⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
CIN
@ 2:20p
CHC
Wrigley Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.09×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.875
Temp
51.2°F
Wind
5.8 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 3 0.306 90.7 · 40.0% 393 36.4% 40.0% 33.0% 33
2 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 14 0.292 93.4 · 50.0% 394 18.2% 9.1% 27.2% 31
3 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 28 0.298 90.6 · 28.6% 391 5.0% 9.1% 17.0% 38
4 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 41 ⚪ D · · 39 0.213 89.9 · 36.4% 399 12.1% 9.1% 19.0% 34
5 Ke'Bryan Hayes Ke'Bryan Hayes 32 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 86 0.078 91.3 · 20.0% 365 11.8% 10.0% 7.9% 22
6 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 88 0.068 88.0 · 5.6% 364 6.2% 20.0% 9.1% 32
7 Matt McLain Matt McLain 29 ⚪ D · · 102 0.109 87.8 · 25.0% 404 6.1% 18.2% 14.5% 30
8 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 27 ⚪ D · · 114 0.132 84.8 · 20.0% 397 5.9% 0.0% 10.9% 0
9 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 134 0.116 93.0 · 11.1% 379 3.3% 0.0% 6.8% 22
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 49 ⚪ D · · 17 0.230 89.4 · 33.3% 397 27.8% 23.1% 25.7% 30
2 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 21 0.282 90.3 · 31.6% 390 13.3% 16.7% 25.6% 33
3 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 39 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 53 0.121 92.0 · 13.6% 383 11.4% 25.0% 11.1% 31
4 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 55 0.225 90.3 · 13.0% 393 16.7% 7.7% 9.5% 37
5 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 81 0.206 86.8 · 25.0% 357 12.9% 8.3% 10.1% 20
6 Michael Busch Michael Busch 31 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 89 0.088 87.1 · 10.7% 408 8.3% 15.4% 7.4% 34
7 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 109 0.158 86.3 · 7.1% 383 11.1% 0.0% 5.8% 47
8 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 27 ⚪ D · · 113 0.113 89.8 · 21.7% 395 5.9% 7.7% 6.3% 38
9 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 21 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 141 0.133 91.0 · 0.0% 414 5.9% 0.0% 4.5% 27
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