⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
CLE
@ 2:10p
KC
Kauffman Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.05×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.366
Temp
58.6°F
Wind
10.4 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Carter Jensen Carter Jensen 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 23 0.233 91.4 · 25.0% 387 20.0% 0.0% 18.3% 22
2 Vinnie Pasquantino Vinnie Pasquantino 40 ⚪ D · · 44 0.157 89.2 · 14.8% 394 12.5% 11.1% 10.8% 28
3 Salvador Perez Salvador Perez 40 ⚪ D · · 45 0.155 87.9 · 18.2% 396 14.7% 9.1% 14.6% 37
4 Jac Caglianone Jac Caglianone 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 46 0.150 93.4 · 20.0% 404 10.0% 25.0% 18.3% 19
5 Bobby Witt Jr. 39 ⚪ D · · 54 0.144 93.0 · 8.0% 413 5.9% 18.2% 14.8% 42
6 Isaac Collins Isaac Collins 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 59 0.094 89.0 · 14.3% 377 10.0% 18.2% 12.4% 29
7 Michael Massey Michael Massey 35 ⚪ D · · 69 0.164 90.0 · 10.0% 402 0.0% 0.0% 10.4% 24
8 Kyle Isbel Kyle Isbel 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 72 0.166 87.3 · 23.1% 390 10.0% 0.0% 12.3% 18
9 Maikel Garcia Maikel Garcia 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 79 0.130 90.4 · 4.8% 398 9.4% 11.1% 8.7% 34
Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Daniel Schneemann Daniel Schneemann 45 ⚪ D · · 29 0.243 90.1 · 21.1% 396 11.4% 16.7% 22.9% 24
2 Angel Martínez Angel Martínez 40 ⚪ D · · 48 0.223 88.7 · 35.7% 391 10.5% 8.3% 18.1% 33
3 Chase DeLauter Chase DeLauter 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 63 0.228 89.5 · 40.0% 377 5.9% 9.1% 15.8% 35
4 José Ramírez José Ramírez 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 80 0.214 89.7 · 9.8% 392 10.0% 0.0% 9.9% 39
5 Rhys Hoskins Rhys Hoskins 29 ⚪ D · · 103 0.116 89.1 · 18.2% 377 9.7% 18.2% 11.8% 19
6 Kyle Manzardo Kyle Manzardo 19 ⚪ D · · 146 0.058 89.2 · 16.7% 422 5.7% 9.1% 6.9% 23
7 Brayan Rocchio Brayan Rocchio 18 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 154 0.121 85.5 · 11.8% 379 6.1% 0.0% 6.5% 39
8 Bo Naylor Bo Naylor 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 163 0.058 89.4 · 4.8% 397 5.9% 0.0% 5.7% 18
9 Steven Kwan Steven Kwan 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 169 0.071 82.4 · 4.0% 381 2.8% 0.0% 5.5% 31
🏟️

Unlock the full game board

See every batter in this game, both pitcher groups, all HR profile signals, and the matchup context that drives the slate.

15 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.2.82

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.