Luke Keaschall
RHB
MIN
· 117 appearances tracked
8
HRs
6.8%
HR Rate
6.8%
Avg HR/FB
84.6
Avg EV
0.093
ISO
#35
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.109
Avg EV85.4
Barrel%3.7%
HR/FB vs RHP10.7%
Avg HR Dist374
Match%6.8%
Season HR%
6.8%
14D Pace
8.3%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
60.7%
7
Breaking
27.7%
1
Offspeed
11.6%
0
All
100%
3.6%
8
15.4%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Jordan Hicks · RHP · MIN
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Jordan Hicks in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
1 of 4 active
Target Neutral
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Even
Weather +1
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
3.7
vs
—
HR/FB
10.7
vs
11.8 ▼ risk
K%
15.4
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
117 tracked · 8 HR · 1 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
3
87.3
3 BIP
Aug 28
vs CWS · Luis Castillo
4
101.4
4 BIP
Aug 26
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
4
98.3
4 BIP
Aug 25
@ ATH · Gage Jump
2
93.8
2 BIP
Aug 24
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
5
105.8
5 BIP
Aug 23
@ SD · Walker Buehler
3
92.9
3 BIP
Aug 22
@ SD · Casey Mize
4
101.6
HR
4 BIP
Aug 21
@ SD · SD Bullpen Proxy
3
104.1
3 BIP
Aug 19
vs ATL · AJ Smith-Shawver
5
102.6
5 BIP
Aug 18
vs ATL · Tyler Mahle
4
98.1
4 BIP
Aug 17
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
4
95.6
4 BIP
Aug 16
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
1
80.2
1 BIP
Aug 15
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
3
102.7
3 BIP
Aug 13
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
2
103.6
HR
2 BIP
Aug 12
vs BAL · Shane Baz
3
95.2
3 BIP
Aug 11
vs BAL · Brandon Young
1
98.5
1 BIP
Aug 10
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
2
87.1
2 BIP
Aug 9
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
4
95.8
4 BIP
Aug 8
@ MIL · Robert Gasser
4
100.2
4 BIP
Aug 7
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
2
86.8
2 BIP
Aug 6
@ KC · Michael Wacha
4
100.2
4 BIP
Aug 4
@ KC · Randy Dobnak
3
96.1
3 BIP
Aug 2
@ SEA · George Kirby
4
102.2
HR
4 BIP
Aug 1
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
3
100.4
HR
3 BIP
Jul 31
@ SEA · Bryce Miller
2
91.5
2 BIP
Jul 30
vs KC · Noah Cameron
3
96.6
3 BIP
Jul 29
vs KC · Randy Dobnak
3
103.7
3 BIP
Jul 28
vs KC · Seth Lugo
4
100.3
4 BIP
Jul 26
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
3
95.1
3 BIP
Jul 24
vs ATH · Jacob Lopez
0
—
—
Jul 23
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
4
105.1
4 BIP
Jul 22
@ CLE · Slade Cecconi
2
97.4
2 BIP
Jul 21
@ CLE · Parker Messick
2
92.9
2 BIP
Jul 19
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
3
80.1
3 BIP
Jul 18
@ CHC · Matthew Boyd
2
94.1
2 BIP
Jul 17
@ CHC · Colin Rea
3
91.8
3 BIP
Jul 12
vs LAA · José Soriano
2
99.9
2 BIP
Jul 11
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
104.5
3 BIP
Jul 10
vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
2
98.0
2 BIP
Jul 9
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
1
87.4
1 BIP
Jul 8
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
2
87.5
2 BIP
Jul 7
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
4
103.4
4 BIP
Jul 5
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
3
81.8
3 BIP
Jul 4
@ NYY · NYY Bullpen Proxy
4
98.4
HR
4 BIP
Jul 3
@ NYY · Gerrit Cole
3
96.6
3 BIP
Jul 1
@ HOU · Tatsuya Imai
1
96.7
HR
1 BIP
Jun 29
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
3
93.1
3 BIP
Jun 28
vs COL · Ryan Feltner
3
86.3
3 BIP
Jun 27
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
3
107.3
3 BIP
Jun 26
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
2
85.2
2 BIP
Jun 23
vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski
1
82.2
1 BIP
Jun 22
vs LAD · Eric Lauer
2
74.3
2 BIP
Jun 21
@ AZ · AZ Bullpen Proxy
4
102.9
4 BIP
Jun 20
@ AZ · Zac Gallen
6
103.1
6 BIP
Jun 19
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
3
91.3
3 BIP
Jun 18
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
2
93.7
2 BIP
Jun 16
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
3
98.2
3 BIP
Jun 15
@ TEX · MacKenzie Gore
2
95.7
2 BIP
Jun 14
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
3
98.0
3 BIP
Jun 13
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
107.1
HR
3 BIP
Jun 12
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
1
92.1
1 BIP
Jun 10
@ DET · Framber Valdez
3
103.2
3 BIP
Jun 9
@ DET · Troy Melton
2
99.3
2 BIP
Jun 7
vs KC · Noah Cameron
4
95.9
4 BIP
Jun 5
vs KC · Michael Wacha
3
93.8
3 BIP
Jun 4
vs KC · Seth Lugo
2
92.9
2 BIP
Jun 3
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
3
99.5
3 BIP
Jun 2
vs CWS · Davis Martin
4
103.2
4 BIP
Jun 1
vs CWS · David Sandlin
3
97.9
3 BIP
May 31
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
2
96.0
2 BIP
May 30
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
4
106.5
4 BIP
May 27
@ CWS · David Sandlin
3
97.3
3 BIP
May 26
@ CWS · Sean Burke
4
95.3
4 BIP
May 25
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
4
107.2
4 BIP
May 22
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
3
99.6
3 BIP
May 20
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
4
90.1
4 BIP
May 18
vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai
2
93.1
2 BIP
May 17
vs MIL · Robert Gasser
3
98.4
3 BIP
May 14
vs MIA · Braxton Garrett
2
102.0
2 BIP
May 13
vs MIA · Max Meyer
3
95.7
3 BIP
May 12
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
1
59.5
1 BIP
May 10
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
3
89.7
3 BIP
May 9
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
2
85.5
2 BIP
May 8
@ CLE · Parker Messick
3
101.7
3 BIP
May 7
@ WSH · Jake Irvin
2
89.8
2 BIP
May 6
@ WSH · Miles Mikolas
3
93.1
3 BIP
May 5
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
2
88.6
2 BIP
May 2
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
3
95.3
3 BIP
May 1
vs TOR · Patrick Corbin
1
101.2
1 BIP
Apr 30
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
4
94.0
4 BIP
Apr 29
vs SEA · George Kirby
3
93.3
3 BIP
Apr 28
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
1
71.7
1 BIP
Apr 27
vs SEA · Luis Castillo
3
81.0
3 BIP
Apr 26
@ TB · Griffin Jax
3
85.3
3 BIP
Apr 25
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
2
95.9
2 BIP
Apr 23
@ NYM · Christian Scott
4
96.8
4 BIP
Apr 22
@ NYM · Clay Holmes
4
95.7
4 BIP
Apr 21
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
3
103.1
3 BIP
Apr 19
vs CIN · Brady Singer
5
99.9
5 BIP
Apr 18
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
4
101.5
4 BIP
Apr 17
vs CIN · Brandon Williamson
3
100.5
3 BIP
Apr 14
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
4
96.1
4 BIP
Apr 13
vs BOS · Garrett Crochet
3
94.5
3 BIP
Apr 11
@ TOR · Eric Lauer
3
90.4
3 BIP
Apr 10
@ TOR · Patrick Corbin
4
103.3
4 BIP
Apr 9
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
1
85.1
1 BIP
Apr 8
vs DET · Framber Valdez
5
89.0
5 BIP
Apr 7
vs DET · Tarik Skubal
3
90.1
3 BIP
Apr 6
vs DET · Casey Mize
2
101.8
HR
2 BIP
Apr 5
vs TB · Nick Martinez
4
104.7
4 BIP
Apr 4
vs TB · Steven Matz
2
78.8
2 BIP
Apr 2
@ KC · Cole Ragans
3
100.3
3 BIP
Apr 1
@ KC · Noah Cameron
4
104.1
4 BIP
Mar 30
@ KC · Kris Bubic
3
100.1
3 BIP
Mar 29
@ BAL · Shane Baz
4
90.3
4 BIP
Mar 28
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
3
101.5
3 BIP
Mar 26
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
4
101.6
4 BIP
Ballpark
Target Field · open-air
Park Factor
0.943
Wind
6 mph from SE
Temp
84°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:10p
6 ↘
84°
-6
2:10p
7 ↘
87°
-7
3:10p
8 ↘
89°
-7
4:10p
9 ↘
91°
-7
5:10p
8 ↘
91°
-7
-7
Slight red alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing straight in (from SSE)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
0.67×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
9 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
6 gm
since his last HR, Aug 22
Season
8 HR
117 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 7 gaps · median 9 gm · MAD ± 7 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 29 → 29
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
Pitcher FIP
season hr rate
recent hr density 14d
HR/FB Matchup
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Luke Keaschall
Will Luke Keaschall hit a home run today?
Luke Keaschall is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #190 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Jordan Hicks at Target Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Luke Keaschall hit home runs?
Across 117 scored games this season, Luke Keaschall has 8 home runs — one every 14.6 games, or about 7% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.