2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Esmerlyn Valdez 6 HRs · 2 James Wood 5 HRs · 3 Cole Young 4 HRs · 4 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 5 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 6 Jose Altuve 4 HRs · 7 Junior Caminero 4 HRs · 8 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 9 Lane Thomas 4 HRs · 10 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs · 11 Willy Adames 4 HRs · 12 Ty France 4 HRs 1 Esmerlyn Valdez 6 HRs · 2 James Wood 5 HRs · 3 Cole Young 4 HRs · 4 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 5 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 6 Jose Altuve 4 HRs · 7 Junior Caminero 4 HRs · 8 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 9 Lane Thomas 4 HRs · 10 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs · 11 Willy Adames 4 HRs · 12 Ty France 4 HRs
Ty France
Ty France
SD · RHB
Ty France

Ty France

RHB
SD · 44 appearances tracked
9 HRs
20.5% HR Rate
28.8% Avg HR/FB
91.2 Avg EV
0.209 ISO
#7 Best Rank
as of 2026-07-21
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
93
0.250
Avg EV
89
92.2
Barrel%
59
9.1%
HR/FB vs RHP
98
37.5%
Avg HR Dist
48
394
Match%
100
39.0%
Season HR%
20.5%
14D Pace
40.0%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
93
89
59
98
48
100
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 25 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-07-21
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 58.3%
12.2%
7
21.3%
Breaking 30.9%
10.2%
6
18.8%
Offspeed 10.8%
8.0%
1
29.7%
All 100% 10.9% 14 21.7%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Reynaldo Lopez · RHP · SD
SMALL SAMPLE · 3 PA · since 2023
.500
AVG
.500
SLG
0
HR
1-for-2 and 1 walk across 3 plate appearances since 2023. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers 3 of 4 active
Truist +HR Pitcher form Cold Platoon Even Weather +2
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 9.1 vs
9.1
HR/FB 37.5 vs 20.0 ▲ edge
37.5
20.0
K% 21.7 vs
21.7
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 9 this season · avg 394 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
May 29 @ WSH · Paxton Schultz 106.0 413
Jun 26 vs LAD · Roki Sasaki 98.1 372
Jul 20 @ ATL · Bryce Elder 100.3 397
HR by month
1
1
1
May Jun Jul
All Appearances 44 tracked · 9 HR · 23 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Jul 20 @ ATL · Bryce Elder 3 102.0 HR 3 BIP
Jul 19 @ KC · Noah Cameron 6 103.0 HR 6 BIP
Jul 18 @ KC · Randy Dobnak 3 104.0 3 BIP
Jul 17 @ KC · Seth Lugo 2 105.2 HR 2 BIP
Jul 12 vs TOR · Kevin Gausman 3 107.6 3 BIP
Jul 11 vs TOR · Trey Yesavage 4 102.9 HR 4 BIP
Jul 10 vs TOR · Shane Bieber 4 102.5 4 BIP
Jul 9 vs AZ · Merrill Kelly 0
Jul 8 vs AZ · Jose Cabrera 0
Jul 7 vs AZ · Zac Gallen 0
Jul 6 vs AZ · Brandon Pfaadt 2 96.4 2 BIP
Jul 5 @ LAD · Emmet Sheehan 4 96.3 4 BIP
Jul 4 @ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3 91.9 3 BIP
Jul 3 @ LAD · Shohei Ohtani 2 103.3 2 BIP
Jul 2 @ LAD · Roki Sasaki 4 102.8 4 BIP
Jul 1 @ CHC · Colin Rea 2 103.7 2 BIP
Jun 30 @ CHC · Matthew Boyd 3 103.3 3 BIP
Jun 29 @ CHC · Shota Imanaga 3 104.6 3 BIP
Jun 27 vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0
Jun 26 vs LAD · Roki Sasaki 2 98.1 HR 2 BIP
Jun 24 vs ATL · Martín Pérez 3 107.7 HR 3 BIP
Jun 23 vs ATL · JR Ritchie 1 89.7 1 BIP
Jun 22 vs ATL · Grant Holmes 4 107.7 4 BIP
Jun 21 @ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi 1 90.7 1 BIP
Jun 20 @ TEX · MacKenzie Gore 3 97.6 3 BIP
Jun 19 @ TEX · Jacob deGrom 4 104.1 HR 4 BIP
Jun 17 @ STL · Kyle Leahy 3 100.5 3 BIP
Jun 16 @ STL · Andre Pallante 3 99.2 3 BIP
Jun 15 @ STL · Dustin May 1 88.5 1 BIP
Jun 12 @ BAL · Shane Baz 0
Jun 8 vs CIN · Andrew Abbott 4 103.3 4 BIP
Jun 7 vs NYM · Huascar Brazobán 2 92.7 2 BIP
Jun 6 vs NYM · Nolan McLean 2 77.4 2 BIP
Jun 5 vs NYM · Christian Scott 3 104.3 3 BIP
Jun 4 @ PHI · Zack Wheeler 1 49.8 1 BIP
Jun 3 @ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez 4 109.1 4 BIP
May 31 @ WSH · Zack Littell 3 105.8 3 BIP
May 30 @ WSH · Foster Griffin 3 106.3 3 BIP
May 29 @ WSH · Paxton Schultz 3 106.0 HR 3 BIP
May 25 vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo 2 105.9 2 BIP
May 24 vs ATH · Luis Medina 3 103.6 HR 3 BIP
May 17 @ SEA · George Kirby 4 100.2 4 BIP
Apr 23 @ COL · Ryan Feltner 3 99.5 3 BIP
Apr 15 vs SEA · Emerson Hancock 3 89.5 3 BIP
Ballpark Truist Park · open-air
Park Factor 1.130 Wind 2 mph from S Temp 88°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
7:15p 2 88° +8
8:15p 2 88° +8
9:15p 2 88° +8
10:15p 2 88° +8
11:15p 2 88° +8
+8
Slight green alignment
proxy spray · game-window FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
2 mph 18% 9% 35% 8% 29% OPPO PULL Truist Park
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from S)
August 2026
All batters →
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game Tue 7/21
Dueness now
0.00×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
2 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
0 gm
since his last HR, Jul 20
Season
9 HR
44 games · 4 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 8 gaps · median 2 gm · MAD ± 1.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

Score Breakdown Base 67 → 67
ISO (Power)
+22.4
Barrel Matchup
+13.2
Park Factor
+10.8
HR/FB Matchup
+5.5
season hr rate
+5.0
recent hr density 14d
+4.1
Pitcher FIP
+4.0
Exit Velocity
+1.5
Six home runs to freedom

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