Dominic Smith
LHB
ATL
· 87 appearances tracked
7
HRs
8.0%
HR Rate
14.9%
Avg HR/FB
89.1
Avg EV
0.166
ISO
#10
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.124
Avg EV87.7
Barrel%5.5%
HR/FB10.7%
Avg HR Dist392
Match%8.2%
Season HR%
8.0%
14D Pace
0.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
54.4%
4
Breaking
28.4%
2
Offspeed
17.2%
2
All
100%
5.5%
8
15.4%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs COL Bullpen Proxy · ATL
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs COL Bullpen Proxy in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Truist +HR
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon —
Weather +1
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
5.5
vs
—
HR/FB
10.7
vs
13.6 ▼ risk
K%
15.4
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
7 this season · avg 409 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Apr 2
David Peterson · Oracle Park
—
109.1
430.0
Apr 17
Taijuan Walker · Citizens Bank Park
—
102.7
406.0
Jul 23
vs SD · Griffin Canning
—
99.3
392
HR by month
Apr
Jul
All Appearances
87 tracked · 7 HR · 20 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
vs COL · Zach Agnos
1
85.4
1 BIP
Aug 21
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
4
93.4
4 BIP
Aug 19
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
0
—
—
Aug 16
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
3
89.9
3 BIP
Aug 9
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
0
—
—
Aug 6
vs MIA · Janson Junk
2
86.4
2 BIP
Aug 4
vs MIA · Ryan Gusto
2
99.0
2 BIP
Aug 1
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
2
104.8
HR
2 BIP
Jul 30
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
3
88.9
3 BIP
Jul 28
@ NYM · Christian Scott
0
—
—
Jul 26
@ BAL · Shane Baz
5
99.6
5 BIP
Jul 25
@ BAL · Brandon Young
3
92.9
3 BIP
Jul 23
vs SD · Kyle Hart
3
99.3
HR
3 BIP
Jul 19
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
2
100.0
2 BIP
Jul 17
vs TEX · Cal Quantrill
2
89.8
2 BIP
Jul 12
@ STL · Dustin May
1
98.2
1 BIP
Jul 10
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
3
96.4
3 BIP
Jul 9
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
2
97.9
2 BIP
Jul 7
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
4
92.1
4 BIP
Jul 6
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
1
93.6
1 BIP
Jul 5
vs NYM · Nolan McLean
3
93.1
3 BIP
Jul 3
vs NYM · Christian Scott
3
97.3
3 BIP
Jul 2
vs STL · Dustin May
4
96.4
4 BIP
Jul 1
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
3
103.8
3 BIP
Jun 27
@ SF · Logan Webb
2
83.3
2 BIP
Jun 26
@ SF · SF Bullpen Proxy
3
104.3
3 BIP
Jun 24
@ SD · SD Bullpen Proxy
1
78.7
1 BIP
Jun 23
@ SD · SD Bullpen Proxy
4
107.3
4 BIP
Jun 22
@ SD · Michael King
3
79.7
3 BIP
Jun 19
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
2
101.7
2 BIP
Jun 18
vs SF · Landen Roupp
0
—
—
Jun 17
vs SF · Adrian Houser
1
86.8
1 BIP
Jun 16
vs SF · Adrian Houser
0
—
—
Jun 14
@ NYM · Freddy Peralta
4
97.4
4 BIP
Jun 12
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
3
102.4
3 BIP
Jun 10
@ CWS · Davis Martin
4
105.0
4 BIP
Jun 9
@ CWS · Brandon Eisert
5
105.3
5 BIP
Jun 7
vs PIT · Mason Montgomery
2
87.9
2 BIP
Jun 6
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
3
102.0
HR
3 BIP
Jun 5
vs PIT · Mitch Keller
3
97.6
3 BIP
Jun 4
vs TOR · Mason Fluharty
4
93.4
4 BIP
Jun 2
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
2
88.9
2 BIP
May 30
@ CIN · Brady Singer
4
95.4
4 BIP
May 29
@ CIN · Chris Paddack
5
93.0
5 BIP
May 28
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
3
82.4
3 BIP
May 23
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
1
93.0
1 BIP
May 22
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
4
105.4
4 BIP
May 21
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
4
106.0
4 BIP
May 20
@ MIA · Janson Junk
4
100.8
HR
4 BIP
May 18
@ MIA · Max Meyer
1
56.6
1 BIP
May 17
vs BOS · Brayan Bello
4
99.8
4 BIP
May 14
vs CHC · Ben Brown
3
100.8
3 BIP
May 13
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
0
—
—
May 12
vs CHC · Colin Rea
4
101.5
4 BIP
May 10
@ LAD · Justin Wrobleski
1
102.0
1 BIP
May 9
@ LAD · Blake Snell
1
90.5
1 BIP
May 8
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
3
97.9
3 BIP
May 6
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
1
99.7
1 BIP
May 5
@ SEA · George Kirby
2
100.1
2 BIP
May 4
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
1
99.4
1 BIP
May 3
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
0
—
—
May 1
@ COL · Jose Quintana
0
—
—
Apr 29
vs DET · Tarik Skubal
0
—
—
Apr 28
vs DET · Casey Mize
0
—
—
Apr 25
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
0
—
—
Apr 24
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
4
99.6
4 BIP
Apr 23
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
4
93.7
4 BIP
Apr 22
@ WSH · Zack Littell
0
—
—
Apr 21
@ WSH · Foster Griffin
0
—
—
Apr 20
@ WSH · Jake Irvin
4
104.1
4 BIP
Apr 19
@ PHI · Andrew Painter
3
107.3
3 BIP
Apr 18
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
0
—
—
Apr 17
@ PHI · Taijuan Walker
5
102.7
HR
5 BIP
Apr 15
vs MIA · Chris Paddack
4
100.1
4 BIP
Apr 11
vs SF · Chris Bassitt
1
91.2
1 BIP
Apr 10
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
4
100.9
4 BIP
Apr 8
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
0
—
—
Apr 7
vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
0
—
—
Apr 6
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
3
74.2
3 BIP
Apr 5
vs NYM · Kodai Senga
1
79.1
1 BIP
Apr 4
vs NYM · Clay Holmes
3
89.3
3 BIP
Apr 2
vs NYM · David Peterson
3
109.1
HR
3 BIP
Apr 1
vs SF · Nick Pivetta
2
104.7
2 BIP
Mar 31
vs SF · Germán Márquez
3
96.4
3 BIP
Mar 30
vs SF · Walker Buehler
0
—
—
Mar 29
vs KC · Seth Lugo
2
91.6
2 BIP
Mar 28
vs NYY · Will Warren
3
102.4
HR
3 BIP
Ballpark
Truist Park · open-air
Park Factor
1.064
Wind
6 mph from ESE
Temp
84°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:35p
6 ↓
84°
-2
2:35p
5 ↓
86°
-1
3:35p
4 ↓
85°
-1
4:35p
3 ↓
85°
+1
5:35p
3 ↓
85°
+1
+0
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing straight in (from SE)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
0.70×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
10 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
7 gm
since his last HR, Aug 1
Season
7 HR
87 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 6 gaps · median 10 gm · MAD ± 5.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 41 → 41
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
Pitcher FIP
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Dominic Smith
Will Dominic Smith hit a home run today?
Dominic Smith is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #131 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing COL Bullpen Proxy at Truist Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Dominic Smith hit home runs?
Across 87 scored games this season, Dominic Smith has 7 home runs — one every 12.4 games, or about 8% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.