2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Esmerlyn Valdez 6 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 3 Elly De La Cruz 4 HRs · 4 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 5 Nick Gonzales 4 HRs · 6 Willy Adames 4 HRs · 7 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 8 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 9 Ty France 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Torkelson 4 HRs · 11 Seiya Suzuki 4 HRs · 12 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs 1 Esmerlyn Valdez 6 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 3 Elly De La Cruz 4 HRs · 4 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 5 Nick Gonzales 4 HRs · 6 Willy Adames 4 HRs · 7 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 8 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 9 Ty France 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Torkelson 4 HRs · 11 Seiya Suzuki 4 HRs · 12 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MIN · RHB
Royce Lewis

Royce Lewis

RHB
MIN · 60 appearances tracked
10 HRs
16.7% HR Rate
17.1% Avg HR/FB
88.9 Avg EV
0.156 ISO
#25 Best Rank
as of 2026-07-23
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
60
0.174
Avg EV
49
89.1
Barrel%
90
12.0%
HR/FB vs RHP
81
19.1%
Avg HR Dist
54
396
Match%
93
22.0%
Season HR%
16.7%
14D Pace
22.2%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
60
49
90
81
54
93
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 26 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-07-22
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 55.8%
15.0%
5
19.6%
Breaking 32.1%
11.1%
4
30.0%
Offspeed 12.1%
9.1%
1
34.2%
All 100% 13.1% 10 24.9%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Gavin Williams · RHP · MIN
18 PA · since 2026
.500
AVG
1.167
SLG
3
HR
9-for-18 with 3 homers across 18 plate appearances since 2026.
Modifiers 0 of 4 active
Progressive Neutral Pitcher form Steady Platoon Even Weather -1
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 12.0 vs
12.0
HR/FB 19.1 vs 43.5 ▼ risk
19.1
43.5
K% 24.9 vs
24.9
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 10 this season · avg 383 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Mar 29 Shane Baz · Camden Yards 98.2 377.0
Jul 9 vs CLE · Gavin Williams 103.7 389
HR by month
1
1
Mar Jul
All Appearances 60 tracked · 10 HR · 17 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Jul 22 @ CLE · Slade Cecconi 4 107.8 4 BIP
Jul 21 @ CLE · Parker Messick 3 85.2 3 BIP
Jul 20 @ CLE · Tanner Bibee 2 107.5 2 BIP
Jul 19 @ CHC · Shota Imanaga 4 109.6 4 BIP
Jul 17 @ CHC · Colin Rea 3 97.2 3 BIP
Jul 12 vs LAA · José Soriano 2 90.9 2 BIP
Jul 11 vs LAA · Ryan Johnson 3 107.7 HR 3 BIP
Jul 10 vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez 3 100.9 3 BIP
Jul 9 vs CLE · Gavin Williams 2 103.7 HR 2 BIP
Jul 8 vs CLE · Slade Cecconi 4 98.3 4 BIP
Jul 7 vs CLE · Joey Cantillo 1 95.1 1 BIP
Jul 5 @ NYY · Ryan Weathers 4 109.4 4 BIP
Jul 4 @ NYY · NYY Bullpen Proxy 4 102.7 4 BIP
Jul 3 @ NYY · Gerrit Cole 2 105.4 2 BIP
Jul 1 @ HOU · Tatsuya Imai 2 83.2 2 BIP
Jun 30 @ HOU · Mike Burrows 2 106.7 2 BIP
Jun 29 @ HOU · Peter Lambert 2 103.3 HR 2 BIP
Jun 28 vs COL · Ryan Feltner 4 104.3 4 BIP
Jun 27 vs COL · Michael Lorenzen 3 97.5 3 BIP
Jun 26 vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano 4 107.0 4 BIP
Jun 24 vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani 2 108.0 2 BIP
Jun 23 vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski 3 92.5 3 BIP
Jun 22 vs LAD · Eric Lauer 4 100.7 4 BIP
Jun 21 @ AZ · AZ Bullpen Proxy 2 97.0 2 BIP
Jun 20 @ AZ · Zac Gallen 4 103.5 4 BIP
Jun 19 @ AZ · Michael Soroka 4 105.2 HR 4 BIP
Jun 18 @ TEX · Jack Leiter 1 97.0 1 BIP
Jun 16 @ TEX · Kumar Rocker 3 102.3 3 BIP
Jun 15 @ TEX · MacKenzie Gore 2 85.0 2 BIP
Jun 14 vs STL · Michael McGreevy 3 97.8 3 BIP
Jun 13 vs STL · Matthew Liberatore 3 101.0 HR 3 BIP
Jun 12 vs STL · Kyle Leahy 4 107.2 HR 4 BIP
Jun 11 @ DET · Keider Montero 2 103.0 2 BIP
Jun 10 @ DET · Framber Valdez 4 107.6 HR 4 BIP
Jun 9 @ DET · Troy Melton 4 93.9 4 BIP
Jun 7 vs KC · Noah Cameron 4 112.4 4 BIP
Jun 6 vs KC · Luinder Avila 2 67.0 2 BIP
May 17 vs MIL · Robert Gasser 0
May 16 vs MIL · Logan Henderson 2 107.3 2 BIP
May 14 vs MIA · Braxton Garrett 3 93.7 3 BIP
Apr 29 vs SEA · George Kirby 3 100.1 3 BIP
Apr 26 @ TB · Griffin Jax 2 79.6 2 BIP
Apr 24 @ TB · Drew Rasmussen 4 103.5 HR 4 BIP
Apr 18 vs CIN · Andrew Abbott 0
Apr 17 vs CIN · Brandon Williamson 0
Apr 14 vs BOS · Sonny Gray 0
Apr 13 vs BOS · Garrett Crochet 0
Apr 11 @ TOR · Eric Lauer 0
Apr 9 vs DET · Jack Flaherty 3 110.7 3 BIP
Apr 8 vs DET · Framber Valdez 3 106.0 3 BIP
Apr 7 vs DET · Tarik Skubal 2 100.3 2 BIP
Apr 6 vs DET · Casey Mize 1 100.8 1 BIP
Apr 5 vs TB · Nick Martinez 0
Apr 4 vs TB · Steven Matz 2 81.9 2 BIP
Apr 2 @ KC · Cole Ragans 1 98.9 1 BIP
Apr 1 @ KC · Noah Cameron 3 102.0 3 BIP
Mar 30 @ KC · Kris Bubic 1 96.5 1 BIP
Mar 29 @ BAL · Shane Baz 2 98.2 HR 2 BIP
Mar 28 @ BAL · Kyle Bradish 2 101.0 HR 2 BIP
Mar 26 @ BAL · Trevor Rogers 2 93.6 2 BIP
Ballpark Progressive Field · open-air
Park Factor 0.931 Wind 8 mph from N Temp 76°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:10p 8 76° -9
2:10p 8 76° -9
3:10p 8 76° -9
4:10p 8 76° -9
5:10p 8 75° -10
-9
Slight red alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
8 mph 0% 0% 10% 20% 70% OPPO PULL Progressive Field
Game-window avg wind · blowing straight in (from N)
August 2026
All batters →
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game Thu 7/23
Dueness now
1.20×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
5 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
6 gm
since his last HR, Jul 11
Season
10 HR
60 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 9 gaps · median 5 gm · MAD ± 4 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

Score Breakdown Base 51 → 51
ISO (Power)
+17.3
Barrel Matchup
+16.5
season hr rate
+4.3
HR/FB Matchup
+3.5
Park Factor
+3.1
Pitcher FIP
+2.6
recent hr density 14d
+2.4
Exit Velocity
+0.9
Six home runs to freedom

Royce Lewis's full profile is waiting

Upgrade to see today’s matchup, HR profile, pitch analysis, HR history, ballpark conditions, the dueness calendar, and every signal behind this batter profile.

No card. Your first day includes the complete board.
60 more waiting in the on-deck circle
THR 3.3.126 · build 630

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.

Yesterday's board graded name-by-name — hits and misses — plus tonight's ranked board (scores and matchups; batter names are Pro), free in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.