2026
Luke Keaschall

Luke Keaschall

MIN · 142 appearances tracked
10 HRs
7.0% HR Rate
7.0% Avg HR/FB
84.8 Avg EV
0.096 ISO
#35 Best Rank
as of 2026-10-17
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet. The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 60.2%
4.4%
7
10.8%
Breaking 28.8%
3.8%
2
17.4%
Offspeed 11.0%
0.0%
1
23.5%
All 100% 3.8% 10 14.1%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed. K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers 0 of 4 active
Ballpark — Pitcher form — Platoon — Weather —
Edge by rate · batter ● vs pitcher-allowed ●
K% 14.1 vs —
14.1
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances 142 tracked · 10 HR · 2 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Sep 27 vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore 2 88.3 2 BIP
Sep 26 vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi 3 101.9 3 BIP
Sep 25 vs TEX · Jacob deGrom 5 105.8 5 BIP
Sep 23 @ SF · Cesar Perdomo 3 102.6 HR 3 BIP
Sep 22 @ SF · Anthony Molina 4 101.8 4 BIP
Sep 21 @ SF · Blade Tidwell 3 84.6 3 BIP
Sep 19 @ LAA · Reid Detmers 4 97.7 4 BIP
Sep 18 @ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez 3 102.3 3 BIP
Sep 17 @ LAA · Walbert Ureña 3 93.6 3 BIP
Sep 16 vs NYY · Carlos Rodón 6 101.3 6 BIP
Sep 15 vs NYY · Max Fried 4 86.0 4 BIP
Sep 14 vs NYY · Will Warren 2 88.4 2 BIP
Sep 13 vs CLE · Tanner Bibee 4 100.7 4 BIP
Sep 12 vs CLE · Daniel Espino 3 86.3 3 BIP
Sep 11 vs CLE · Parker Messick 4 95.8 4 BIP
Sep 9 @ DET · Keider Montero 3 92.1 3 BIP
Sep 8 @ DET · Drew Anderson 3 91.0 3 BIP
Sep 7 @ DET · Troy Melton 2 98.8 2 BIP
Sep 6 @ CWS · Bryan Hudson 1 99.4 1 BIP
Sep 5 @ CWS · Anthony Kay 5 101.7 5 BIP
Sep 4 @ CWS · Erick Fedde 5 87.6 5 BIP
Sep 2 vs DET · Drew Anderson 3 103.2 3 BIP
Sep 1 vs DET · Troy Melton 5 101.7 5 BIP
Aug 31 vs DET · Jackson Jobe 3 105.1 3 BIP
Aug 30 vs CWS · Jordan Hicks 3 102.9 HR 3 BIP
Aug 29 vs CWS · Erick Fedde 3 87.3 3 BIP
Aug 28 vs CWS · Luis Castillo 4 101.4 4 BIP
Aug 26 @ ATH · J.T. Ginn 4 98.3 4 BIP
Aug 25 @ ATH · Gage Jump 2 93.8 2 BIP
Aug 24 @ ATH · Jeffrey Springs 5 105.8 5 BIP
Aug 23 @ SD · Walker Buehler 3 92.9 3 BIP
Aug 22 @ SD · Casey Mize 4 101.6 HR 4 BIP
Aug 21 @ SD · SD Bullpen Proxy 3 104.1 3 BIP
Aug 19 vs ATL · AJ Smith-Shawver 5 102.6 5 BIP
Aug 18 vs ATL · Tyler Mahle 4 98.1 4 BIP
Aug 17 vs ATL · Martín Pérez 4 95.6 4 BIP
Aug 16 vs PHI · Andrew Painter 1 80.2 1 BIP
Aug 15 vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo 3 102.7 3 BIP
Aug 13 vs PHI · Aaron Nola 2 103.6 HR 2 BIP
Aug 12 vs BAL · Shane Baz 3 95.2 3 BIP
Aug 11 vs BAL · Brandon Young 1 98.5 1 BIP
Aug 10 vs BAL · Trevor Rogers 2 87.1 2 BIP
Aug 9 @ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski 4 95.8 4 BIP
Aug 8 @ MIL · Robert Gasser 4 100.2 4 BIP
Aug 7 @ MIL · Shane Drohan 2 86.8 2 BIP
Aug 6 @ KC · Michael Wacha 4 100.2 4 BIP
Aug 4 @ KC · Randy Dobnak 3 96.1 3 BIP
Aug 2 @ SEA · George Kirby 4 102.2 HR 4 BIP
Aug 1 @ SEA · Logan Gilbert 3 100.4 HR 3 BIP
Jul 31 @ SEA · Bryce Miller 2 91.5 2 BIP
Jul 30 vs KC · Noah Cameron 3 96.6 3 BIP
Jul 29 vs KC · Randy Dobnak 3 103.7 3 BIP
Jul 28 vs KC · Seth Lugo 4 100.3 4 BIP
Jul 26 vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs 3 95.1 3 BIP
Jul 24 vs ATH · Jacob Lopez 0 — —
Jul 23 @ CLE · Gavin Williams 4 105.1 4 BIP
Jul 22 @ CLE · Slade Cecconi 2 97.4 2 BIP
Jul 21 @ CLE · Parker Messick 2 92.9 2 BIP
Jul 19 @ CHC · Shota Imanaga 3 80.1 3 BIP
Jul 18 @ CHC · Matthew Boyd 2 94.1 2 BIP
Jul 17 @ CHC · Colin Rea 3 91.8 3 BIP
Jul 12 vs LAA · José Soriano 2 99.9 2 BIP
Jul 11 vs LAA · Ryan Johnson 3 104.5 3 BIP
Jul 10 vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez 2 98.0 2 BIP
Jul 9 vs CLE · Gavin Williams 1 87.4 1 BIP
Jul 8 vs CLE · Slade Cecconi 2 87.5 2 BIP
Jul 7 vs CLE · Joey Cantillo 4 103.4 4 BIP
Jul 5 @ NYY · Ryan Weathers 3 81.8 3 BIP
Jul 4 @ NYY · NYY Bullpen Proxy 4 98.4 HR 4 BIP
Jul 3 @ NYY · Gerrit Cole 3 96.6 3 BIP
Jul 1 @ HOU · Tatsuya Imai 1 96.7 HR 1 BIP
Jun 29 @ HOU · Peter Lambert 3 93.1 3 BIP
Jun 28 vs COL · Ryan Feltner 3 86.3 3 BIP
Jun 27 vs COL · Michael Lorenzen 3 107.3 3 BIP
Jun 26 vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano 2 85.2 2 BIP
Jun 23 vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski 1 82.2 1 BIP
Jun 22 vs LAD · Eric Lauer 2 74.3 2 BIP
Jun 21 @ AZ · AZ Bullpen Proxy 4 102.9 4 BIP
Jun 20 @ AZ · Zac Gallen 6 103.1 6 BIP
Jun 19 @ AZ · Michael Soroka 3 91.3 3 BIP
Jun 18 @ TEX · Jack Leiter 2 93.7 2 BIP
Jun 16 @ TEX · Kumar Rocker 3 98.2 3 BIP
Jun 15 @ TEX · MacKenzie Gore 2 95.7 2 BIP
Jun 14 vs STL · Michael McGreevy 3 98.0 3 BIP
Jun 13 vs STL · Matthew Liberatore 3 107.1 HR 3 BIP
Jun 12 vs STL · Kyle Leahy 1 92.1 1 BIP
Jun 10 @ DET · Framber Valdez 3 103.2 3 BIP
Jun 9 @ DET · Troy Melton 2 99.3 2 BIP
Jun 7 vs KC · Noah Cameron 4 95.9 4 BIP
Jun 5 vs KC · Michael Wacha 3 93.8 3 BIP
Jun 4 vs KC · Seth Lugo 2 92.9 2 BIP
Jun 3 vs CWS · Erick Fedde 3 99.5 3 BIP
Jun 2 vs CWS · Davis Martin 4 103.2 4 BIP
Jun 1 vs CWS · David Sandlin 3 97.9 3 BIP
May 31 @ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft 2 96.0 2 BIP
May 30 @ PIT · Mitch Keller 4 106.5 4 BIP
May 27 @ CWS · David Sandlin 3 97.3 3 BIP
May 26 @ CWS · Sean Burke 4 95.3 4 BIP
May 25 @ CWS · Anthony Kay 4 107.2 4 BIP
May 22 @ BOS · Payton Tolle 3 99.6 3 BIP
May 20 vs HOU · Mike Burrows 4 90.1 4 BIP
May 18 vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai 2 93.1 2 BIP
May 17 vs MIL · Robert Gasser 3 98.4 3 BIP
May 14 vs MIA · Braxton Garrett 2 102.0 2 BIP
May 13 vs MIA · Max Meyer 3 95.7 3 BIP
May 12 vs MIA · Eury Pérez 1 59.5 1 BIP
May 10 @ CLE · Gavin Williams 3 89.7 3 BIP
May 9 @ CLE · Tanner Bibee 2 85.5 2 BIP
May 8 @ CLE · Parker Messick 3 101.7 3 BIP
May 7 @ WSH · Jake Irvin 2 89.8 2 BIP
May 6 @ WSH · Miles Mikolas 3 93.1 3 BIP
May 5 @ WSH · Cade Cavalli 2 88.6 2 BIP
May 2 vs TOR · Dylan Cease 3 95.3 3 BIP
May 1 vs TOR · Patrick Corbin 1 101.2 1 BIP
Apr 30 vs TOR · Kevin Gausman 4 94.0 4 BIP
Apr 29 vs SEA · George Kirby 3 93.3 3 BIP
Apr 28 vs SEA · Logan Gilbert 1 71.7 1 BIP
Apr 27 vs SEA · Luis Castillo 3 81.0 3 BIP
Apr 26 @ TB · Griffin Jax 3 85.3 3 BIP
Apr 25 @ TB · Shane McClanahan 2 95.9 2 BIP
Apr 23 @ NYM · Christian Scott 4 96.8 4 BIP
Apr 22 @ NYM · Clay Holmes 4 95.7 4 BIP
Apr 21 @ NYM · Nolan McLean 3 103.1 3 BIP
Apr 19 vs CIN · Brady Singer 5 99.9 5 BIP
Apr 18 vs CIN · Andrew Abbott 4 101.5 4 BIP
Apr 17 vs CIN · Brandon Williamson 3 100.5 3 BIP
Apr 14 vs BOS · Sonny Gray 4 96.1 4 BIP
Apr 13 vs BOS · Garrett Crochet 3 94.5 3 BIP
Apr 11 @ TOR · Eric Lauer 3 90.4 3 BIP
Apr 10 @ TOR · Patrick Corbin 4 103.3 4 BIP
Apr 9 vs DET · Jack Flaherty 1 85.1 1 BIP
Apr 8 vs DET · Framber Valdez 5 89.0 5 BIP
Apr 7 vs DET · Tarik Skubal 3 90.1 3 BIP
Apr 6 vs DET · Casey Mize 2 101.8 HR 2 BIP
Apr 5 vs TB · Nick Martinez 4 104.7 4 BIP
Apr 4 vs TB · Steven Matz 2 78.8 2 BIP
Apr 2 @ KC · Cole Ragans 3 100.3 3 BIP
Apr 1 @ KC · Noah Cameron 4 104.1 4 BIP
Mar 30 @ KC · Kris Bubic 3 100.1 3 BIP
Mar 29 @ BAL · Shane Baz 4 90.3 4 BIP
Mar 28 @ BAL · Kyle Bradish 3 101.5 3 BIP
Mar 26 @ BAL · Trevor Rogers 4 101.6 4 BIP
Ballpark park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game —
Dueness now
0.33×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
9 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
3 gm
since his last HR, Sep 23
Season
10 HR
142 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 9 gaps · median 9 gm · MAD ± 7 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

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Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Luke Keaschall

Will Luke Keaschall hit a home run today?

Luke Keaschall is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 10 times in 142 scored games (about 7% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.

How often does Luke Keaschall hit home runs?

Across 142 scored games this season, Luke Keaschall has 10 home runs — one every 14.2 games, or about 7% of his scored games.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.180 · build 681
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