIP
Aug 9
vs BAL · Cade Povich
4
102.4
4 BIP
Aug 8
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
2
101.2
2 BIP
Aug 7
vs BAL · Shane Baz
0
—
—
Aug 5
vs SF · Carson Whisenhunt
2
100.2
2 BIP
Aug 4
vs SF · Blade Tidwell
4
107.4
4 BIP
Aug 3
vs SF · Logan Webb
4
110.2
HR
4 BIP
Aug 2
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
2
97.4
2 BIP
Aug 1
@ HOU · Ronel Blanco
3
90.0
3 BIP
Jul 31
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
3
77.7
3 BIP
Jul 30
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
1
96.6
1 BIP
Jul 29
@ TB · Casey Legumina
4
92.0
4 BIP
Jul 28
@ TB · Griffin Jax
3
88.2
3 BIP
Jul 27
vs SEA · George Kirby
4
106.3
HR
4 BIP
Jul 26
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
4
106.3
HR
4 BIP
Jul 25
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
3
85.4
3 BIP
Jul 24
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
4
105.8
4 BIP
Jul 22
vs CWS · Anthony Kay
2
98.3
2 BIP
Jul 21
vs CWS · Noah Schultz
4
101.6
4 BIP
Jul 20
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
1
90.9
1 BIP
Jul 19
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
2
86.1
2 BIP
Jul 18
@ ATL · ATL Bullpen Proxy
2
100.2
2 BIP
Jul 17
@ ATL · Chris Sale
1
77.1
1 BIP
Jul 12
vs HOU · Cristian Javier
1
66.5
1 BIP
Jul 11
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
2
100.3
HR
2 BIP
Jul 10
vs HOU · Hunter Brown
3
83.1
3 BIP
Jul 9
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
3
104.0
HR
3 BIP
Jul 8
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
87.6
2 BIP
Jul 7
vs LAA · José Soriano
4
104.6
4 BIP
Jul 5
vs DET · Casey Mize
3
104.2
HR
3 BIP
Jul 4
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
3
95.5
3 BIP
Jul 2
vs DET · Framber Valdez
5
109.0
5 BIP
Jul 1
@ CLE · Joey Cantillo
5
103.4
5 BIP
Jun 30
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
94.9
3 BIP
Jun 29
@ CLE · Parker Messick
2
92.9
2 BIP
Jun 28
@ TOR · TOR Bullpen Proxy
4
106.7
4 BIP
Jun 26
@ TOR · Patrick Corbin
4
101.2
4 BIP
Jun 25
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
2
90.4
2 BIP
Jun 24
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
3
80.9
3 BIP
Jun 23
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
4
101.6
4 BIP
Jun 22
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
4
103.4
HR
4 BIP
Jun 21
vs SD · Wandy Peralta
4
98.5
4 BIP
Jun 20
vs SD · Walker Buehler
2
107.2
2 BIP
Jun 19
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
2
103.5
2 BIP
Jun 18
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
3
95.7
HR
3 BIP
Jun 16
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
2
77.1
2 BIP
Jun 14
@ BOS · Connelly Early
2
87.1
2 BIP
Jun 13
@ BOS · Ranger Suarez
2
100.2
2 BIP
Jun 12
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
2
97.0
2 BIP
Jun 11
@ KC · Michael Wacha
4
79.4
4 BIP
Jun 10
@ KC · Seth Lugo
1
24.4
1 BIP
Jun 9
@ KC · Stephen Kolek
3
106.6
3 BIP
Jun 7
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
4
94.6
4 BIP
Jun 6
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
100.2
3 BIP
Jun 5
vs CLE · Parker Messick
2
103.0
2 BIP
Jun 3
@ STL · Andre Pallante
3
92.2
3 BIP
Jun 2
@ STL · Dustin May
1
90.0
1 BIP
Jun 1
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
4
103.2
4 BIP
May 31
vs KC · Michael Wacha
3
99.8
3 BIP
May 30
vs KC · Seth Lugo
3
82.1
3 BIP
May 29
vs KC · Stephen Kolek
3
91.6
3 BIP
May 28
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
103.6
3 BIP
May 27
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
1
65.1
1 BIP
May 26
vs HOU · Jason Alexander
3
102.3
3 BIP
May 25
vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai
1
93.7
1 BIP
May 24
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
1
87.0
1 BIP
May 22
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
3
84.7
3 BIP
May 20
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
2
106.2
HR
2 BIP
May 19
@ COL · Sammy Peralta
5
106.4
5 BIP
May 18
@ COL · Jose Quintana
4
102.1
4 BIP
May 17
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
4
90.2
4 BIP
May 16
@ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
4
100.4
4 BIP
May 15
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
1
93.7
1 BIP
May 7
@ NYY · Paul Blackburn
2
101.0
HR
2 BIP
Apr 16
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
4
107.3
4 BIP
Mar 29
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
3
90.2
3 BIP
Ballpark
Globe Life Field · open-air
Park Factor
1.024
Wind
6 mph from SE
Temp
98°F
Roof
Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
7:05p
6 ↗
98°
+5
8:05p
6 ↗
96°
+5
9:05p
6 ↗
94°
+6
10:05p
6 ↗
92°
+6
11:05p
8 ↗
90°
+7
+6
Slight green alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to pull (from SSE)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Mon 8/31
Dueness now
0.00×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
6 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
0 gm
since his last HR, Aug 30
Season
12 HR
94 games · 2 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 11 gaps · median 6 gm · MAD ± 4 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 44 → 44
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
season hr rate
Pitcher FIP
recent hr density 14d
HR/FB Matchup
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Ezequiel Duran
Will Ezequiel Duran hit a home run today?
Ezequiel Duran is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #93 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Gage Jump at Globe Life Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Ezequiel Duran hit home runs?
Across 94 scored games this season, Ezequiel Duran has 12 home runs — one every 7.8 games, or about 13% of his scored games.
Has Ezequiel Duran homered off Gage Jump before?
Not yet — Ezequiel Duran has faced Gage Jump 9 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.