MLB Home Run Predictions — April 7, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-04-07: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for April 7, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
9
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
1/15
Top-15 picks that homered
39.2 vs 36.6
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #3 | Mickey Moniak | Mike Burrows | 61 | C+ Value |
| #54 | Gunnar Henderson | Shane Smith | 37 | D Below |
| #61 | Christian Walker | Kyle Freeland | 49 | D Below |
| #62 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Drew Rasmussen | 46 | D Below |
| #100 | Brendan Donovan | Cade Cavalli | 29 | D Below |
| #127 | Jorge Soler | Reynaldo López | 43 | D Below |
| #161 | Kyle Higashioka | George Kirby | 31 | D Below |
| #178 | Ozzie Albies | Yusei Kikuchi | 34 | D Below |
| #235 | Xander Bogaerts | Paul Skenes | 23 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Gunnar Henderson, Christian Walker, Pete Crow-Armstrong, Brendan Donovan, Jorge Soler, Kyle Higashioka, Ozzie Albies, Xander Bogaerts
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.