Jake Bauers
LHB
MIL
· 120 appearances tracked
23
HRs
19.2%
HR Rate
30.0%
Avg HR/FB
92.6
Avg EV
0.238
ISO
#1
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.226
Avg EV92.2
Barrel%11.2%
HR/FB vs RHP28.1%
Avg HR Dist401
Match%33.2%
Season HR%
19.7%
14D Pace
28.6%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-09-23
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
55.7%
14
Breaking
32.4%
11
Offspeed
11.8%
1
All
100%
14.1%
26
26.4%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Aaron Nola · RHP · MIL
SMALL SAMPLE · 8 PA · since 2023
.125
AVG
.125
SLG
0
HR
1-for-8 across 8 plate appearances since 2023. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Citizens Bank +HR
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Edge
Weather -1
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
11.2
vs
—
HR/FB
28.1
vs
23.0 ▲ edge
K%
26.4
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
23 this season · avg 401 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Apr 12
Zack Littell · American Family Field
—
104.7
391.0
May 18
Shota Imanaga · Wrigley Field
—
106.2
419.0
May 26
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
—
102.3
394.0
May 31
@ HOU · Tatsuya Imai
—
100.4
347
Jun 6
@ COL · Zach Agnos
—
97.1
378
Jun 8
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
—
106.1
457
Jun 12
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
—
106.5
391
Jun 24
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
—
109.8
428
Jun 30
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
—
106.1
425
Jul 9
@ STL · Andre Pallante
—
110.3
391
Jul 11
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
—
111.8
375
Jul 31
@ LAA · José Fermin
—
109.8
424
Aug 9
vs MIN · Connor Prielipp
—
103.8
384
Aug 22
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
—
106.5
413
Sep 6
@ CIN · Brady Singer
—
109.8
408
Sep 11
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
—
109.8
412
Sep 13
vs CIN · Brandon Williamson
—
108.1
386
HR by month
Jul
Aug
Sep
All Appearances
120 tracked · 23 HR · 89 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 22
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
1
80.2
1 BIP
Sep 20
@ BAL · Brandon Young
2
105.7
2 BIP
Sep 16
@ PIT · Jared Jones
1
104.2
1 BIP
Sep 15
@ PIT · Lake Bachar
2
90.9
2 BIP
Sep 13
vs CIN · Chase Burns
3
108.1
HR
3 BIP
Sep 12
vs CIN · Brady Singer
2
78.9
2 BIP
Sep 11
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
4
109.8
HR
4 BIP
Sep 6
@ CIN · Brady Singer
2
109.8
HR
2 BIP
Sep 4
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
2
102.1
2 BIP
Sep 3
@ CHC · Kevin Gausman
2
86.0
2 BIP
Sep 2
@ CHC · David Peterson
2
95.2
2 BIP
Sep 1
@ CHC · Matthew Boyd
1
59.1
1 BIP
Aug 31
@ CHC · Clay Holmes
2
103.0
2 BIP
Aug 30
vs TEX · Kumar Rocker
2
110.1
2 BIP
Aug 29
vs TEX · Cal Quantrill
0
—
—
Aug 28
vs TEX · Cody Bradford
2
95.1
2 BIP
Aug 23
vs ATL · Tyler Mahle
3
102.3
3 BIP
Aug 22
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
2
106.5
HR
2 BIP
Aug 21
vs ATL · Chris Sale
2
87.9
2 BIP
Aug 20
vs SEA · George Kirby
1
108.5
1 BIP
Aug 19
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
1
107.6
1 BIP
Aug 18
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
2
102.7
HR
2 BIP
Aug 16
@ LAD · Tarik Skubal
4
104.2
4 BIP
Aug 15
@ LAD · Justin Wrobleski
2
100.1
2 BIP
Aug 14
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
1
98.9
1 BIP
Aug 13
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
4
98.1
4 BIP
Aug 12
@ SD · Robbie Ray
4
99.4
4 BIP
Aug 11
@ SD · Walker Buehler
2
101.8
2 BIP
Aug 10
@ SD · Casey Mize
4
101.1
4 BIP
Aug 9
vs MIN · Connor Prielipp
3
103.8
HR
3 BIP
Aug 8
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
1
98.9
1 BIP
Aug 7
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
2
100.9
2 BIP
Aug 5
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
0
—
—
Aug 4
vs PIT · Jared Jones
0
—
—
Aug 3
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
2
93.6
2 BIP
Aug 2
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
3
95.8
3 BIP
Aug 1
@ LAA · Brent Suter
3
107.6
HR
3 BIP
Jul 31
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
4
109.8
HR
4 BIP
Jul 29
@ SF · Logan Webb
5
109.8
5 BIP
Jul 28
@ SF · Landen Roupp
0
—
—
Jul 27
@ SF · Tyler Mahle
2
107.7
2 BIP
Jul 26
vs COL · Kyle Freeland
3
106.6
3 BIP
Jul 25
vs COL · Ryan Feltner
2
95.9
2 BIP
Jul 24
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
3
106.3
3 BIP
Jul 22
vs NYM · Christian Scott
3
108.5
3 BIP
Jul 20
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
1
107.2
1 BIP
Jul 19
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
0
—
—
Jul 18
vs MIA · Max Meyer
3
99.2
3 BIP
Jul 17
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
0
—
—
Jul 12
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
3
101.5
3 BIP
Jul 11
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
2
111.8
HR
2 BIP
Jul 10
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
0
—
—
Jul 9
@ STL · Andre Pallante
2
110.3
HR
2 BIP
Jul 8
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
2
77.1
2 BIP
Jul 7
@ STL · Hunter Dobbins
4
108.3
4 BIP
Jul 6
@ STL · Dustin May
3
114.8
3 BIP
Jul 5
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
4
111.1
HR
4 BIP
Jul 4
@ AZ · Merrill Kelly
1
97.4
1 BIP
Jul 3
@ AZ · Jose Cabrera
4
102.4
4 BIP
Jul 2
vs CIN · Chase Burns
3
103.8
3 BIP
Jul 1
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
94.7
3 BIP
Jun 30
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
3
106.1
HR
3 BIP
Jun 29
vs CIN · Nick Lodolo
2
92.3
2 BIP
Jun 28
vs CHC · Ryan Rolison
3
95.9
3 BIP
Jun 27
vs CHC · David Peterson
0
—
—
Jun 26
vs CHC · Colin Rea
1
96.6
1 BIP
Jun 24
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
3
109.8
HR
3 BIP
Jun 23
@ CIN · Nick Lodolo
1
83.1
1 BIP
Jun 22
@ CIN · Brady Singer
1
84.6
1 BIP
Jun 21
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
3
103.1
3 BIP
Jun 18
vs CLE · Parker Messick
2
93.2
2 BIP
Jun 17
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
3
99.5
3 BIP
Jun 16
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
2
102.5
2 BIP
Jun 13
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
4
106.3
4 BIP
Jun 12
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
1
106.5
HR
1 BIP
Jun 10
@ ATH · Jack Perkins
0
—
—
Jun 9
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
1
100.3
1 BIP
Jun 8
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
3
106.1
HR
3 BIP
Jun 6
@ COL · Zach Agnos
1
97.1
HR
1 BIP
Jun 5
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
4
111.8
4 BIP
Jun 4
vs SF · Adrian Houser
0
—
—
Jun 3
vs SF · Logan Webb
3
104.2
3 BIP
Jun 2
vs SF · Trevor McDonald
4
108.9
HR
4 BIP
Jun 1
vs SF · Landen Roupp
3
103.7
3 BIP
May 31
@ HOU · Tatsuya Imai
3
109.3
HR
3 BIP
May 30
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
2
110.8
2 BIP
May 29
@ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
3
96.6
3 BIP
May 27
vs STL · Dustin May
2
109.1
2 BIP
May 26
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
3
105.2
HR
3 BIP
May 24
vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2
99.1
2 BIP
May 23
vs LAD · Roki Sasaki
1
47.5
1 BIP
May 22
vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski
4
95.9
4 BIP
May 20
@ CHC · Edward Cabrera
3
103.5
3 BIP
May 19
@ CHC · Ben Brown
4
104.4
4 BIP
May 18
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
4
106.2
HR
4 BIP
May 17
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
4
108.9
4 BIP
May 15
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
2
106.9
2 BIP
May 13
vs SD · Michael King
2
96.5
2 BIP
May 12
vs SD · Matt Waldron
3
88.8
3 BIP
May 9
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
2
107.0
HR
2 BIP
May 8
vs NYY · Max Fried
3
96.9
3 BIP
May 6
@ STL · Andre Pallante
3
108.9
3 BIP
May 5
@ STL · Andre Pallante
4
107.3
4 BIP
May 4
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
1
103.8
1 BIP
May 3
@ WSH · Zack Littell
3
100.3
3 BIP
May 2
@ WSH · Foster Griffin
3
96.9
3 BIP
May 1
@ WSH · Jake Irvin
1
78.6
1 BIP
Apr 30
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
4
104.0
4 BIP
Apr 29
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
2
108.9
2 BIP
Apr 26
vs PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
3
106.9
3 BIP
Apr 25
vs PIT · Mitch Keller
3
101.3
3 BIP
Apr 24
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
2
105.5
2 BIP
Apr 22
@ DET · Casey Mize
3
100.6
3 BIP
Apr 21
@ DET · Keider Montero
5
108.3
5 BIP
Apr 19
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
2
94.9
2 BIP
Apr 18
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
5
100.8
5 BIP
Apr 17
@ MIA · Janson Junk
3
109.7
3 BIP
Apr 15
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
2
96.8
2 BIP
Apr 12
vs WSH · Zack Littell
4
110.7
HR
4 BIP
Apr 10
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
3
112.4
HR
3 BIP
Ballpark
Citizens Bank Park · open-air
Park Factor
1.099
Wind
10 mph from NE
Temp
60°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:40p
10 ↙
60°
-5
7:40p
9 ↙
59°
-5
8:40p
9 ↙
58°
-5
9:40p
9 ↙
57°
-6
10:40p
10 ↙
56°
-7
-6
Slight red alignment
proxy spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing in from oppo (from NE)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Wed 9/23
Dueness now
1.00×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
4 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
4 gm
since his last HR, Sep 13
Season
23 HR
120 games · 2 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 22 gaps · median 4 gm · MAD ± 2.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 67 → 67
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
Pitcher FIP
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Jake Bauers
Will Jake Bauers hit a home run today?
Jake Bauers is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #8 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Aaron Nola at Citizens Bank Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Jake Bauers hit home runs?
Across 120 scored games this season, Jake Bauers has 23 home runs — one every 5.2 games, or about 19% of his scored games.
Has Jake Bauers homered off Aaron Nola before?
Not yet — Jake Bauers has faced Aaron Nola 8 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.