⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
STL
@ 10:10p
SD
Petco Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.91×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.821
Temp
60.5°F
Wind
4.6 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 15 0.244 88.8 · 30.8% 409 10.0% 18.2% 36.1% 23
2 Miguel Andujar Miguel Andujar 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 33 0.165 88.9 · 20.0% 397 11.1% 16.7% 11.1% 34
3 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 35 0.156 88.7 · 0.0% 392 19.4% 33.3% 9.8% 29
4 Manny Machado Manny Machado 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 50 0.162 89.9 · 26.7% 399 12.9% 16.7% 17.0% 34
5 Ramón Laureano Ramón Laureano 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 93 0.187 89.4 · 0.0% 406 5.3% 8.3% 6.9% 24
6 Nick Castellanos Nick Castellanos 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 99 0.109 88.2 · 7.1% 405 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 17
7 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 111 0.130 89.5 · 13.0% 408 12.9% 8.3% 9.5% 33
8 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 16 ⚪ D · · 159 0.036 92.7 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 34
9 Jake Cronenworth Jake Cronenworth 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 165 0.056 87.4 · 9.1% 399 3.2% 0.0% 9.0% 18
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 47 ⚪ D · · 26 0.253 95.2 · 36.4% 406 18.2% 16.7% 26.7% 32
2 Nathan Church Nathan Church 43 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 34 0.200 87.2 · 31.2% 387 15.0% 16.7% 18.1% 40
3 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 60 0.203 90.1 · 18.5% 394 5.6% 8.3% 18.3% 45
4 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 95 0.176 91.2 · 18.2% 414 15.2% 16.7% 10.1% 37
5 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 100 0.143 88.3 · 19.2% 403 9.4% 8.3% 9.7% 32
6 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 105 0.181 90.5 · 18.8% 400 8.7% 12.5% 12.4% 29
7 Pedro Pagés Pedro Pagés 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 117 0.183 85.5 · 23.1% 397 7.1% 0.0% 22.0% 20
8 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 19 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 148 0.053 88.0 · 12.5% 415 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 22
9 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 19 ⚪ D · · 152 0.107 86.5 · 8.3% 373 3.1% 0.0% 7.7% 38
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