Willy Adames
RHB
SF
· 123 appearances tracked
18
HRs
14.6%
HR Rate
15.6%
Avg HR/FB
88.3
Avg EV
0.188
ISO
#8
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
56.5%
14
Breaking
32.3%
6
Offspeed
11.1%
1
All
100%
8.9%
21
27.6%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
27.6
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
18 this season · avg 393 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Apr 10
Shane Baz · Camden Yards
—
103.8
402.0
Jun 5
@ CHC · Edward Cabrera
—
102.5
388
Jun 25
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
—
101.4
390
HR by month
Apr
Jun
All Appearances
123 tracked · 18 HR · 22 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 24
vs CIN · Chase Burns
0
—
—
Aug 23
@ BOS · Jake Bennett
2
100.6
2 BIP
Aug 22
@ BOS · Patrick Sandoval
2
109.4
HR
2 BIP
Aug 21
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
3
99.2
3 BIP
Aug 20
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
2
103.4
HR
2 BIP
Aug 19
@ CLE · Parker Messick
4
100.2
4 BIP
Aug 14
vs COL · Kyle Freeland
0
—
—
Aug 12
vs HOU · Bryan King
3
101.9
3 BIP
Aug 11
vs HOU · Hunter Brown
4
95.6
4 BIP
Aug 10
vs HOU · Hayden Wesneski
2
98.2
2 BIP
Aug 9
vs DET · Troy Melton
3
97.0
3 BIP
Aug 8
vs DET · DET Bullpen Proxy
2
86.5
2 BIP
Aug 7
vs DET · Keider Montero
2
106.5
HR
2 BIP
Aug 5
@ TEX · TEX Bullpen Proxy
1
94.9
1 BIP
Aug 4
@ TEX · MacKenzie Gore
2
105.0
2 BIP
Aug 3
@ TEX · Cal Quantrill
3
87.7
3 BIP
Aug 2
@ SD · Kyle Hart
3
103.9
3 BIP
Aug 1
@ SD · Walker Buehler
3
79.1
3 BIP
Jul 31
@ SD · Bradgley Rodriguez
3
101.8
3 BIP
Jul 30
@ SD · JP Sears
5
103.2
5 BIP
Jul 29
vs MIL · MIL Bullpen Proxy
3
97.4
3 BIP
Jul 28
vs MIL · Logan Henderson
3
74.4
3 BIP
Jul 27
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
2
101.0
2 BIP
Jul 26
vs LAA · José Soriano
3
101.9
3 BIP
Jul 25
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
2
93.8
2 BIP
Jul 24
vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
1
78.9
1 BIP
Jul 22
@ KC · Seth Lugo
2
96.0
2 BIP
Jul 21
@ KC · Luinder Avila
1
65.8
1 BIP
Jul 20
@ KC · Michael Wacha
3
98.7
HR
3 BIP
Jul 19
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
1
40.5
1 BIP
Jul 18
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
3
100.7
HR
3 BIP
Jul 17
@ SEA · Bryce Miller
3
105.5
HR
3 BIP
Jul 12
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
4
93.0
4 BIP
Jul 11
vs COL · Kyle Freeland
3
85.0
3 BIP
Jul 10
vs COL · Tanner Gordon
4
100.2
4 BIP
Jul 9
vs COL · Ryan Feltner
3
106.6
HR
3 BIP
Jul 8
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
1
71.1
1 BIP
Jul 7
vs TOR · Spencer Miles
2
102.4
2 BIP
Jul 6
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
2
99.5
2 BIP
Jul 5
@ COL · Tanner Gordon
1
101.3
1 BIP
Jul 4
@ COL · Sean Sullivan
3
99.3
3 BIP
Jul 3
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
1
62.8
1 BIP
Jul 1
@ AZ · Zac Gallen
0
—
—
Jun 30
@ AZ · AZ Bullpen Proxy
0
—
—
Jun 29
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
0
—
—
Jun 28
vs ATL · Chris Sale
1
60.6
1 BIP
Jun 27
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
2
95.9
2 BIP
Jun 26
vs ATL · Reynaldo López
3
101.0
3 BIP
Jun 25
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
2
101.4
HR
2 BIP
Jun 24
vs ATH · Gage Jump
2
84.1
2 BIP
Jun 23
vs ATH · Aaron Civale
4
93.7
4 BIP
Jun 21
@ MIA · Ryan Gusto
2
92.1
2 BIP
Jun 20
@ MIA · Max Meyer
3
87.1
3 BIP
Jun 19
@ MIA · Lake Bachar
3
91.3
3 BIP
Jun 18
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
0
—
—
Jun 17
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
3
102.1
HR
3 BIP
Jun 16
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
0
—
—
Jun 14
vs CHC · Ryan Rolison
4
97.4
4 BIP
Jun 13
vs CHC · Ben Brown
4
100.3
4 BIP
Jun 12
vs CHC · Javier Assad
2
86.6
2 BIP
Jun 9
vs WSH · Andrew Alvarez
2
98.1
2 BIP
Jun 8
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
3
97.8
3 BIP
Jun 7
@ CHC · Jameson Taillon
1
72.9
1 BIP
Jun 6
@ CHC · Ben Brown
2
97.5
2 BIP
Jun 5
@ CHC · Edward Cabrera
2
107.0
HR
2 BIP
Jun 4
@ MIL · Coleman Crow
5
97.9
5 BIP
Jun 3
@ MIL · Robert Gasser
2
82.6
2 BIP
Jun 2
@ MIL · Kyle Harrison
3
106.4
HR
3 BIP
Jun 1
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
2
91.8
2 BIP
May 31
@ COL · Tanner Gordon
4
108.8
HR
4 BIP
May 30
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
3
100.6
3 BIP
May 29
@ COL · Michael Lorenzen
4
101.4
4 BIP
May 27
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
3
108.1
3 BIP
May 26
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
99.5
HR
3 BIP
May 25
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
3
78.2
3 BIP
May 24
vs CWS · Noah Schultz
3
101.4
3 BIP
May 23
vs CWS · Bryan Hudson
4
98.1
HR
4 BIP
May 22
vs CWS · Davis Martin
3
95.8
3 BIP
May 20
@ AZ · Merrill Kelly
2
106.6
2 BIP
May 19
@ AZ · Ryne Nelson
2
108.1
HR
2 BIP
May 18
@ AZ · Zac Gallen
1
101.6
HR
1 BIP
May 17
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
5
104.9
5 BIP
May 16
@ ATH · Luis Severino
5
96.7
5 BIP
May 15
@ ATH · Aaron Civale
3
103.1
3 BIP
May 14
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
1
95.8
1 BIP
May 13
@ LAD · Shohei Ohtani
2
98.1
2 BIP
May 12
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
3
106.6
3 BIP
May 11
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
4
106.2
4 BIP
May 10
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
5
104.3
5 BIP
May 9
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
3
95.7
3 BIP
May 8
vs PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
4
93.9
4 BIP
May 6
vs SD · Matt Waldron
2
105.8
2 BIP
May 5
vs SD · Walker Buehler
3
103.5
3 BIP
May 4
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
2
69.8
2 BIP
May 3
@ TB · Steven Matz
3
98.3
3 BIP
May 2
@ TB · Griffin Jax
3
92.2
3 BIP
May 1
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
2
100.5
2 BIP
Apr 30
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
5
103.8
5 BIP
Apr 29
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
0
—
—
Apr 28
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
2
86.7
2 BIP
Apr 26
vs MIA · Max Meyer
0
—
—
Apr 25
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
3
99.3
3 BIP
Apr 24
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
94.9
3 BIP
Apr 23
vs LAD · Tyler Glasnow
2
90.8
2 BIP
Apr 22
vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani
2
92.9
2 BIP
Apr 21
vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2
104.6
2 BIP
Apr 19
@ WSH · PJ Poulin
2
101.8
2 BIP
Apr 18
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
4
103.5
4 BIP
Apr 17
@ WSH · Zack Littell
5
107.4
5 BIP
Apr 16
@ CIN · Chase Burns
2
87.3
2 BIP
Apr 15
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
0
—
—
Apr 11
@ BAL · Chris Bassitt
2
82.0
2 BIP
Apr 10
@ BAL · Shane Baz
4
105.7
HR
4 BIP
Apr 8
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
4
98.9
4 BIP
Apr 7
vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
4
100.9
4 BIP
Apr 6
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
4
104.8
4 BIP
Apr 5
vs NYM · Kodai Senga
3
99.4
3 BIP
Apr 4
vs NYM · Clay Holmes
3
103.7
3 BIP
Apr 2
vs NYM · David Peterson
1
103.2
1 BIP
Apr 1
@ SD · Nick Pivetta
2
94.3
2 BIP
Mar 31
@ SD · Germán Márquez
5
100.4
HR
5 BIP
Mar 30
@ SD · Walker Buehler
3
97.2
3 BIP
Mar 28
vs NYY · Will Warren
3
96.8
3 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Mon 8/31
Dueness now
0.50×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
4 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
2 gm
since his last HR, Aug 22
Season
18 HR
123 games · 2 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 17 gaps · median 4 gm · MAD ± 3 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Willy Adames
Will Willy Adames hit a home run today?
Willy Adames is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 18 times in 123 scored games (about 15% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Willy Adames hit home runs?
Across 123 scored games this season, Willy Adames has 18 home runs — one every 6.8 games, or about 15% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.