Richie Palacios
TB
· 94 appearances tracked
8
HRs
8.5%
HR Rate
9.9%
Avg HR/FB
86.5
Avg EV
0.099
ISO
#45
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.139
Avg EV86.2
Barrel%5.3%
HR/FB vs RHP19.2%
Avg HR Dist385
Match%8.1%
Season HR%
8.4%
14D Pace
0.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
62.3%
8
Breaking
24.3%
0
Offspeed
13.4%
2
All
100%
3.9%
10
16.7%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Shawn Armstrong · RHP · TB
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Shawn Armstrong in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
1 of 4 active
Progressive Neutral
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon —
Weather -1
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
5.3
vs
—
HR/FB
19.2
vs
11.1 ▲ edge
K%
16.7
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
94 tracked · 8 HR · 1 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 27
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
4
94.2
4 BIP
Sep 26
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
3
101.5
3 BIP
Sep 24
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
1
77.3
1 BIP
Sep 23
@ NYY · Gerrit Cole
3
85.7
3 BIP
Sep 22
@ NYY · Carlos Rodón
2
90.3
2 BIP
Sep 19
vs BOS · Brayan Bello
3
96.8
3 BIP
Sep 17
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
2
95.8
2 BIP
Sep 15
vs ATH · Jack Perkins
2
98.2
2 BIP
Sep 13
vs HOU · Hayden Wesneski
4
101.6
HR
4 BIP
Sep 12
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
2
99.6
2 BIP
Sep 11
vs HOU · Miguel Ullola
2
106.0
2 BIP
Sep 9
@ ATL · Reynaldo López
3
79.3
3 BIP
Sep 8
@ ATL · AJ Smith-Shawver
2
104.6
HR
2 BIP
Sep 5
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
2
100.0
HR
2 BIP
Sep 4
@ TEX · Trevor Williams
3
98.4
HR
3 BIP
Sep 3
@ TEX · Cal Quantrill
3
93.7
3 BIP
Sep 2
vs NYM · NYM Bullpen Proxy
4
101.7
HR
4 BIP
Aug 31
vs NYM · Robert Stock
4
95.6
4 BIP
Aug 29
vs SD · Walker Buehler
2
88.4
2 BIP
Aug 26
@ DET · Troy Melton
4
101.1
4 BIP
Aug 25
@ DET · Jackson Jobe
2
75.4
2 BIP
Aug 23
@ BAL · Shane Baz
4
94.9
4 BIP
Aug 22
@ BAL · Brandon Young
3
95.1
3 BIP
Aug 20
vs TOR · Shane Bieber
3
103.9
3 BIP
Aug 19
vs TOR · Max Scherzer
4
93.7
4 BIP
Aug 18
vs TOR · José Soriano
4
102.3
4 BIP
Aug 17
vs BAL · Brandon Young
3
99.9
3 BIP
Aug 15
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
3
103.9
3 BIP
Aug 14
vs BAL · Chris Bassitt
3
94.0
3 BIP
Aug 12
@ ATH · Jack Perkins
2
98.2
2 BIP
Aug 11
@ ATH · Mason Barnett
2
100.7
2 BIP
Aug 10
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
1
86.9
1 BIP
Aug 9
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
2
97.5
2 BIP
Aug 8
@ SEA · George Kirby
3
105.0
3 BIP
Aug 7
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
1
36.2
1 BIP
Aug 5
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
1
95.3
1 BIP
Aug 4
@ COL · Gabriel Hughes
1
78.2
1 BIP
Aug 3
@ COL · Michael Lorenzen
3
101.6
HR
3 BIP
Jul 31
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
3
97.1
3 BIP
Jul 28
vs TEX · Cal Quantrill
0
—
—
Jul 26
vs CLE · Parker Messick
2
95.0
2 BIP
Jul 25
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
102.0
3 BIP
Jul 23
@ TOR · Shane Bieber
3
92.3
3 BIP
Jul 22
@ TOR · Braydon Fisher
2
96.2
2 BIP
Jul 20
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
1
74.2
1 BIP
Jul 19
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
3
84.1
3 BIP
Jul 18
@ BOS · BOS Bullpen Proxy
2
87.9
2 BIP
Jul 17
@ BOS · Eduardo Rivera
0
—
—
Jul 12
vs SEA · Emerson Hancock
1
74.3
1 BIP
Jul 11
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
4
95.4
4 BIP
Jul 10
vs SEA · Luis Castillo
4
101.2
HR
4 BIP
Jul 7
vs NYY · Will Warren
2
100.0
2 BIP
Jul 6
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
72.6
3 BIP
Jul 5
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
2
80.7
2 BIP
Jul 4
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
4
101.7
HR
4 BIP
Jul 3
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
0
—
—
Jul 2
@ KC · Stephen Kolek
2
85.1
2 BIP
Jul 1
@ KC · Seth Lugo
3
97.3
3 BIP
Jun 27
vs AZ · AZ Bullpen Proxy
2
85.8
2 BIP
Jun 26
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
4
91.0
4 BIP
Jun 25
vs KC · Seth Lugo
5
101.0
5 BIP
Jun 23
vs KC · Luinder Avila
5
100.7
5 BIP
Jun 22
vs KC · Michael Wacha
3
84.6
3 BIP
Jun 20
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
1
101.1
1 BIP
Jun 19
vs WSH · PJ Poulin
3
102.7
3 BIP
Jun 17
@ LAD · Shohei Ohtani
2
78.4
2 BIP
Jun 16
@ LAD · Justin Wrobleski
0
—
—
Jun 15
@ LAD · Eric Lauer
0
—
—
Jun 14
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
3
103.1
3 BIP
Jun 13
@ LAA · José Soriano
2
102.9
2 BIP
Jun 12
@ LAA · Sam Aldegheri
0
—
—
Jun 9
vs BOS · Payton Tolle
3
82.7
3 BIP
Jun 7
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
4
104.2
4 BIP
Jun 6
@ MIA · Lake Bachar
3
100.1
3 BIP
Jun 5
@ MIA · MIA Bullpen Proxy
3
101.6
3 BIP
Jun 3
vs DET · Troy Melton
3
89.1
3 BIP
Jun 2
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
4
99.6
4 BIP
Jun 1
vs DET · Ty Madden
3
95.8
3 BIP
May 31
vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
2
87.5
2 BIP
May 29
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
1
94.3
1 BIP
May 27
@ BAL · Trey Gibson
4
100.4
4 BIP
May 26
@ BAL · Shane Baz
2
96.9
2 BIP
May 25
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
5
106.9
5 BIP
May 20
vs BAL · Shane Baz
3
97.4
3 BIP
May 19
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
2
105.3
2 BIP
May 17
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
2
88.4
2 BIP
May 16
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
4
98.0
4 BIP
May 15
vs MIA · Janson Junk
2
100.5
2 BIP
Apr 29
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
2
101.0
2 BIP
Apr 19
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
1
101.4
1 BIP
Apr 15
@ CWS · Sean Burke
2
77.6
2 BIP
Apr 12
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
2
101.0
2 BIP
Mar 29
@ STL · Dustin May
2
101.2
2 BIP
Mar 28
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
2
106.5
2 BIP
Ballpark
Progressive Field · open-air
Park Factor
0.950
Wind
9 mph from W
Temp
50°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
8:00p
9 ↗
50°
-3
9:00p
9 ↗
50°
-1
10:00p
10 ↗
49°
+2
11:00p
10 ↗
49°
+4
12:00a
10 ↗
48°
+4
+1
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to pull (from WSW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
2.00×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
4 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
8 gm
since his last HR, Sep 13
Season
8 HR
94 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 7 gaps · median 4 gm · MAD ± 3 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 35 → 35
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
Pitcher FIP
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
Exit Velocity
recent hr density 14d
Common questions about Richie Palacios
Will Richie Palacios hit a home run today?
Richie Palacios is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #10 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Shawn Armstrong at Progressive Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Richie Palacios hit home runs?
Across 94 scored games this season, Richie Palacios has 8 home runs — one every 11.8 games, or about 9% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.