Nico Hoerner
RHB
CHC
· 132 appearances tracked
7
HRs
5.3%
HR Rate
7.6%
Avg HR/FB
85.8
Avg EV
0.116
ISO
#46
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.094
Avg EV85.9
Barrel%2.9%
HR/FB vs LHP6.9%
Avg HR Dist381
Match%8.8%
Season HR%
5.2%
14D Pace
0.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-31
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
59.3%
3
Breaking
30.3%
3
Offspeed
10.4%
1
All
100%
1.2%
7
8.7%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Kyle Harrison · LHP · CHC
15 PA · since 2026
.400
AVG
.600
SLG
0
HR
6-for-15 across 15 plate appearances since 2026.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Wrigley +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather +5
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
2.9
vs
—
HR/FB
6.9
vs
22.6 ▼ risk
K%
8.7
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
132 tracked · 7 HR · 1 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 30
vs CIN · Chase Burns
3
97.6
3 BIP
Aug 29
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
4
101.4
4 BIP
Aug 28
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
5
102.0
5 BIP
Aug 26
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
80.5
3 BIP
Aug 25
@ AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
4
100.3
4 BIP
Aug 24
@ AZ · Merrill Kelly
3
97.3
3 BIP
Aug 23
@ SEA · Bryce Miller
3
75.4
3 BIP
Aug 22
@ SEA · SEA Bullpen Proxy
3
83.9
3 BIP
Aug 21
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
5
108.9
5 BIP
Aug 19
vs CWS · Sean Newcomb
2
88.8
2 BIP
Aug 18
vs CWS · Bryan Hudson
4
94.8
4 BIP
Aug 17
vs CWS · Luis Castillo
5
97.7
5 BIP
Aug 16
vs STL · Hunter Dobbins
3
94.6
3 BIP
Aug 15
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
4
85.9
4 BIP
Aug 14
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
4
100.0
4 BIP
Aug 12
@ WSH · WSH Bullpen Proxy
5
101.6
5 BIP
Aug 11
@ WSH · Jake Irvin
4
98.7
4 BIP
Aug 9
@ KC · Randy Dobnak
3
91.0
3 BIP
Aug 8
@ KC · Seth Lugo
3
92.9
3 BIP
Aug 7
@ KC · Daniel Lynch IV
5
94.1
5 BIP
Aug 6
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
3
95.8
3 BIP
Aug 5
vs LAD · Eric Lauer
3
100.6
3 BIP
Aug 4
vs LAD · Tarik Skubal
4
99.2
HR
4 BIP
Aug 3
vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski
1
77.4
1 BIP
Aug 2
vs NYY · Gerrit Cole
4
95.6
4 BIP
Aug 1
vs NYY · Max Fried
3
98.5
HR
3 BIP
Jul 31
vs NYY · Will Warren
2
103.4
2 BIP
Jul 30
@ STL · Andre Pallante
5
101.0
5 BIP
Jul 28
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
3
77.6
3 BIP
Jul 27
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
5
98.0
HR
5 BIP
Jul 26
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
4
100.5
4 BIP
Jul 25
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
3
96.2
3 BIP
Jul 24
@ PIT · Jared Jones
3
96.5
3 BIP
Jul 22
vs DET · Keider Montero
3
97.3
3 BIP
Jul 21
vs DET · Framber Valdez
5
98.0
5 BIP
Jul 20
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
5
95.4
5 BIP
Jul 19
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
3
94.4
3 BIP
Jul 18
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
4
101.5
4 BIP
Jul 17
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
4
85.0
4 BIP
Jul 12
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
4
93.8
4 BIP
Jul 11
@ CIN · Nick Lodolo
4
97.1
4 BIP
Jul 10
@ CIN · Hunter Greene
2
94.6
2 BIP
Jul 9
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
4
101.2
4 BIP
Jul 8
@ BAL · Dean Kremer
3
97.5
3 BIP
Jul 7
@ BAL · Shane Baz
3
93.7
3 BIP
Jul 5
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
93.6
3 BIP
Jul 4
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
3
96.3
3 BIP
Jul 3
vs STL · Andre Pallante
4
94.8
4 BIP
Jul 1
vs SD · Walker Buehler
1
79.1
1 BIP
Jun 30
vs SD · JP Sears
5
101.8
5 BIP
Jun 29
vs SD · Griffin Canning
3
98.6
3 BIP
Jun 28
@ MIL · Brandon Woodruff
4
102.3
4 BIP
Jun 27
@ MIL · Kyle Harrison
4
99.1
4 BIP
Jun 26
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
3
93.3
3 BIP
Jun 25
@ NYM · Freddy Peralta
3
83.4
3 BIP
Jun 24
@ NYM · Sean Manaea
9
100.3
9 BIP
Jun 23
@ NYM · Kodai Senga
3
100.8
3 BIP
Jun 22
@ NYM · Kodai Senga
0
—
—
Jun 21
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
0
—
—
Jun 20
vs TOR · Patrick Corbin
4
95.9
4 BIP
Jun 19
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
5
101.6
5 BIP
Jun 17
vs COL · COL Bullpen Proxy
4
92.8
4 BIP
Jun 16
vs COL · Ryan Feltner
4
98.9
4 BIP
Jun 15
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
2
80.8
2 BIP
Jun 13
@ SF · Trevor McDonald
4
98.4
4 BIP
Jun 12
@ SF · Landen Roupp
4
101.0
4 BIP
Jun 11
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
4
101.5
4 BIP
Jun 10
@ COL · Michael Lorenzen
4
93.6
4 BIP
Jun 9
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
4
100.6
4 BIP
Jun 7
vs SF · Trevor McDonald
3
92.9
3 BIP
Jun 6
vs SF · Landen Roupp
4
95.7
4 BIP
Jun 5
vs SF · Robbie Ray
3
95.1
3 BIP
Jun 4
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
4
92.6
4 BIP
Jun 3
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
5
98.7
5 BIP
Jun 2
vs ATH · Gage Jump
2
91.6
2 BIP
May 31
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
4
104.3
4 BIP
May 30
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
6
105.1
6 BIP
May 29
@ STL · Andre Pallante
4
99.7
4 BIP
May 28
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
5
98.6
5 BIP
May 27
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
4
102.2
4 BIP
May 26
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
4
97.6
4 BIP
May 24
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
5
99.6
5 BIP
May 23
vs HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
2
99.6
2 BIP
May 22
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
95.3
3 BIP
May 20
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
4
96.7
4 BIP
May 19
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
3
100.8
3 BIP
May 18
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
2
92.6
2 BIP
May 17
@ CWS · Erick Fedde
4
101.1
4 BIP
May 16
@ CWS · Davis Martin
5
96.3
5 BIP
May 15
@ CWS · Sean Burke
6
93.8
6 BIP
May 14
@ ATL · Chris Sale
2
79.1
2 BIP
May 13
@ ATL · JR Ritchie
4
98.4
4 BIP
May 12
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
3
80.6
3 BIP
May 10
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
4
103.1
4 BIP
May 9
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
3
92.5
3 BIP
May 8
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
5
96.1
5 BIP
May 7
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
4
103.0
4 BIP
May 6
vs CIN · Brady Singer
5
89.9
5 BIP
May 5
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
100.1
3 BIP
May 4
vs CIN · Chase Petty
5
98.5
5 BIP
May 3
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
5
100.4
5 BIP
May 2
vs AZ · Ryne Nelson
0
—
—
May 1
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
1
102.9
1 BIP
Apr 29
@ SD · Matt Waldron
4
94.2
4 BIP
Apr 28
@ SD · Walker Buehler
5
98.1
5 BIP
Apr 27
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
3
97.7
3 BIP
Apr 26
@ LAD · Justin Wrobleski
3
100.4
3 BIP
Apr 25
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
3
99.6
3 BIP
Apr 24
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
5
95.8
5 BIP
Apr 23
vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
5
98.8
5 BIP
Apr 22
vs PHI · Kyle Backhus
4
101.7
4 BIP
Apr 21
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
5
96.3
HR
5 BIP
Apr 20
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
2
96.0
2 BIP
Apr 19
vs NYM · Tobias Myers
4
101.7
4 BIP
Apr 18
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
4
98.3
4 BIP
Apr 17
vs NYM · Kodai Senga
5
102.1
HR
5 BIP
Apr 15
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
5
99.1
HR
5 BIP
Apr 14
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
5
96.0
5 BIP
Apr 13
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
1
62.4
1 BIP
Apr 11
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
6
91.8
6 BIP
Apr 10
vs PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
4
98.9
4 BIP
Apr 8
@ TB · Joe Boyle
5
97.3
HR
5 BIP
Apr 7
@ TB · Drew Rasmussen
4
100.7
4 BIP
Apr 6
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
3
103.3
3 BIP
Apr 5
@ CLE · Slade Cecconi
4
96.7
4 BIP
Apr 4
@ CLE · Slade Cecconi
0
—
—
Apr 1
vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
4
102.6
4 BIP
Mar 31
vs LAA · José Soriano
3
101.9
3 BIP
Mar 30
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
84.2
3 BIP
Mar 29
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
3
105.8
3 BIP
Mar 28
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
3
84.0
3 BIP
Mar 26
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
3
97.5
3 BIP
Ballpark
Wrigley Field · open-air
Park Factor
1.124
Wind
10 mph from SSW
Temp
84°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:40p
10 ↑
84°
+15
7:40p
9 ↑
84°
+14
8:40p
8 ↑
83°
+13
9:40p
7 ↑
82°
+12
10:40p
7 ↑
82°
+12
+13
Slight green alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from SSW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Mon 8/31
Dueness now
5.50×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
4 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
22 gm
since his last HR, Aug 4
Season
7 HR
132 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 6 gaps · median 4 gm · MAD ± 1.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 31 → 34
ISO (Power)
Park Factor
Barrel Matchup
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
Pitcher FIP
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Nico Hoerner
Will Nico Hoerner hit a home run today?
Nico Hoerner is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #148 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Kyle Harrison at Wrigley Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Nico Hoerner hit home runs?
Across 132 scored games this season, Nico Hoerner has 7 home runs — one every 18.9 games, or about 5% of his scored games.
Has Nico Hoerner homered off Kyle Harrison before?
Not yet — Nico Hoerner has faced Kyle Harrison 15 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.