⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
TB
@ 7:10p
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.83×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.083
Temp
58.7°F
Wind
10.4 mph
out
Roof
open
Griffin Jax
Griffin Jax RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 16 0.224 91.6 · 26.7% 409 21.9% 33.3% 21.9% 33
2 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 36 ⚪ D · · 64 0.175 90.3 · 15.6% 383 15.6% 16.7% 12.1% 36
3 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 74 0.125 92.6 · 14.3% 386 12.5% 20.0% 10.8% 17
4 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 26 ⚪ D · · 123 0.080 90.0 · 30.8% 397 9.4% 25.0% 14.4% 39
5 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 24 ⚪ D · · 132 0.116 87.8 · 13.3% 350 6.5% 8.3% 6.3% 37
6 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 21 ⚪ D · · 142 0.120 88.4 · 0.0% 385 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 30
7 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 157 0.084 92.3 · 5.9% 391 3.4% 0.0% 6.9% 21
8 Trevor Story Trevor Story 15 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 168 0.098 89.1 · 12.5% 407 6.2% 0.0% 6.2% 32
9 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 14 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 172 0.091 85.6 · 11.1% 386 3.1% 8.3% 6.1% 38
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 41 ⚪ D · · 41 0.231 90.9 · 38.1% 409 25.0% 18.2% 24.5% 30
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 65 0.230 89.8 · 20.0% 393 16.1% 18.2% 22.8% 32
3 Yandy Díaz Yandy Díaz 28 ⚪ D · · 112 0.148 90.1 · 28.6% 365 13.0% 18.2% 10.2% 33
4 Jake Fraley Jake Fraley 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 127 0.200 84.4 · 14.3% 400 7.1% 0.0% 13.4% 16
5 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 20 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 145 0.088 88.5 · 14.3% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 28
6 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 12 ⚪ D · · 173 0.042 84.2 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 39
7 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 12 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 174 0.106 88.2 · 0.0% 408 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 25
8 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 10 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 177 0.106 88.0 · 0.0% 385 4.8% 0.0% 4.8% 26
9 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 8 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 178 0.034 82.6 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 19
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