Willi Castro
COL
· 109 appearances tracked
12
HRs
11.0%
HR Rate
9.7%
Avg HR/FB
88.3
Avg EV
0.121
ISO
#13
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-18
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
51.8%
9
Breaking
27.1%
4
Offspeed
21.1%
2
All
100%
8.0%
15
26.9%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
26.9
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
109 tracked · 12 HR · 9 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 1
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
0
—
—
Aug 31
vs BAL · Cade Povich
1
88.6
1 BIP
Aug 30
@ ATL · Tyler Mahle
2
105.9
2 BIP
Aug 29
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
2
105.6
2 BIP
Aug 28
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
5
94.0
5 BIP
Aug 27
@ WSH · Jake Irvin
3
95.6
3 BIP
Aug 26
@ WSH · Matt Waldron
2
84.1
2 BIP
Aug 25
@ WSH · Andrew Alvarez
3
106.0
3 BIP
Aug 24
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
3
104.2
HR
3 BIP
Aug 23
vs CLE · Foster Griffin
3
79.3
3 BIP
Aug 22
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
2
89.2
2 BIP
Aug 21
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
3
103.4
3 BIP
Aug 19
vs LAD · Roki Sasaki
0
—
—
Aug 18
vs LAD · Eric Lauer
3
105.4
HR
3 BIP
Aug 17
vs LAD · Blake Snell
3
110.5
3 BIP
Aug 16
@ SF · Blade Tidwell
3
100.6
3 BIP
Aug 15
@ SF · Logan Webb
3
102.7
3 BIP
Aug 14
@ SF · Landen Roupp
4
104.2
4 BIP
Aug 12
@ AZ · Merrill Kelly
3
106.4
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ AZ · Mitch Bratt
2
87.3
2 BIP
Aug 10
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
1
68.3
1 BIP
Aug 9
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
3
105.2
3 BIP
Aug 8
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
76.1
3 BIP
Aug 7
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
4
110.8
4 BIP
Aug 4
vs TB · Freddy Peralta
4
107.1
HR
4 BIP
Aug 3
vs TB · Ian Seymour
4
105.8
4 BIP
Aug 2
vs KC · Seth Lugo
3
78.3
3 BIP
Aug 1
vs KC · Luinder Avila
2
102.7
HR
2 BIP
Jul 29
@ SD · Kyle Hart
1
35.4
1 BIP
Jul 26
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
1
108.1
HR
1 BIP
Jul 25
@ MIL · Robert Gasser
2
93.5
2 BIP
Jul 24
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
4
104.4
4 BIP
Jul 22
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
3
70.4
3 BIP
Jul 21
vs WSH · Carson Palmquist
4
100.0
4 BIP
Jul 20
vs WSH · Andrew Alvarez
3
101.8
3 BIP
Jul 19
vs CIN · Hunter Greene
2
105.1
HR
2 BIP
Jul 18
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
3
93.8
3 BIP
Jul 17
vs CIN · Brady Singer
3
111.3
HR
3 BIP
Jul 10
@ SF · Robbie Ray
1
68.0
1 BIP
Jul 9
@ SF · Carson Whisenhunt
3
97.7
HR
3 BIP
Jul 8
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
0
—
—
Jul 7
@ LAD · Justin Wrobleski
1
68.5
1 BIP
Jul 6
@ LAD · Eric Lauer
3
73.7
3 BIP
Jul 4
vs SF · Robbie Ray
2
98.7
2 BIP
Jul 2
vs MIA · Ryan Gusto
3
97.4
3 BIP
Jul 1
vs MIA · Max Meyer
2
110.5
2 BIP
Jun 30
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
0
—
—
Jun 28
@ MIN · Connor Prielipp
2
93.2
2 BIP
Jun 27
@ MIN · Mike Paredes
4
108.3
4 BIP
Jun 26
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
3
100.9
3 BIP
Jun 24
vs BOS · Ranger Suarez
4
96.8
4 BIP
Jun 23
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
3
107.9
HR
3 BIP
Jun 22
vs BOS · Jake Bennett
2
84.1
2 BIP
Jun 21
vs PIT · Jared Jones
3
107.9
3 BIP
Jun 20
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
2
83.6
2 BIP
Jun 19
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
3
104.2
3 BIP
Jun 16
@ CHC · Edward Cabrera
3
107.5
3 BIP
Jun 15
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
2
90.9
2 BIP
Jun 14
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
5
104.5
HR
5 BIP
Jun 13
@ ATH · ATH Bullpen Proxy
2
96.2
2 BIP
Jun 12
@ ATH · Gage Jump
4
94.3
4 BIP
Jun 11
vs CHC · Edward Cabrera
5
108.3
5 BIP
Jun 10
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
4
95.4
4 BIP
Jun 9
vs CHC · Colin Rea
5
105.8
5 BIP
Jun 7
vs MIL · Shane Drohan
3
75.8
3 BIP
Jun 5
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
3
112.1
3 BIP
Jun 3
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
81.5
2 BIP
Jun 2
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
3
109.2
HR
3 BIP
Jun 1
@ LAA · José Soriano
1
76.5
1 BIP
May 31
vs SF · Robbie Ray
4
104.7
4 BIP
May 30
vs SF · Adrian Houser
4
107.4
4 BIP
May 29
vs SF · Logan Webb
4
95.1
4 BIP
May 27
@ LAD · Shohei Ohtani
2
95.7
2 BIP
May 26
@ LAD · Eric Lauer
3
111.4
3 BIP
May 25
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
3
107.3
3 BIP
May 22
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
4
90.5
4 BIP
May 21
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
2
84.2
2 BIP
May 19
vs TEX · Tyler Alexander
2
103.1
2 BIP
May 18
vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore
3
102.4
3 BIP
May 17
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
3
104.6
3 BIP
May 16
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
96.8
3 BIP
May 15
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
3
107.1
3 BIP
May 14
@ PIT · Mason Montgomery
1
96.6
1 BIP
May 13
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
2
100.3
2 BIP
May 12
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
2
86.2
2 BIP
May 10
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
3
97.5
3 BIP
May 9
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
2
101.4
HR
2 BIP
May 8
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
3
84.9
3 BIP
May 7
vs NYM · Christian Scott
2
96.8
2 BIP
May 6
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
0
—
—
May 5
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
0
—
—
May 3
vs ATL · Spencer Strider
3
104.0
3 BIP
May 2
vs ATL · Chris Sale
2
104.4
2 BIP
May 1
vs ATL · Grant Holmes
4
108.4
4 BIP
Apr 30
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
96.0
3 BIP
Apr 29
@ CIN · Brandon Williamson
3
103.8
3 BIP
Apr 28
@ CIN · Chase Burns
0
—
—
Apr 26
@ NYM · Kodai Senga
0
—
—
Apr 25
@ NYM · Kodai Senga
0
—
—
Apr 23
vs SD · Matt Waldron
0
—
—
Apr 22
vs SD · Walker Buehler
3
105.3
3 BIP
Apr 21
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
1
80.3
1 BIP
Apr 20
vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski
3
90.3
3 BIP
Apr 19
vs LAD · Roki Sasaki
3
100.3
3 BIP
Apr 18
vs LAD · Emmet Sheehan
0
—
—
Apr 17
vs LAD · Tyler Glasnow
0
—
—
Apr 10
@ SD · Walker Buehler
3
101.4
3 BIP
Mar 29
@ MIA · Max Meyer
3
107.4
3 BIP
Mar 28
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
3
101.7
3 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
1.33×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
6 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
8 gm
since his last HR, Aug 24
Season
12 HR
109 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 11 gaps · median 6 gm · MAD ± 4 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Willi Castro
Will Willi Castro hit a home run today?
Willi Castro is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 12 times in 109 scored games (about 11% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Willi Castro hit home runs?
Across 109 scored games this season, Willi Castro has 12 home runs — one every 9.1 games, or about 11% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.