2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Esmerlyn Valdez 6 HRs · 2 Ty France 5 HRs · 3 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 4 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 5 Willy Adames 4 HRs · 6 Nick Gonzales 4 HRs · 7 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 8 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs · 9 Junior Caminero 4 HRs · 10 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 11 Chase DeLauter 3 HRs · 12 Alex Bregman 3 HRs 1 Esmerlyn Valdez 6 HRs · 2 Ty France 5 HRs · 3 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 4 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 5 Willy Adames 4 HRs · 6 Nick Gonzales 4 HRs · 7 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 8 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs · 9 Junior Caminero 4 HRs · 10 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 11 Chase DeLauter 3 HRs · 12 Alex Bregman 3 HRs
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MIN · RHB
Royce Lewis

Royce Lewis

RHB
MIN · 61 appearances tracked
10 HRs
16.4% HR Rate
17.1% Avg HR/FB
88.9 Avg EV
0.157 ISO
#13 Best Rank
as of 2026-07-24
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
58
0.171
Avg EV
49
89.1
Barrel%
46
8.2%
HR/FB vs LHP
68
15.4%
Avg HR Dist
54
396
Match%
39
10.3%
Season HR%
16.4%
14D Pace
11.1%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
58
49
46
68
54
39
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 27 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-07-24
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 55.8%
14.4%
5
20.5%
Breaking 32.1%
9.8%
4
30.7%
Offspeed 12.1%
9.1%
1
34.2%
All 100% 12.4% 10 25.6%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Jacob Lopez · LHP · MIN
SMALL SAMPLE · 6 PA · since 2025
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-5 and 1 walk across 6 plate appearances since 2025. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers 3 of 4 active
Target Neutral Pitcher form Cold Platoon Edge Weather +2
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 8.2 vs
8.2
HR/FB 15.4 vs 17.3 ▼ risk
15.4
17.3
K% 25.6 vs
25.6
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 10 this season · avg 383 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Mar 29 Shane Baz · Camden Yards 98.2 377.0
Jul 9 vs CLE · Gavin Williams 103.7 389
HR by month
1
1
Mar Jul
All Appearances 61 tracked · 10 HR · 18 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Jul 23 @ CLE · Gavin Williams 3 98.5 3 BIP
Jul 22 @ CLE · Slade Cecconi 4 107.8 4 BIP
Jul 21 @ CLE · Parker Messick 3 85.2 3 BIP
Jul 20 @ CLE · Tanner Bibee 2 107.5 2 BIP
Jul 19 @ CHC · Shota Imanaga 4 109.6 4 BIP
Jul 17 @ CHC · Colin Rea 3 97.2 3 BIP
Jul 12 vs LAA · José Soriano 2 90.9 2 BIP
Jul 11 vs LAA · Ryan Johnson 3 107.7 HR 3 BIP
Jul 10 vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez 3 100.9 3 BIP
Jul 9 vs CLE · Gavin Williams 2 103.7 HR 2 BIP
Jul 8 vs CLE · Slade Cecconi 4 98.3 4 BIP
Jul 7 vs CLE · Joey Cantillo 1 95.1 1 BIP
Jul 5 @ NYY · Ryan Weathers 4 109.4 4 BIP
Jul 4 @ NYY · NYY Bullpen Proxy 4 102.7 4 BIP
Jul 3 @ NYY · Gerrit Cole 2 105.4 2 BIP
Jul 1 @ HOU · Tatsuya Imai 2 83.2 2 BIP
Jun 30 @ HOU · Mike Burrows 2 106.7 2 BIP
Jun 29 @ HOU · Peter Lambert 2 103.3 HR 2 BIP
Jun 28 vs COL · Ryan Feltner 4 104.3 4 BIP
Jun 27 vs COL · Michael Lorenzen 3 97.5 3 BIP
Jun 26 vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano 4 107.0 4 BIP
Jun 24 vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani 2 108.0 2 BIP
Jun 23 vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski 3 92.5 3 BIP
Jun 22 vs LAD · Eric Lauer 4 100.7 4 BIP
Jun 21 @ AZ · AZ Bullpen Proxy 2 97.0 2 BIP
Jun 20 @ AZ · Zac Gallen 4 103.5 4 BIP
Jun 19 @ AZ · Michael Soroka 4 105.2 HR 4 BIP
Jun 18 @ TEX · Jack Leiter 1 97.0 1 BIP
Jun 16 @ TEX · Kumar Rocker 3 102.3 3 BIP
Jun 15 @ TEX · MacKenzie Gore 2 85.0 2 BIP
Jun 14 vs STL · Michael McGreevy 3 97.8 3 BIP
Jun 13 vs STL · Matthew Liberatore 3 101.0 HR 3 BIP
Jun 12 vs STL · Kyle Leahy 4 107.2 HR 4 BIP
Jun 11 @ DET · Keider Montero 2 103.0 2 BIP
Jun 10 @ DET · Framber Valdez 4 107.6 HR 4 BIP
Jun 9 @ DET · Troy Melton 4 93.9 4 BIP
Jun 7 vs KC · Noah Cameron 4 112.4 4 BIP
Jun 6 vs KC · Luinder Avila 2 67.0 2 BIP
May 17 vs MIL · Robert Gasser 0
May 16 vs MIL · Logan Henderson 2 107.3 2 BIP
May 14 vs MIA · Braxton Garrett 3 93.7 3 BIP
Apr 29 vs SEA · George Kirby 3 100.1 3 BIP
Apr 26 @ TB · Griffin Jax 2 79.6 2 BIP
Apr 24 @ TB · Drew Rasmussen 4 103.5 HR 4 BIP
Apr 18 vs CIN · Andrew Abbott 0
Apr 17 vs CIN · Brandon Williamson 0
Apr 14 vs BOS · Sonny Gray 0
Apr 13 vs BOS · Garrett Crochet 0
Apr 11 @ TOR · Eric Lauer 0
Apr 9 vs DET · Jack Flaherty 3 110.7 3 BIP
Apr 8 vs DET · Framber Valdez 3 106.0 3 BIP
Apr 7 vs DET · Tarik Skubal 2 100.3 2 BIP
Apr 6 vs DET · Casey Mize 1 100.8 1 BIP
Apr 5 vs TB · Nick Martinez 0
Apr 4 vs TB · Steven Matz 2 81.9 2 BIP
Apr 2 @ KC · Cole Ragans 1 98.9 1 BIP
Apr 1 @ KC · Noah Cameron 3 102.0 3 BIP
Mar 30 @ KC · Kris Bubic 1 96.5 1 BIP
Mar 29 @ BAL · Shane Baz 2 98.2 HR 2 BIP
Mar 28 @ BAL · Kyle Bradish 2 101.0 HR 2 BIP
Mar 26 @ BAL · Trevor Rogers 2 93.6 2 BIP
Ballpark Target Field · open-air
Park Factor 0.945 Wind 12 mph from S Temp 80°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
7:10p 12 80° -7
8:10p 12 79° -8
9:10p 12 78° -9
10:10p 12 77° -10
11:10p 12 75° -10
-9
Slight red alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
12 mph 0% 0% 10% 20% 70% OPPO PULL Target Field
Game-window avg wind · blowing in from pull (from S)
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game Fri 7/24
Dueness now
1.40×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
5 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
7 gm
since his last HR, Jul 11
Season
10 HR
61 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 9 gaps · median 5 gm · MAD ± 4 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

Score Breakdown Base 48 → 48
ISO (Power)
+17.1
Barrel Matchup
+12.1
Pitcher FIP
+6.7
season hr rate
+4.3
Park Factor
+3.7
HR/FB Matchup
+1.6
recent hr density 14d
+1.4
Exit Velocity
+0.9
Six home runs to freedom

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