4
HRs allowed
22.2%
HR rate (pool)
22.4%
Overall HR/FB
6.5
FIP
4.37
xFIP
+2.12
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
92
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Susceptible
Vulnerability 92th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
85.7%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.3 EV · 396 ft
max EV allowed 110.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 3 HR ↑
15D · 4 HR
30D · 4 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Taijuan Walker.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Splitter Offspeed
23.1%
86.8
5.2°
1
+4.1
Sinker Hard
22.6%
83.6
21.5°
1
+3.8
Cutter Hard
19.8%
79.9
16.2°
3
+6.1
Curveball Breaking
12.7%
72.3
5.8°
1
+1.5
Slider Breaking
11.8%
79.4
30.9°
0
-1.2
Fastball Hard
9.9%
84.7
26.5°
2
+14.9
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups18
HRs allowed (pool)4
Pool HR rate22.2%
Pool HR/game day2.0
Top-15 matchups3
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB22.4% 92
HR/9—
FIP6.5 96
xFIP4.37
FIP − xFIP+2.12 98
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed85.7%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-15
Splitter
Offspeed · 23.1% usage
+4.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.8 mph
Avg launch angle5.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches98
Sinker
Hard · 22.6% usage
+3.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.6 mph
Avg launch angle21.5°
HRs allowed1
Pitches96
Cutter
Hard · 19.8% usage
+6.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.9 mph
Avg launch angle16.2°
HRs allowed3
Pitches84
Curveball
Breaking · 12.7% usage
+1.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against72.3 mph
Avg launch angle5.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches54
Slider
Breaking · 11.8% usage
-1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.4 mph
Avg launch angle30.9°
HRs allowed0
Pitches50
Fastball
Hard · 9.9% usage
+14.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.7 mph
Avg launch angle26.5°
HRs allowed2
Pitches42
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Taijuan Walker.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
4 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.3 EV · 396 ft
4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 2 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-04-17
9
3
110.7
2026-04-05
9
1
108.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Taijuan Walker isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.