Pete Crow-Armstrong
LHB
CHC
· 117 appearances tracked
23
HRs
19.7%
HR Rate
16.6%
Avg HR/FB
91.0
Avg EV
0.186
ISO
#3
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.258
Avg EV90.3
Barrel%12.3%
HR/FB18.6%
Avg HR Dist395
Match%33.8%
Season HR%
19.3%
14D Pace
15.4%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-10
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
52.6%
11
Breaking
31.1%
9
Offspeed
16.3%
6
All
100%
12.1%
26
26.9%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs WSH Bullpen Proxy · CHC
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs WSH Bullpen Proxy in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Nationals +HR
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon —
Weather +1
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
12.3
vs
—
HR/FB
18.6
vs
15.3 ▲ edge
K%
26.9
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
23 this season · avg 395 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
May 6
Brady Singer · Wrigley Field
—
104.5
375.0
Jun 4
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
—
110.1
383
Jun 15
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
—
106.0
434
Jun 16
vs COL · Ryan Feltner
—
97.7
386
Jun 17
vs COL · Sean Sullivan
—
99.2
364
Jun 20
vs TOR · Lazaro Estrada
—
106.5
400
Jun 23
@ NYM · Kodai Senga
—
101.9
409
Jun 30
vs SD · Ron Marinaccio
—
100.1
377
Jul 1
vs SD · Kyle Hart
—
100.4
390
Jul 8
@ BAL · Dean Kremer
—
106.7
419
Aug 5
vs LAD · Eric Lauer
—
104.4
405
HR by month
Jun
Jul
Aug
All Appearances
117 tracked · 23 HR · 65 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 9
@ KC · Randy Dobnak
3
99.2
3 BIP
Aug 8
@ KC · Seth Lugo
1
83.5
1 BIP
Aug 7
@ KC · Daniel Lynch IV
2
98.2
2 BIP
Aug 6
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
3
108.4
3 BIP
Aug 5
vs LAD · Eric Lauer
4
104.4
HR
4 BIP
Aug 4
vs LAD · Tarik Skubal
2
93.0
2 BIP
Aug 3
vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski
3
107.6
3 BIP
Aug 2
vs NYY · Gerrit Cole
1
74.8
1 BIP
Aug 1
vs NYY · Max Fried
2
96.4
2 BIP
Jul 31
vs NYY · Will Warren
3
98.9
3 BIP
Jul 30
@ STL · Andre Pallante
3
103.4
3 BIP
Jul 29
@ STL · Dustin May
5
109.1
HR
5 BIP
Jul 28
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
2
102.9
2 BIP
Jul 27
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
1
101.1
1 BIP
Jul 26
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
3
96.1
3 BIP
Jul 25
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
4
107.3
HR
4 BIP
Jul 24
@ PIT · Jared Jones
2
100.6
HR
2 BIP
Jul 22
vs DET · Keider Montero
1
52.7
1 BIP
Jul 21
vs DET · Framber Valdez
2
93.9
2 BIP
Jul 20
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
4
99.7
4 BIP
Jul 19
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
2
106.6
2 BIP
Jul 18
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
2
98.6
2 BIP
Jul 17
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
2
79.9
2 BIP
Jul 12
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
96.0
3 BIP
Jul 11
@ CIN · Nick Lodolo
1
71.5
1 BIP
Jul 10
@ CIN · Hunter Greene
1
79.7
1 BIP
Jul 9
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
2
91.8
2 BIP
Jul 8
@ BAL · Dean Kremer
2
106.7
HR
2 BIP
Jul 7
@ BAL · Shane Baz
4
103.4
4 BIP
Jul 5
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
85.2
3 BIP
Jul 4
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
1
74.3
1 BIP
Jul 3
vs STL · Andre Pallante
3
111.1
3 BIP
Jul 1
vs SD · Walker Buehler
3
100.4
HR
3 BIP
Jun 30
vs SD · JP Sears
3
104.0
HR
3 BIP
Jun 29
vs SD · Griffin Canning
3
84.5
3 BIP
Jun 28
@ MIL · Brandon Woodruff
1
50.4
1 BIP
Jun 27
@ MIL · Kyle Harrison
2
104.9
2 BIP
Jun 26
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
1
40.5
1 BIP
Jun 25
@ NYM · Freddy Peralta
4
106.7
4 BIP
Jun 24
@ NYM · Sean Manaea
4
103.8
4 BIP
Jun 23
@ NYM · Kodai Senga
1
101.9
HR
1 BIP
Jun 22
@ NYM · Kodai Senga
0
—
—
Jun 21
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
0
—
—
Jun 20
vs TOR · Patrick Corbin
2
106.5
HR
2 BIP
Jun 19
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
3
93.3
3 BIP
Jun 17
vs COL · COL Bullpen Proxy
3
99.2
HR
3 BIP
Jun 16
vs COL · Ryan Feltner
3
101.2
HR
3 BIP
Jun 15
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
5
106.0
HR
5 BIP
Jun 14
@ SF · Logan Webb
3
103.9
3 BIP
Jun 13
@ SF · Trevor McDonald
3
102.7
HR
3 BIP
Jun 12
@ SF · Landen Roupp
3
103.8
3 BIP
Jun 11
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
5
99.7
5 BIP
Jun 10
@ COL · Michael Lorenzen
4
107.5
4 BIP
Jun 9
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
1
91.8
1 BIP
Jun 7
vs SF · Trevor McDonald
3
99.5
3 BIP
Jun 6
vs SF · Landen Roupp
5
105.4
HR
5 BIP
Jun 5
vs SF · Robbie Ray
2
92.3
2 BIP
Jun 4
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
2
110.1
HR
2 BIP
Jun 3
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
3
103.1
HR
3 BIP
Jun 2
vs ATH · Gage Jump
4
105.1
4 BIP
May 31
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
4
107.1
4 BIP
May 30
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
4
114.6
HR
4 BIP
May 29
@ STL · Andre Pallante
3
109.8
3 BIP
May 28
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
2
100.8
2 BIP
May 27
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
2
108.9
2 BIP
May 26
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
3
105.6
3 BIP
May 25
@ PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
4
105.2
4 BIP
May 24
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
2
100.2
2 BIP
May 23
vs HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
2
100.5
2 BIP
May 22
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
2
104.7
HR
2 BIP
May 20
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
1
84.3
1 BIP
May 19
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
2
88.2
2 BIP
May 18
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
2
106.5
2 BIP
May 17
@ CWS · Erick Fedde
3
94.3
3 BIP
May 16
@ CWS · Davis Martin
2
100.4
HR
2 BIP
May 15
@ CWS · Sean Burke
3
105.0
3 BIP
May 14
@ ATL · Chris Sale
3
92.6
3 BIP
May 13
@ ATL · JR Ritchie
2
95.1
2 BIP
May 12
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
1
40.2
1 BIP
May 10
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
3
101.1
3 BIP
May 9
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
3
96.8
3 BIP
May 8
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
3
108.6
3 BIP
May 7
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
3
97.7
3 BIP
May 6
vs CIN · Brady Singer
3
104.5
HR
3 BIP
May 5
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
108.5
3 BIP
May 4
vs CIN · Chase Petty
3
103.6
3 BIP
May 3
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
4
110.9
4 BIP
May 2
vs AZ · Ryne Nelson
2
104.1
2 BIP
May 1
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
4
104.7
4 BIP
Apr 29
@ SD · Matt Waldron
3
105.4
HR
3 BIP
Apr 28
@ SD · Walker Buehler
2
106.3
HR
2 BIP
Apr 27
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
2
104.5
2 BIP
Apr 26
@ LAD · Justin Wrobleski
3
102.3
3 BIP
Apr 25
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
0
—
—
Apr 24
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
2
103.5
2 BIP
Apr 22
vs PHI · Kyle Backhus
3
108.8
3 BIP
Apr 21
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
4
104.3
4 BIP
Apr 20
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
3
100.0
3 BIP
Apr 19
vs NYM · Tobias Myers
2
109.5
2 BIP
Apr 18
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
3
100.1
3 BIP
Apr 17
vs NYM · Kodai Senga
2
97.9
2 BIP
Apr 15
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
3
102.0
3 BIP
Apr 14
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
3
107.4
3 BIP
Apr 13
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
3
106.4
3 BIP
Apr 11
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
1
105.2
1 BIP
Apr 10
vs PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
3
84.7
3 BIP
Apr 8
@ TB · Joe Boyle
3
97.8
3 BIP
Apr 7
@ TB · Drew Rasmussen
5
108.3
HR
5 BIP
Apr 6
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
2
105.5
2 BIP
Apr 5
@ CLE · Slade Cecconi
6
109.2
6 BIP
Apr 4
@ CLE · Slade Cecconi
0
—
—
Apr 1
vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
2
77.5
2 BIP
Mar 31
vs LAA · José Soriano
2
99.6
2 BIP
Mar 30
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
2
101.4
2 BIP
Mar 29
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
4
99.5
4 BIP
Mar 28
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
3
111.5
3 BIP
Mar 26
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
3
100.2
3 BIP
Ballpark
Nationals Park · open-air
Park Factor
1.178
Wind
4 mph from SW
Temp
83°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:45p
4 ↑
83°
+10
7:45p
4 ↑
81°
+10
8:45p
4 ↑
79°
+10
9:45p
4 ↑
77°
+9
10:45p
5 ↑
75°
+10
+10
Slight green alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from SSW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Tue 8/11
Dueness now
1.00×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
4 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
4 gm
since his last HR, Aug 5
Season
23 HR
117 games · 2 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 22 gaps · median 4 gm · MAD ± 3.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 72 → 72
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
HR/FB Matchup
season hr rate
Pitcher FIP
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Pete Crow-Armstrong
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong hit a home run today?
Pete Crow-Armstrong is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #4 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing WSH Bullpen Proxy at Nationals Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Pete Crow-Armstrong hit home runs?
Across 117 scored games this season, Pete Crow-Armstrong has 23 home runs — one every 5.1 games, or about 20% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.