Brandon Lowe
LHB
PIT
· 126 appearances tracked
22
HRs
17.5%
HR Rate
26.0%
Avg HR/FB
89.9
Avg EV
0.254
ISO
#2
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.223
Avg EV91.0
Barrel%8.8%
HR/FB vs RHP25.8%
Avg HR Dist390
Match%27.6%
Season HR%
17.1%
14D Pace
22.2%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-09-09
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
49.3%
13
Breaking
35.8%
10
Offspeed
14.9%
5
All
100%
11.7%
28
29.1%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Davis Martin · RHP · PIT
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Davis Martin in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
Rate +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather Neutral
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
8.8
vs
—
HR/FB
25.8
vs
13.7 ▲ edge
K%
29.1
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
22 this season · avg 377 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Mar 29
Nolan McLean · Citi Field
—
103.4
390.0
May 21
@ STL · Dustin May
—
96.0
342.0
May 27
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
—
106.9
387.0
Jun 2
@ HOU · Mike Burrows
—
97.0
356
Jun 16
@ ATH · Elvis Alvarado
—
104.6
371
Jun 25
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
—
104.5
391
Jun 27
vs CIN · Chase Burns
—
107.4
396
Jul 30
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
—
103.4
402
Aug 8
vs NYM · Luis Torrens
—
98.9
380
Aug 19
vs DET · Kenley Jansen
—
105.6
359
HR by month
Jun
Jul
Aug
All Appearances
126 tracked · 22 HR · 78 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 8
@ CWS · Sean Burke
4
106.2
4 BIP
Sep 6
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
3
104.8
3 BIP
Sep 4
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
2
83.4
2 BIP
Sep 3
vs SF · Blade Tidwell
3
101.3
3 BIP
Sep 2
vs SF · Landen Roupp
4
102.2
4 BIP
Sep 1
vs SF · Logan Webb
6
103.7
HR
6 BIP
Aug 30
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
101.5
3 BIP
Aug 29
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
1
94.4
HR
1 BIP
Aug 26
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
1
85.0
1 BIP
Aug 25
@ SD · Michael King
1
83.2
1 BIP
Aug 24
@ SD · Robbie Ray
1
92.4
1 BIP
Aug 23
@ LAD · Blake Snell
3
93.8
3 BIP
Aug 21
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2
105.9
2 BIP
Aug 19
vs DET · Jackson Jobe
2
105.6
HR
2 BIP
Aug 18
vs DET · Keider Montero
4
97.0
4 BIP
Aug 17
vs DET · Framber Valdez
4
106.4
4 BIP
Aug 16
vs BOS · Patrick Sandoval
2
102.1
2 BIP
Aug 15
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
2
103.7
2 BIP
Aug 14
vs BOS · Jake Bennett
2
100.0
HR
2 BIP
Aug 13
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
3
102.1
3 BIP
Aug 12
@ MIA · Janson Junk
3
104.0
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
1
92.6
1 BIP
Aug 9
vs NYM · Sean Manaea
0
—
—
Aug 8
vs NYM · NYM Bullpen Proxy
1
98.9
HR
1 BIP
Aug 7
vs NYM · Zac Thornton
4
97.2
4 BIP
Aug 6
@ MIL · Dustin May
1
103.3
HR
1 BIP
Aug 5
@ MIL · Kyle Harrison
2
99.8
2 BIP
Aug 4
@ MIL · Logan Henderson
2
107.7
2 BIP
Aug 3
@ MIL · Brandon Sproat
3
101.0
3 BIP
Aug 2
@ CIN · Chase Burns
2
100.0
2 BIP
Aug 1
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
93.7
3 BIP
Jul 31
@ CIN · Hunter Greene
3
107.2
3 BIP
Jul 30
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
2
103.4
HR
2 BIP
Jul 29
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
2
87.9
2 BIP
Jul 28
vs AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
5
103.7
HR
5 BIP
Jul 27
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
3
104.5
3 BIP
Jul 26
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
4
93.1
4 BIP
Jul 24
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
2
97.8
2 BIP
Jul 22
@ NYY · Gerrit Cole
5
103.6
5 BIP
Jul 21
@ NYY · Will Warren
0
—
—
Jul 20
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
2
100.6
2 BIP
Jul 18
@ CLE · Logan Allen
4
105.9
4 BIP
Jul 17
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
0
—
—
Jul 12
vs MIL · Robert Gasser
2
91.2
2 BIP
Jul 11
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
5
100.7
5 BIP
Jul 10
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
0
—
—
Jul 9
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
3
96.5
3 BIP
Jul 8
vs ATL · Grant Holmes
3
91.6
3 BIP
Jul 7
vs ATL · Hurston Waldrep
4
102.8
4 BIP
Jul 5
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
4
107.6
HR
4 BIP
Jul 4
@ WSH · WSH Bullpen Proxy
3
109.3
3 BIP
Jul 3
@ WSH · Foster Griffin
3
88.8
3 BIP
Jul 2
@ PHI · Alan Rangel
3
109.8
3 BIP
Jul 1
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
3
106.7
3 BIP
Jun 29
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
2
111.0
2 BIP
Jun 28
vs CIN · Brady Singer
1
91.1
1 BIP
Jun 27
vs CIN · Chase Burns
4
107.8
HR
4 BIP
Jun 26
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
97.5
3 BIP
Jun 25
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
3
104.5
HR
3 BIP
Jun 24
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
5
97.0
5 BIP
Jun 23
vs SEA · George Kirby
4
106.3
4 BIP
Jun 21
@ COL · Michael Lorenzen
5
105.4
5 BIP
Jun 20
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
3
104.9
3 BIP
Jun 19
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
2
107.5
2 BIP
Jun 17
@ ATH · Aaron Civale
3
95.0
3 BIP
Jun 16
@ ATH · Jack Perkins
2
104.6
HR
2 BIP
Jun 15
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
3
90.6
3 BIP
Jun 14
vs MIA · Max Meyer
2
93.4
2 BIP
Jun 13
vs MIA · Lake Bachar
3
97.9
3 BIP
Jun 12
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
2
101.6
HR
2 BIP
Jun 11
vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski
3
103.7
HR
3 BIP
Jun 10
vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani
4
90.7
4 BIP
Jun 9
vs LAD · Eric Lauer
3
98.1
3 BIP
Jun 6
@ ATL · Spencer Strider
2
98.5
2 BIP
Jun 5
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
2
92.1
2 BIP
Jun 4
@ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
4
106.6
4 BIP
Jun 3
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
2
85.6
2 BIP
Jun 2
@ HOU · Mike Burrows
4
101.4
HR
4 BIP
May 31
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
4
107.0
4 BIP
May 30
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
3
105.3
3 BIP
May 29
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
0
—
—
May 28
vs CHC · Colin Rea
0
—
—
May 27
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
3
106.9
HR
3 BIP
May 26
vs CHC · Jordan Wicks
3
103.4
3 BIP
May 25
vs CHC · Ben Brown
3
109.1
3 BIP
May 24
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
3
105.3
3 BIP
May 22
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
3
94.8
3 BIP
May 21
@ STL · Dustin May
4
103.8
HR
4 BIP
May 20
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
5
110.6
5 BIP
May 19
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
101.8
3 BIP
May 17
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
3
110.2
3 BIP
May 16
vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
1
95.6
1 BIP
May 15
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
3
109.2
HR
3 BIP
May 14
vs COL · Chase Dollander
3
99.0
3 BIP
May 13
vs COL · Jose Quintana
3
88.0
3 BIP
May 12
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
2
79.8
2 BIP
May 10
@ SF · Tyler Mahle
2
97.5
2 BIP
May 9
@ SF · Landen Roupp
4
99.3
4 BIP
May 7
@ AZ · Zac Gallen
5
111.1
HR
5 BIP
May 6
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
4
104.9
HR
4 BIP
May 5
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
0
—
—
May 3
vs CIN · Chase Burns
2
89.1
2 BIP
May 2
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
1
84.4
1 BIP
May 1
vs CIN · Brady Singer
4
109.6
4 BIP
Apr 30
vs STL · Hunter Dobbins
5
110.0
HR
5 BIP
Apr 29
vs STL · Andre Pallante
2
99.1
2 BIP
Apr 28
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
2
103.8
2 BIP
Apr 27
vs STL · Dustin May
2
95.9
2 BIP
Apr 25
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
2
104.9
2 BIP
Apr 24
@ MIL · Brandon Woodruff
4
108.9
4 BIP
Apr 23
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
2
103.0
2 BIP
Apr 22
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
2
79.0
2 BIP
Apr 18
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
4
91.2
4 BIP
Apr 17
vs TB · Nick Martinez
5
105.7
5 BIP
Apr 16
vs WSH · Foster Griffin
3
103.2
3 BIP
Apr 11
vs NYY · Max Fried
3
96.8
3 BIP
Apr 8
vs CHC · Colin Rea
3
106.8
3 BIP
Apr 7
vs CHC · Javier Assad
1
96.1
1 BIP
Apr 6
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
3
88.9
3 BIP
Apr 5
vs TB · Simeon Woods Richardson
5
101.9
5 BIP
Apr 4
vs TB · Mick Abel
3
88.0
3 BIP
Apr 1
vs TB · Jacob Misiorowski
0
—
—
Mar 31
vs TB · Brandon Woodruff
3
83.3
3 BIP
Mar 30
vs TB · Kyle Harrison
1
99.5
1 BIP
Mar 29
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
3
103.4
HR
3 BIP
Mar 28
@ NYM · David Peterson
4
87.6
4 BIP
Ballpark
Rate Field · open-air
Park Factor
1.069
Wind
—
Temp
—
Roof
—
TimeWindTempFIT
——
——
——
——
——
——
+2
Neutral alignment
true spray · park signal · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Wed 9/9
Dueness now
1.00×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
5 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
5 gm
since his last HR, Sep 1
Season
22 HR
126 games · 2 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 21 gaps · median 5 gm · MAD ± 2 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 58 → 58
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Pitcher FIP
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Brandon Lowe
Will Brandon Lowe hit a home run today?
Brandon Lowe is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #30 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Davis Martin at Rate Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Brandon Lowe hit home runs?
Across 126 scored games this season, Brandon Lowe has 22 home runs — one every 5.7 games, or about 17% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.