MLB Home Run Predictions — April 6, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-04-06: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for April 6, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
19
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
4/15
Top-15 picks that homered
42.6 vs 35.2
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Shohei Ohtani | Max Scherzer | 72 | B AboveAvg |
| #6 | Teoscar Hernandez | Max Scherzer | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #7 | Drake Baldwin | José Soriano | 48 | D Below |
| #14 | Zach Neto | Chris Sale | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #24 | Junior Caminero | Jameson Taillon | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #27 | Matt Shaw | Shane McClanahan | 38 | D Below |
| #29 | Jo Adell | Chris Sale | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #31 | Cal Raleigh | Jacob deGrom | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #39 | Freddie Freeman | Max Scherzer | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #56 | Jonathan Aranda | Jameson Taillon | 41 | D Below |
| #67 | Willson Contreras | Zack Littell | 43 | D Below |
| #69 | Cam Smith | Ryan Feltner | 34 | D Below |
| #72 | Tyler Stephenson | Janson Junk | 48 | D Below |
| #157 | Luke Keaschall | Casey Mize | 30 | D Below |
| #162 | Mauricio Dubon | Ryan Feltner | 28 | D Below |
| #176 | Jonathan India | Tanner Bibee | 29 | D Below |
| #197 | Steven Kwan | Michael Wacha | 23 | D Below |
| #198 | Brayan Rocchio | Michael Wacha | 25 | D Below |
| #209 | Gunnar Henderson | Grant Taylor | 34 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Jonathan Aranda, Willson Contreras, Cam Smith, Tyler Stephenson, Luke Keaschall, Mauricio Dubon, Jonathan India, Steven Kwan, Brayan Rocchio, Gunnar Henderson
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.