2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 4 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 5 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 6 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Michael Busch 4 HRs · 9 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 12 CJ Abrams 4 HRs 1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 4 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 5 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 6 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Michael Busch 4 HRs · 9 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 12 CJ Abrams 4 HRs
Splits Edge
Biggest handedness advantages on today's slate — where L/R matchups create real edges.
30 matchups with meaningful split edges
Historical Snapshot
Validated pre-game snapshot. This view was captured before first pitch.
refresh_11 - 2026-07-02T11:01:10-04:00
Handedness Edge — 2026-07-02
Sorted by edge magnitude
# Batter B/T Pitcher Overall HR/FB Matchup HR/FB Edge Tier Game
27 Carter Jensen L vs L Ian Seymour 7.7% 20.6% +168% 🟠 C TB @ KC
141 Steven Kwan L vs R Davis Martin 2.1% 5.5% +162% ⚪ D CWS @ CLE
71 Freddy Fermin R vs R Roki Sasaki 4.0% 9.4% +135% ⚪ D SD @ LAD
72 Xavier Edwards S vs R Michael Lorenzen 4.3% 8.7% +102% ⚪ D MIA @ COL
139 Chandler Simpson L vs R Stephen Kolek 4.2% 7.7% +83% ⚪ D TB @ KC
114 Richie Palacios L vs R Stephen Kolek 4.3% 7.7% +79% ⚪ D TB @ KC
104 Tyler Freeman R vs R Ryan Gusto 4.2% 7.4% +76% ⚪ D MIA @ COL
82 Rafael Marchan S vs R Jared Jones 8.3% 14.4% +74% ⚪ D PIT @ PHI
132 J.P. Crawford L vs R Walbert Ureña 26.5% 7.4% -72% ⚪ D LAA @ SEA
76 Colt Emerson L vs R Walbert Ureña 45.5% 14.8% -68% ⚪ D LAA @ SEA
96 Justin Crawford L vs R Jared Jones 6.9% 11.2% +62% ⚪ D PIT @ PHI
119 Chase Delauter L vs R Davis Martin 25.7% 10.0% -61% ⚪ D CWS @ CLE
57 Luke Raley L vs R Walbert Ureña 35.0% 13.9% -60% ⚪ D LAA @ SEA
130 Josh Naylor L vs R Walbert Ureña 14.6% 6.0% -59% ⚪ D LAA @ SEA
101 Randy Arozarena R vs R Walbert Ureña 20.6% 8.9% -57% ⚪ D LAA @ SEA
75 Javier Sanoja R vs R Michael Lorenzen 5.0% 7.7% +54% ⚪ D MIA @ COL
103 Cal Raleigh S vs R Walbert Ureña 13.5% 6.4% -53% ⚪ D LAA @ SEA
112 Sal Frelick L vs R Chase Burns 5.9% 9.0% +52% ⚪ D CIN @ MIL
86 Julio Rodríguez R vs R Walbert Ureña 18.4% 8.9% -52% ⚪ D LAA @ SEA
52 Drake Baldwin L vs R Dustin May 28.0% 13.7% -51% ⚪ D STL @ ATL
59 Alec Bohm R vs R Jared Jones 18.2% 8.9% -51% ⚪ D PIT @ PHI
121 Daniel Schneemann L vs R Davis Martin 13.9% 7.1% -49% ⚪ D CWS @ CLE
134 Nolan Schanuel L vs R Bryce Miller 12.5% 6.4% -49% ⚪ D LAA @ SEA
102 Sam Antonacci L vs R Slade Cecconi 13.2% 6.8% -48% ⚪ D CWS @ CLE
89 Rhys Hoskins R vs R Davis Martin 21.1% 11.0% -48% ⚪ D CWS @ CLE
55 Nathaniel Lowe L vs R Jacob Misiorowski 30.0% 15.7% -48% ⚪ D CIN @ MIL
84 Josh Jung R vs L Framber Valdez 16.7% 8.8% -47% ⚪ D DET @ TEX
92 Eugenio Suarez R vs R Jacob Misiorowski 21.7% 11.5% -47% ⚪ D CIN @ MIL
41 Garrett Mitchell L vs R Chase Burns 27.3% 14.6% -46% 🟠 C CIN @ MIL
113 Dominic Smith L vs R Dustin May 14.3% 7.7% -46% ⚪ D STL @ ATL
🔄
Six home runs to freedom

Uncover every splits advantage

Sign up to see all handedness edges on today's slate — find batters who crush specific pitcher types.

27 more waiting in the on-deck circle
What this means: The Edge column shows how much better (or worse) this specific handedness matchup is compared to the batter's overall HR/FB rate. A +40% edge means the batter's HR/FB rate is 40% higher in this specific L/R split — they mash this type of pitcher. Look for high-edge batters already ranked in the top 25 for the strongest plays. B/T = batter hand / pitcher throwing hand. Splits data sourced from FanGraphs platoon leaderboards with Bayesian regression for small samples.
LD 3.3.51 · build 552

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.