Drake Baldwin
LHB
ATL
· 136 appearances tracked
21
HRs
15.4%
HR Rate
29.1%
Avg HR/FB
91.5
Avg EV
0.197
ISO
#2
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.172
Avg EV91.3
Barrel%11.1%
HR/FB vs RHP21.5%
Avg HR Dist401
Match%13.7%
Season HR%
15.2%
14D Pace
8.3%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-09-24
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
52.9%
14
Breaking
30.5%
7
Offspeed
16.6%
3
All
100%
12.7%
24
22.0%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Brady Singer · RHP · ATL
SMALL SAMPLE · 3 PA · since 2025
.333
AVG
.333
SLG
0
HR
1-for-3 across 3 plate appearances since 2025. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Truist +HR
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Edge
Weather Neutral
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
11.1
vs
—
HR/FB
21.5
vs
23.5 ▼ risk
K%
22.0
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
21 this season · avg 400 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Mar 27
Cole Ragans · Truist Park
—
110.2
370.0
Mar 29
Seth Lugo · Truist Park
—
107.6
396.0
Apr 6
José Soriano · Angel Stadium
—
102.1
397.0
Apr 21
Foster Griffin · Nationals Park
—
105.5
438.0
Apr 22
Zack Littell · Nationals Park
—
101.7
391.0
May 10
Justin Wrobleski · Dodger Stadium
—
104.9
390.0
May 13
Shota Imanaga · Truist Park
—
99.0
402.0
May 15
Connelly Early · Truist Park
—
103.0
407.0
May 16
Payton Tolle · Truist Park
—
106.2
421.0
Jul 17
vs TEX · Cal Quantrill
—
105.5
419
Jul 19
vs TEX · Ben Peoples
—
107.9
392
Jul 23
vs SD · Matt Waldron
—
98.4
370
Jul 24
@ BAL · Rico Garcia
—
105.4
389
Aug 27
vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
—
106.2
402
Sep 9
vs TB · Griffin Jax
—
103.1
419
HR by month
Jul
Aug
Sep
All Appearances
136 tracked · 21 HR · 93 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 23
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
2
94.0
2 BIP
Sep 22
vs CIN · Brandon Williamson
3
105.6
3 BIP
Sep 20
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
2
102.7
2 BIP
Sep 19
@ HOU · Hayden Wesneski
4
107.3
4 BIP
Sep 18
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
3
105.8
3 BIP
Sep 16
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
4
99.7
4 BIP
Sep 15
@ CHC · Kevin Gausman
4
107.6
HR
4 BIP
Sep 14
@ CHC · David Peterson
2
104.1
2 BIP
Sep 13
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
3
91.8
3 BIP
Sep 12
vs PHI · Tim Mayza
3
100.3
3 BIP
Sep 11
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
4
101.2
4 BIP
Sep 10
vs TB · Nick Martinez
3
94.8
3 BIP
Sep 9
vs TB · Griffin Jax
3
106.4
HR
3 BIP
Sep 8
vs TB · Freddy Peralta
4
99.8
4 BIP
Sep 7
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
2
78.2
2 BIP
Sep 6
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
3
104.8
3 BIP
Sep 5
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
3
95.8
3 BIP
Sep 4
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
4
93.2
4 BIP
Sep 2
@ WSH · Brad Lord
3
99.2
3 BIP
Sep 1
@ WSH · Jake Irvin
3
107.7
3 BIP
Aug 31
vs SF · Anthony Molina
2
94.0
2 BIP
Aug 30
vs COL · COL Bullpen Proxy
2
105.2
2 BIP
Aug 29
vs COL · Zach Agnos
4
93.2
4 BIP
Aug 28
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
4
104.2
4 BIP
Aug 27
vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2
106.2
HR
2 BIP
Aug 26
vs LAD · Roki Sasaki
3
105.2
3 BIP
Aug 25
vs LAD · Tyler Glasnow
3
101.8
3 BIP
Aug 23
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
3
100.3
3 BIP
Aug 22
@ MIL · Logan Henderson
2
108.7
2 BIP
Aug 21
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
1
64.2
1 BIP
Aug 20
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
3
103.7
3 BIP
Aug 19
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
3
97.9
3 BIP
Aug 18
@ MIN · Zebby Matthews
4
105.3
HR
4 BIP
Aug 17
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
5
104.5
5 BIP
Aug 16
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
3
101.8
3 BIP
Aug 15
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
4
105.5
4 BIP
Aug 14
vs AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
3
98.3
3 BIP
Aug 12
vs NYM · Zac Thornton
4
109.5
4 BIP
Aug 11
vs NYM · Nolan McLean
2
103.3
2 BIP
Aug 10
vs NYM · Christian Scott
4
106.2
4 BIP
Aug 9
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
100.9
3 BIP
Aug 8
@ NYY · Gerrit Cole
4
104.9
4 BIP
Aug 7
@ NYY · Max Fried
3
95.1
3 BIP
Aug 6
vs MIA · Janson Junk
5
106.2
5 BIP
Aug 5
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
2
95.0
2 BIP
Aug 4
vs MIA · Ryan Gusto
2
91.2
2 BIP
Aug 2
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
3
107.9
3 BIP
Aug 1
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
3
104.9
3 BIP
Jul 31
vs WSH · Foster Griffin
4
103.0
4 BIP
Jul 30
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
3
102.9
3 BIP
Jul 29
@ NYM · Sean Manaea
7
102.8
7 BIP
Jul 28
@ NYM · Christian Scott
0
—
—
Jul 27
@ NYM · Zac Thornton
3
104.6
3 BIP
Jul 26
@ BAL · Shane Baz
2
97.5
2 BIP
Jul 25
@ BAL · Brandon Young
3
104.5
3 BIP
Jul 24
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
2
105.4
HR
2 BIP
Jul 23
vs SD · Kyle Hart
4
98.4
HR
4 BIP
Jul 22
vs SD · Michael King
3
105.1
3 BIP
Jul 21
vs SD · Walker Buehler
2
88.0
2 BIP
Jul 20
vs SD · JP Sears
2
104.0
2 BIP
Jul 19
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
5
107.9
HR
5 BIP
Jul 18
vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore
5
103.3
5 BIP
Jul 17
vs TEX · Cal Quantrill
4
109.2
HR
4 BIP
Jul 12
@ STL · Dustin May
3
104.5
3 BIP
Jul 11
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
102.6
3 BIP
Jul 10
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
4
105.1
4 BIP
Jul 9
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
4
99.9
4 BIP
Jul 8
@ PIT · Jared Jones
1
99.8
1 BIP
Jul 7
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
2
100.1
2 BIP
Jul 6
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
4
100.5
4 BIP
Jul 5
vs NYM · Nolan McLean
4
101.3
HR
4 BIP
Jul 4
vs NYM · Sean Manaea
4
103.1
4 BIP
Jul 3
vs NYM · Christian Scott
3
90.7
3 BIP
Jul 2
vs STL · Dustin May
3
101.1
3 BIP
Jul 1
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
3
91.7
3 BIP
Jun 30
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
92.5
3 BIP
Jun 28
@ SF · Robbie Ray
4
97.8
4 BIP
Jun 27
@ SF · Logan Webb
3
103.2
3 BIP
Jun 26
@ SF · SF Bullpen Proxy
3
97.0
3 BIP
Jun 24
@ SD · SD Bullpen Proxy
1
80.1
1 BIP
Jun 23
@ SD · SD Bullpen Proxy
1
89.9
1 BIP
Jun 22
@ SD · Michael King
0
—
—
Jun 21
vs MIL · Robert Gasser
3
102.8
3 BIP
Jun 20
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
1
97.1
1 BIP
Jun 19
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
2
91.1
2 BIP
Jun 18
vs SF · Landen Roupp
0
—
—
Jun 17
vs SF · SF Bullpen Proxy
3
86.7
3 BIP
Jun 16
vs SF · Adrian Houser
0
—
—
May 22
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
0
—
—
May 21
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
0
—
—
May 20
@ MIA · Janson Junk
0
—
—
May 18
@ MIA · Max Meyer
2
103.6
2 BIP
May 17
vs BOS · Brayan Bello
3
105.6
3 BIP
May 16
vs BOS · Payton Tolle
3
108.5
HR
3 BIP
May 15
vs BOS · Connelly Early
3
110.7
HR
3 BIP
May 14
vs CHC · Ben Brown
2
93.6
2 BIP
May 13
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
3
106.1
HR
3 BIP
May 12
vs CHC · Colin Rea
3
103.1
3 BIP
May 10
@ LAD · Justin Wrobleski
3
104.9
HR
3 BIP
May 9
@ LAD · Blake Snell
2
104.9
2 BIP
May 8
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
1
90.8
1 BIP
May 6
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
2
99.6
2 BIP
May 5
@ SEA · George Kirby
3
103.3
3 BIP
May 4
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
4
108.5
HR
4 BIP
May 3
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
4
109.6
4 BIP
May 1
@ COL · Jose Quintana
2
103.5
2 BIP
Apr 30
vs DET · Framber Valdez
1
107.4
1 BIP
Apr 29
vs DET · Tarik Skubal
4
104.7
4 BIP
Apr 28
vs DET · Casey Mize
4
88.2
4 BIP
Apr 26
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
3
109.4
3 BIP
Apr 25
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
2
106.6
2 BIP
Apr 24
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
4
104.3
4 BIP
Apr 23
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
1
67.3
1 BIP
Apr 22
@ WSH · Zack Littell
3
105.7
HR
3 BIP
Apr 21
@ WSH · Foster Griffin
2
105.5
HR
2 BIP
Apr 20
@ WSH · Jake Irvin
4
103.3
4 BIP
Apr 19
@ PHI · Andrew Painter
3
110.1
3 BIP
Apr 18
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
4
104.5
4 BIP
Apr 17
@ PHI · Taijuan Walker
4
98.2
4 BIP
Apr 15
vs MIA · Chris Paddack
2
104.8
2 BIP
Apr 13
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
3
109.1
3 BIP
Apr 12
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
5
101.8
5 BIP
Apr 11
vs CLE · Parker Messick
2
94.9
2 BIP
Apr 10
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
4
108.2
4 BIP
Apr 8
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
2
77.8
2 BIP
Apr 7
@ LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
3
99.6
3 BIP
Apr 6
@ LAA · José Soriano
2
102.1
HR
2 BIP
Apr 5
@ AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
5
108.4
HR
5 BIP
Apr 4
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
3
101.0
3 BIP
Apr 2
@ AZ · Ryne Nelson
5
101.3
5 BIP
Apr 1
vs ATH · Luis Severino
3
107.4
3 BIP
Mar 31
vs ATH · Aaron Civale
4
105.4
HR
4 BIP
Mar 30
vs ATH · Jacob Lopez
4
108.2
4 BIP
Mar 29
vs KC · Seth Lugo
3
107.6
HR
3 BIP
Mar 28
vs KC · Michael Wacha
2
101.2
2 BIP
Mar 27
vs KC · Cole Ragans
4
110.2
HR
4 BIP
Ballpark
Truist Park · open-air
Park Factor
1.075
Wind
5 mph from ENE
Temp
71°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
7:15p
5 ↘
71°
+1
8:15p
5 ↘
71°
+1
9:15p
5 ↘
70°
+0
10:15p
6 ↘
69°
-1
11:15p
6 ↘
68°
-2
+0
Neutral alignment
proxy spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to pull (from ENE)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Thu 9/24
Dueness now
1.50×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
4 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
6 gm
since his last HR, Sep 15
Season
21 HR
136 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 20 gaps · median 4 gm · MAD ± 3.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 58 → 58
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
Pitcher FIP
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
Exit Velocity
recent hr density 14d
Common questions about Drake Baldwin
Will Drake Baldwin hit a home run today?
Drake Baldwin is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #28 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Brady Singer at Truist Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Drake Baldwin hit home runs?
Across 136 scored games this season, Drake Baldwin has 21 home runs — one every 6.5 games, or about 15% of his scored games.
Has Drake Baldwin homered off Brady Singer before?
Not yet — Drake Baldwin has faced Brady Singer 3 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.