⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs

Slate · 2026-05-07

↩ today 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Card
180 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…
2026-05-07
Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather
#6 Juan Soto vs Jose Quintana FIP 6.78 HR/FB 50.0%
📦 STACK MacKenzie Gore FIP 4.06 HR/FB 20.0% → #1 Aaron Judge, #3 Amed Rosario, #4 Jazz Chisholm Jr., #5 Max Schuemann, #9 Cody Bellinger, #10 Trent Grisham
📦 STACK Paul Blackburn FIP 2.66 → #2 Josh Jung, #11 Corey Seager, #13 Joc Pederson
📦 STACK Jose Quintana FIP 6.78 HR/FB 50.0% → #6 Juan Soto, #12 Francisco Alvarez
📦 STACK Shota Imanaga FIP 2.83 HR/FB 12.5% → #8 Nathaniel Lowe, #14 Elly De La Cruz, #15 Sal Stewart
# Batter Score Edge Pitcher · Game Time Tier Hand '26 HR Form Due BP WT Hit?
1
·Aaron Judge (R) 4
69 · MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
TEX @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
12:35p 🔵 C+
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
17
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV93.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB12.1% HR/90.94 FIP3.84 IP104.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cool air · strong wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.4°F Wind19.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier-6 Note56°F, wind 19 mph W (in) — modifier: -6
2
·Mickey Moniak (L) 3
65 · Christian Scott (RHP)
NYM @ COL · Coors Field
3:10p 🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.0×
NYM Bullpen
HR/FB13.2% HR/90.83 FIP3.56 IP97.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp51.2°F Wind5.0 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier-2 Note51°F, wind 5 mph SSE (out) — modifier: -2
3 63 · Shota Imanaga (LHP)
CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field
2:20p 🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
9
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB16.1% HR/91.16 FIP4.30 IP77.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp51.2°F Wind5.8 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier-2 Note51°F, wind 6 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: -2
4
Liam Hicks (L) 3
61 · Cade Povich (LHP)
BAL @ MIA · loanDepot Park
6:40p 🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
12
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV88.1 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.3×
BAL Bullpen
HR/FB16.7% HR/90.89 FIP3.33 IP90.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
loanDepot Park
Weather · loanDepot Park
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
Liam Hicks — Home Run
OffCade Povich Exit Velo96.3 mph Angle28.0° Distance386 ft StadiumloanDepot Park
5 58 · J.T. Ginn (RHP)
ATH @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park
6:40p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
22
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
ATH Bullpen
HR/FB13.3% HR/90.93 FIP3.81 IP96.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citizens Bank Park
Weather · Citizens Bank Park
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.4°F Wind9.2 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 9 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: -1
Kyle Schwarber — Home Run
OffJ.T. Ginn Exit Velo108.8 mph Angle21.0° Distance377 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park
6
·James Wood (L) 3
58 · Simeon Woods Richardson (RHP)
MIN @ WSH · Nationals Park
1:05p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
16
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV96.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
MIN Bullpen
HR/FB8.3% HR/90.61 FIP3.63 IP88.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Nationals Park
Weather · Nationals Park
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.7°F Wind9.2 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note56°F, wind 9 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0
7
·Juan Soto (L) 4
55 · Jose Quintana (LHP)
NYM @ COL · Coors Field
3:10p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB17.8% HR/91.20 FIP4.14 IP134.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp51.2°F Wind5.0 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier-2 Note51°F, wind 5 mph SSE (out) — modifier: -2
8
·CJ Abrams (L) 4
55 · Simeon Woods Richardson (RHP)
MIN @ WSH · Nationals Park
1:05p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.8×
MIN Bullpen
HR/FB8.3% HR/90.61 FIP3.63 IP88.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Nationals Park
Weather · Nationals Park
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.7°F Wind9.2 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note56°F, wind 9 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0
9
·Josh Jung (R) 2
52 · Paul Blackburn (RHP)
TEX @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
12:35p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
7
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB12.7% HR/90.82 FIP3.59 IP88.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cool air · strong wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.4°F Wind19.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier-6 Note56°F, wind 19 mph W (in) — modifier: -6
10 52 · MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
TEX @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
12:35p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
6
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB12.1% HR/90.94 FIP3.84 IP104.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cool air · strong wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.4°F Wind19.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier-6 Note56°F, wind 19 mph W (in) — modifier: -6
11 52 · J.T. Ginn (RHP)
ATH @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park
6:40p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV88.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.8×
ATH Bullpen
HR/FB13.3% HR/90.93 FIP3.81 IP96.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citizens Bank Park
Weather · Citizens Bank Park
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.4°F Wind9.2 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 9 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: -1
12
·Curtis Mead (R) 4
52 · Simeon Woods Richardson (RHP)
MIN @ WSH · Nationals Park
1:05p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
8
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
MIN Bullpen
HR/FB8.3% HR/90.61 FIP3.63 IP88.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Nationals Park
Weather · Nationals Park
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.7°F Wind9.2 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note56°F, wind 9 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0
13
·Byron Buxton (R) 4
52 · Jake Irvin (RHP)
MIN @ WSH · Nationals Park
1:05p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
17
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV88.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
WSH Bullpen
HR/FB20.7% HR/91.53 FIP5.44 IP99.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Nationals Park
Weather · Nationals Park
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.7°F Wind9.2 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note56°F, wind 9 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0
14 51 · Shota Imanaga (LHP)
CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field
2:20p 🟠 C
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.4×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB16.1% HR/91.16 FIP4.30 IP77.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp51.2°F Wind5.8 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier-2 Note51°F, wind 6 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: -2
15
·Gavin Sheets (L) 4
51 · Matthew Liberatore (LHP)
STL @ SD · Petco Park
10:10p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
9
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.7×
STL Bullpen
HR/FB14.1% HR/90.79 FIP4.25 IP102.1
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Petco Park
Weather · Petco Park
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp60.5°F Wind4.6 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Note60°F, wind 5 mph NW (in) — modifier: -1
16 50 · Griffin Jax (RHP)
TB @ BOS · Fenway Park
7:10p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
11
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
TB Bullpen
HR/FB18.3% HR/91.55 FIP5.02 IP99.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Fenway Park
Weather · Fenway Park
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp58.7°F Wind10.4 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier3 Note59°F, wind 10 mph NW (out) — modifier: +3
17
·Ian Happ (S) 3
49 · Rhett Lowder (RHP)
CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field
2:20p ⚪ D
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
CIN Bullpen
HR/FB11.8% HR/90.83 FIP4.47 IP108.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp51.2°F Wind5.8 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier-2 Note51°F, wind 6 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: -2
18 49 · Andrew Painter (RHP)
ATH @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park
6:40p ⚪ D
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
PHI Bullpen
HR/FB12.2% HR/90.87 FIP3.73 IP93.1
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citizens Bank Park
Weather · Citizens Bank Park
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.4°F Wind9.2 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 9 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: -1
Shea Langeliers — Home Run
OffAndrew Painter Exit Velo108.4 mph Angle32.0° Distance412 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park
19
·Brady House (R) 2
49 · Simeon Woods Richardson (RHP)
MIN @ WSH · Nationals Park
1:05p ⚪ D
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
7
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.5×
MIN Bullpen
HR/FB8.3% HR/90.61 FIP3.63 IP88.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Nationals Park
Weather · Nationals Park
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.7°F Wind9.2 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note56°F, wind 9 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0
20
·Amed Rosario (R) 2
48 · MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
TEX @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
12:35p ⚪ D
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
6
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls6 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB12.1% HR/90.94 FIP3.84 IP104.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cool air · strong wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.4°F Wind19.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier-6 Note56°F, wind 19 mph W (in) — modifier: -6
21 48 · Rhett Lowder (RHP)
CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field
2:20p ⚪ D
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
6
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
CIN Bullpen
HR/FB11.8% HR/90.83 FIP4.47 IP108.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp51.2°F Wind5.8 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier-2 Note51°F, wind 6 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: -2
22
·Corey Seager (L) 3
47 · Paul Blackburn (RHP)
TEX @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
12:35p ⚪ D
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB12.7% HR/90.82 FIP3.59 IP88.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cool air · strong wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.4°F Wind19.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier-6 Note56°F, wind 19 mph W (in) — modifier: -6
23
·Carter Jensen (L) 4
47 · Slade Cecconi (RHP)
CLE @ KC · Kauffman Stadium
2:10p ⚪ D
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB18.3% HR/91.33 FIP4.15 IP101.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Kauffman Stadium
Weather · Kauffman Stadium
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp58.6°F Wind10.4 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Note59°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3
24
·Carlos Cortes (L) 2
47 · Andrew Painter (RHP)
ATH @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park
6:40p ⚪ D
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
5
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
PHI Bullpen
HR/FB12.2% HR/90.87 FIP3.73 IP93.1
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citizens Bank Park
Weather · Citizens Bank Park
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.4°F Wind9.2 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 9 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: -1
25 47 · Max Meyer (RHP)
BAL @ MIA · loanDepot Park
6:40p ⚪ D
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
MIA Bullpen
HR/FB9.6% HR/90.75 FIP3.88 IP96.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
loanDepot Park
Weather · loanDepot Park
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
26 47 · Michael King (RHP)
STL @ SD · Petco Park
10:10p ⚪ D
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
15
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV95.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.3×
SD Bullpen
HR/FB14.3% HR/90.63 FIP3.18 IP113.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Petco Park
Weather · Petco Park
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp60.5°F Wind4.6 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Note60°F, wind 5 mph NW (in) — modifier: -1
27
·Max Schuemann (R) 3
46 · MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
TEX @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
12:35p ⚪ D
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
0
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls1 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB12.1% HR/90.94 FIP3.84 IP104.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cool air · strong wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.4°F Wind19.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier-6 Note56°F, wind 19 mph W (in) — modifier: -6
28 45 · Shota Imanaga (LHP)
CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field
2:20p ⚪ D
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB16.1% HR/91.16 FIP4.30 IP77.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp51.2°F Wind5.8 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier-2 Note51°F, wind 6 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: -2
Sal Stewart — Home Run
OffShota Imanaga Exit Velo105.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance393 ft StadiumWrigley Field
29 45 · Seth Lugo (RHP)
CLE @ KC · Kauffman Stadium
2:10p ⚪ D
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
4
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
8.7×
KC Bullpen
HR/FB19.1% HR/91.34 FIP5.05 IP80.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Kauffman Stadium
Weather · Kauffman Stadium
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp58.6°F Wind10.4 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Note59°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3
30 44 · Andrew Painter (RHP)
ATH @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park
6:40p ⚪ D
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.1×
PHI Bullpen
HR/FB12.2% HR/90.87 FIP3.73 IP93.1
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citizens Bank Park
Weather · Citizens Bank Park
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.4°F Wind9.2 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 9 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: -1
🔥

The full lineup is in the hole

Sign up to see every ranked matchup with scores, tiers, pitcher intel, and conviction tools. Pro gets 150+ batters daily.

175 more waiting in the on-deck circle
Model Health · HR catch rate by tier
season-to-date
S 0.0%
A+ 17.2%
A 18.2%
B 20.0%
C+ 15.1%
C 12.3%
D 7.7%
Best Day
32.0%
May 29
LD 3.2.82

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.