4
HRs allowed
26.7%
HR rate (pool)
56.3%
Overall HR/FB
6.31
FIP
3.6
xFIP
+2.71
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
100
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Susceptible
Vulnerability 100th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
60.0%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 99.0 EV · 365 ft
max EV allowed 107.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 4 HR
30D · 4 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Steven Cruz.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
57.3%
83.3
30.1°
7
+0.5
Cutter Hard
27.7%
80.7
8.8°
0
-3.2
Slider Breaking
14.6%
86.1
16.9°
4
+5.5
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups15
HRs allowed (pool)4
Pool HR rate26.7%
Pool HR/game day2.0
Top-15 matchups2
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB56.3% 100
HR/9—
FIP6.31 95
xFIP3.6
FIP − xFIP+2.71 99
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed60.0%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-07
Fastball
Hard · 57.3% usage
+0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.3 mph
Avg launch angle30.1°
HRs allowed7
Pitches381
Cutter
Hard · 27.7% usage
-3.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.7 mph
Avg launch angle8.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches184
Slider
Breaking · 14.6% usage
+5.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.1 mph
Avg launch angle16.9°
HRs allowed4
Pitches97
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Steven Cruz.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
4 allowed · scored pool
avg 99.0 EV · 365 ft
4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 2 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-08
8
0
107.8
2026-06-26
7
4
106.8
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Steven Cruz isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Steven Cruz isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
7
4
57%
8
0
0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.