HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.33
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
·
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
·
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
·
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
·
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
·
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
·
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
4.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
101
Pool Matchups
4
HRs Allowed (Pool)
9
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
4.0%
HR Rate
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | JJ Bleday | #15 | 71 | Great American Ball Park | 96.8mph | 36.0° | 363ft |
| 2026-05-19 | Xavier Edwards | #106 | 44 | loanDepot Park | 101.2mph | 28.0° | 385.0ft |
| 2026-05-06 | Julio Rodríguez | #65 | 40 | T-Mobile Park | 110.4mph | 25.0° | 436.0ft |
| 2026-04-11 | Jose Ramirez | #85 | 52 | Truist Park | 108.1mph | 20.0° | 403.0ft |
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Joey Ortiz | #206 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Blake Perkins | #162 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Christian Yelich | #152 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Andrew Vaughn | #145 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | William Contreras | #128 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Brice Turang | #80 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Garrett Mitchell | #77 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Jackson Chourio | #22 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Jung Hoo Lee | #125 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Drew Gilbert | #123 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Luis Arráez | #94 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Rafael Devers | #60 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Willy Adames | #44 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Casey Schmitt | #37 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Matt Chapman | #36 | 55 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Mark Vientos | #137 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Bo Bichette | #128 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Marcus Semien | #99 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Carson Benge | #97 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | MJ Melendez | #71 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Juan Soto | #19 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Luisangel Acuña | #119 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Sam Antonacci | #116 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Chase Meidroth | #113 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Edgar Quero | #92 | 35 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Everson Pereira | #50 | 51 | 🟠 C | · — | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Randal Grichuk | #16 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Colson Montgomery | #14 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Miguel Vargas | #13 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Jared Triolo | #232 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Jhostynxon Garcia | #211 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Nick Gonzales | #162 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Marcell Ozuna | #147 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Bryan Reynolds | #84 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Henry Davis | #62 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Spencer Horwitz | #57 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Brandon Lowe | #28 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Oneil Cruz | #19 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Blake Dunn | #192 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Matt McLain | #164 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Tyler Stephenson | #144 | 44 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Eugenio Suárez | #138 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Spencer Steer | #113 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Dane Myers | #98 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Sal Stewart | #48 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Elly De La Cruz | #21 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | JJ Bleday | #15 | 71 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-24 | Nasim Nuñez | #277 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Andrés Chaparro | #236 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Curtis Mead | #104 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Jacob Young | #94 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Dylan Crews | #83 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Daylen Lile | #39 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-24 | CJ Abrams | #38 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Keibert Ruiz | #29 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-24 | James Wood | #7 | 74 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Christopher Morel | #249 | 15 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Joe Mack | #175 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Leo Jiménez | #139 | 38 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Connor Norby | #132 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Heriberto Hernández | #126 | 40 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Kyle Stowers | #116 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Xavier Edwards | #106 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-19 | Otto Lopez | #91 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Esteury Ruiz | #71 | 51 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Leo Rivas | #117 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | J.P. Crawford | #108 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Josh Naylor | #96 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Cole Young | #88 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Randy Arozarena | #66 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Julio Rodríguez | #65 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-06 | Luke Raley | #47 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Cal Raleigh | #41 | 44 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Dominic Canzone | #19 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Javier Báez | #112 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Matt Vierling | #82 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Colt Keith | #75 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Gleyber Torres | #68 | 54 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Kevin McGonigle | #29 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · — | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Riley Greene | #20 | 71 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Kerry Carpenter | #15 | 73 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Spencer Torkelson | #10 | 77 | 🟡 B | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Dillon Dingler | #6 | 80 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | J.T. Realmuto | #121 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Alec Bohm | #119 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Bryson Stott | #107 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Justin Crawford | #84 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Trea Turner | #83 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Brandon Marsh | #55 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Adolis García | #40 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Bryce Harper | #10 | 78 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Kyle Schwarber | #3 | 88 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Brayan Rocchio | #213 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Steven Kwan | #212 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Angel Martinez | #197 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Daniel Schneemann | #146 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Nolan Jones | #143 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Bo Naylor | #122 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Jose Ramirez | #85 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-11 | Gabriel Arias | #69 | 48 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Kyle Manzardo | #62 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |