Pitch Arsenal
Batter vs. pitcher pitch-type matchups — when a batter who crushes a pitch type faces a pitcher whose version of that pitch is getting shelled, that's an exploitable edge.
⚡ Arsenal Edges
Historical Snapshot
Validated pre-game snapshot. This view was captured before first pitch.
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Batting
Pitching
30
Arsenal Edges
3
Edges That Hit HR
10%
Connection Rate
Arsenal Edges · 2026-09-05
| Hit? | Signal Composite signal strength combining three factors: how much the batter crushes this pitch (45%), how badly the pitcher gets shelled on it (35%), and how often the pitcher throws it (10%). Higher = more exploitable. | Batter | Pitcher |
Pitch
The specific pitch type where the matchup edge exists. Color-coded by family: Hard — Fastball, Sinker, Cutter Breaking — Slider, Curve, Sweeper Offspeed — Changeup, Splitter |
Bat RV/100
Batter's Run Value per 100 pitches against this pitch type. +15 = solid · +30 = elite crusher |
Pit RV/100
Pitcher's Run Value allowed per 100 on this pitch type. +10 = vulnerable · +20 = getting shelled |
Usage% How often the pitcher throws this pitch type. | Bat HRs Home runs the batter has hit off this specific pitch type this season. | Pit HRs Home runs the pitcher has allowed on this pitch type this season. | Rank The batter's rank on that day's slate (by model HR probability score). |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | Angel Martinez | Framber Valdez | Curveball | +8.6 | +0.5 | 29% | 4 | 4 | #132 | |
| · | Dominic Canzone | Jeffrey Springs | Fastball | +1.8 | +1.6 | 44% | 10 | 13 | #11 | |
| · | Braden Montgomery | Taj Bradley | Fastball | +2.6 | -0.5 | 47% | 2 | 10 | #129 | |
| · | Jac Caglianone | Max Scherzer | Slider | +5.3 | +4.1 | 18% | 7 | 7 | #18 | |
| · | Juan Soto | Anthony Molina | Fastball | +2.4 | -0.6 | 47% | 8 | 1 | #16 | |
| · | Jackson Chourio | Andrew Abbott | Fastball | +2.1 | +0.3 | 45% | 8 | 11 | #17 | |
| · | Jake Bauers | Andrew Abbott | Fastball | +2.1 | +0.3 | 45% | 6 | 11 | #19 | |
| 💥 | Munetaka Murakami | Taj Bradley | Fastball | +2.1 | -0.5 | 47% | 13 | 10 | #3 | |
| · | Ben Rice | Robbie Ray | Fastball | +4.3 | +0.2 | 33% | 17 | 13 | #27 | |
| · | J.P. Crawford | Jeffrey Springs | Fastball | +0.8 | +1.6 | 44% | 4 | 13 | #133 | |
| · | Jac Caglianone | Max Scherzer | Fastball | +1.6 | -0.6 | 47% | 7 | 3 | #18 | |
| · | Josh Naylor | Jeffrey Springs | Fastball | +0.7 | +1.6 | 44% | 5 | 13 | #161 | |
| · | Randy Arozarena | Jeffrey Springs | Fastball | +0.4 | +1.6 | 44% | 6 | 13 | #23 | |
| · | Dalton Rushing | Cade Cavalli | Knuckle Curve | +6.0 | -1.0 | 27% | 0 | 2 | #62 | |
| · | Mookie Betts | Cade Cavalli | Knuckle Curve | +6.1 | -1.0 | 27% | 1 | 2 | #108 | |
| · | Tristan Peters | Taj Bradley | Fastball | +1.0 | -0.5 | 47% | 5 | 10 | #51 | |
| · | Julio Rodríguez | Jeffrey Springs | Fastball | +0.1 | +1.6 | 44% | 6 | 13 | #55 | |
| · | Nick Loftin | Max Scherzer | Fastball | +1.0 | -0.6 | 47% | 4 | 3 | #86 | |
| · | George Springer | Seth Lugo | Curveball | +6.3 | +1.8 | 15% | 2 | 4 | #87 | |
| · | Jonah Heim | George Kirby | Splitter | +7.9 | +3.6 | 2% | 3 | 1 | #106 | |
| · | Chase Delauter | Framber Valdez | Sinker | +1.3 | -0.3 | 45% | 1 | 5 | #156 | |
| · | Sam Antonacci | Taj Bradley | Fastball | +1.2 | -0.5 | 47% | 6 | 10 | #163 | |
| · | Carson Benge | Anthony Molina | Fastball | +1.3 | -0.6 | 47% | 6 | 1 | #165 | |
| · | Michael Massey | Max Scherzer | Slider | +3.7 | +4.1 | 18% | 3 | 7 | #89 | |
| · | Yandy Diaz | Jacob deGrom | Slider | +4.5 | -2.3 | 36% | 4 | 2 | #146 | |
| 💥 | Kyle Schwarber | Martin Perez | Sinker | +3.4 | -0.8 | 35% | 8 | 2 | #1 | |
| 💥 | Max Muncy | Cade Cavalli | Fastball | +2.7 | +0.7 | 33% | 16 | 8 | #26 | |
| · | Zack Gelof | George Kirby | Splitter | +7.5 | +3.6 | 2% | 1 | 1 | #38 | |
| · | Bobby Witt | Max Scherzer | Fastball | +0.7 | -0.6 | 47% | 3 | 3 | #61 | |
| · | Cole Young | Jeffrey Springs | Fastball | -0.2 | +1.6 | 44% | 6 | 13 | #111 |
What is Run Value (RV)?
Run Value measures how much a pitch outcome changes the expected runs in a game.
Positive RV for a batter = good (they're generating offense). Positive RV against a pitcher = bad (they're giving up offense).
RV/100 normalizes per 100 pitches seen/thrown for fair comparison.
How Arsenal Edges work: When a batter with a high RV against fastballs faces a pitcher whose fastball has a high RV allowed, and that pitcher throws their fastball 40%+ of the time — that's a concrete, pitch-level HR edge that goes beyond general HR/FB rates.
Pitch families: Hard (Fastball, Sinker, Cutter) · Breaking (Slider, Curveball, Sweeper) · Offspeed (Changeup, Splitter)
Data source: Statcast pitch-level data via Baseball Savant. Hover any column header for a detailed explanation, or hover any cell for per-pitcher/batter context.
How Arsenal Edges work: When a batter with a high RV against fastballs faces a pitcher whose fastball has a high RV allowed, and that pitcher throws their fastball 40%+ of the time — that's a concrete, pitch-level HR edge that goes beyond general HR/FB rates.
Pitch families: Hard (Fastball, Sinker, Cutter) · Breaking (Slider, Curveball, Sweeper) · Offspeed (Changeup, Splitter)
Data source: Statcast pitch-level data via Baseball Savant. Hover any column header for a detailed explanation, or hover any cell for per-pitcher/batter context.