⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs

Slate · 2026-05-18

↩ today 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Card
252 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…
2026-05-18
Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather
🥇 Golden Slate 5 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers
#1 Kyle Schwarber vs Nick Lodolo FIP 7.5 HR/FB 42.9% #2 Byron Buxton vs Tatsuya Imai FIP 6.66 HR/FB 40.0% #3 Yordan Alvarez vs Kendry Rojas FIP 5.43 HR/FB 30.0% #6 Bryce Harper vs Nick Lodolo FIP 7.5 HR/FB 42.9% #15 Ryan Jeffers vs Tatsuya Imai FIP 6.66 HR/FB 40.0%
📦 STACK Nick Lodolo FIP 7.5 HR/FB 42.9% → #1 Kyle Schwarber, #6 Bryce Harper
📦 STACK Tatsuya Imai FIP 6.66 HR/FB 40.0% → #2 Byron Buxton, #15 Ryan Jeffers
📦 STACK Patrick Corbin FIP 4.18 HR/FB 13.0% → #4 Aaron Judge, #5 Ben Rice
# Batter Score Edge Pitcher · Game Time Tier Hand '26 HR Form Due BP WT Hit?
1 100 · Nick Lodolo (LHP)
CIN @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park
6:40p 🥇 S
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
22
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%25.9% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
CIN Bullpen
HR/FB15.6% HR/91.13 FIP4.87 IP167.1
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citizens Bank Park
Weather · Citizens Bank Park
cool air · crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp64.2°F Wind0 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note64°F, wind 0 mph N (cross) — modifier: +0
2 99 · Tatsuya Imai (RHP)
HOU @ MIN · Target Field
7:40p 🥇 S
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
17
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%21.1% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
HOU Bullpen
HR/FB13.6% HR/91.09 FIP4.73 IP149.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Target Field
Weather · Target Field
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.9°F Wind3.4 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 3 mph NNW (out) — modifier: -1
3
·Aaron Judge (R) 3
91 +7.6 Patrick Corbin (LHP)
TOR @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
7:05p 🔥 A+
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
17
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%22.5% Avg EV93.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
TOR Bullpen
HR/FB11.5% HR/90.53 FIP2.77 IP152.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
mild air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp68.8°F Wind4.6 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note69°F, wind 5 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
4
·Ben Rice (L) 5
91 +13.1 Patrick Corbin (LHP)
TOR @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
7:05p 🔥 A+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
17
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%21.0% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
TOR Bullpen
HR/FB11.5% HR/90.53 FIP2.77 IP152.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
mild air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp68.8°F Wind4.6 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note69°F, wind 5 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
5 90 +7.2 Kendry Rojas (LHP)
HOU @ MIN · Target Field
7:40p 🔥 A+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
20
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%17.6% Avg EV94.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.5×
MIN Bullpen
HR/FB10.3% HR/90.77 FIP4.30 IP140.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Target Field
Weather · Target Field
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.9°F Wind3.4 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 3 mph NNW (out) — modifier: -1
6
·Bryce Harper (L) 4
86 · Nick Lodolo (LHP)
CIN @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park
6:40p 🟢 A
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%14.6% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.8×
CIN Bullpen
HR/FB15.6% HR/91.13 FIP4.87 IP167.1
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citizens Bank Park
Weather · Citizens Bank Park
cool air · crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp64.2°F Wind0 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note64°F, wind 0 mph N (cross) — modifier: +0
7
·Luke Raley (L) 5
85 · Noah Schultz (LHP)
CWS @ SEA · T-Mobile Park
9:40p 🟢 A
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%22.7% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
CWS Bullpen
HR/FB15.9% HR/91.02 FIP4.46 IP123.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
T-Mobile Park
Weather · T-Mobile Park
cold air · light wind in · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp48.6°F Wind3.4 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-2 Note49°F, wind 3 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -2
8 84 -6.4 Bryan Woo (RHP)
CWS @ SEA · T-Mobile Park
9:40p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
20
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%22.7% Avg EV95.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
SEA Bullpen
HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.32 IP133.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
T-Mobile Park
Weather · T-Mobile Park
cold air · light wind in · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp48.6°F Wind3.4 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-2 Note49°F, wind 3 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -2
9
·Ian Happ (S) 3
83 · Brandon Sproat (RHP)
MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field
7:40p 🟢 A
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%17.5% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
MIL Bullpen
HR/FB11.0% HR/90.56 FIP3.17 IP145.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
warm air · strong crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp74.6°F Wind19.6 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Note75°F, wind 20 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +1
10
·Matt Olson (L) 4
81 · Max Meyer (RHP)
ATL @ MIA · loanDepot Park
6:40p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
16
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%17.4% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
MIA Bullpen
HR/FB8.0% HR/90.57 FIP3.51 IP142.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
loanDepot Park
Weather · loanDepot Park
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
11 79 -7.9 Walbert Ureña (RHP)
ATH @ LAA · Angel Stadium
9:38p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%16.0% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
LAA Bullpen
HR/FB19.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.63 IP155.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp61.5°F Wind5.8 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note62°F, wind 6 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: -1
12
·Drake Baldwin (L) 5
79 · Max Meyer (RHP)
ATL @ MIA · loanDepot Park
6:40p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%18.9% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.5×
MIA Bullpen
HR/FB8.0% HR/90.57 FIP3.51 IP142.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
loanDepot Park
Weather · loanDepot Park
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
13
·Mickey Moniak (L) 2
78 · MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
TEX @ COL · Coors Field
8:40p 🟡 B
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
12
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%14.4% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.0×
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB9.1% HR/90.70 FIP3.86 IP154.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp43.7°F Wind4.6 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-3 Note44°F, wind 5 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -3
14
·Mike Trout (R)
78 -3.5 J.T. Ginn (RHP)
ATH @ LAA · Angel Stadium
9:38p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%22.5% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
ATH Bullpen
HR/FB11.3% HR/90.79 FIP3.87 IP136.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp61.5°F Wind5.8 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note62°F, wind 6 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: -1
15 78 +9.5 Tatsuya Imai (RHP)
HOU @ MIN · Target Field
7:40p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%15.3% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.4×
HOU Bullpen
HR/FB13.6% HR/91.09 FIP4.73 IP149.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Target Field
Weather · Target Field
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.9°F Wind3.4 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 3 mph NNW (out) — modifier: -1
16
·James Wood (L) 2
76 · Christian Scott (RHP)
NYM @ WSH · Nationals Park
6:45p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
16
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%26.6% Avg EV96.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
NYM Bullpen
HR/FB14.4% HR/90.98 FIP3.61 IP156.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Nationals Park
Weather · Nationals Park
mild air · wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp66.0°F Wind0 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note66°F, wind 0 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0
17 76 -3.6 Bryan Woo (RHP)
CWS @ SEA · T-Mobile Park
9:40p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
15
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%15.5% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
SEA Bullpen
HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.32 IP133.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
T-Mobile Park
Weather · T-Mobile Park
cold air · light wind in · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp48.6°F Wind3.4 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-2 Note49°F, wind 3 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -2
18 74 -2.3 MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
TEX @ COL · Coors Field
8:40p 🟡 B
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%14.0% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB9.1% HR/90.70 FIP3.86 IP154.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp43.7°F Wind4.6 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-3 Note44°F, wind 5 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -3
19
·Miguel Vargas (R) 2
73 +1.7 Bryan Woo (RHP)
CWS @ SEA · T-Mobile Park
9:40p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%15.9% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.4×
SEA Bullpen
HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.32 IP133.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
T-Mobile Park
Weather · T-Mobile Park
cold air · light wind in · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp48.6°F Wind3.4 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-2 Note49°F, wind 3 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -2
20 72 · Andrew Painter (RHP)
CIN @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park
6:40p 🟡 B
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%15.0% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.4×
PHI Bullpen
HR/FB11.8% HR/90.79 FIP3.32 IP137.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citizens Bank Park
Weather · Citizens Bank Park
cool air · crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp64.2°F Wind0 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note64°F, wind 0 mph N (cross) — modifier: +0
21 72 · Andrew Painter (RHP)
CIN @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park
6:40p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
9
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%13.0% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
PHI Bullpen
HR/FB11.8% HR/90.79 FIP3.32 IP137.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citizens Bank Park
Weather · Citizens Bank Park
cool air · crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp64.2°F Wind0 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note64°F, wind 0 mph N (cross) — modifier: +0
22 71 +4.3 Kendry Rojas (LHP)
HOU @ MIN · Target Field
7:40p 🟡 B
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
16
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
MIN Bullpen
HR/FB10.3% HR/90.77 FIP4.30 IP140.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Target Field
Weather · Target Field
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.9°F Wind3.4 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 3 mph NNW (out) — modifier: -1
23 70 · Andrew Painter (RHP)
CIN @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park
6:40p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
12
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%16.4% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
PHI Bullpen
HR/FB11.8% HR/90.79 FIP3.32 IP137.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citizens Bank Park
Weather · Citizens Bank Park
cool air · crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp64.2°F Wind0 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note64°F, wind 0 mph N (cross) — modifier: +0
Sal Stewart — Home Run
OffAndrew Painter Exit Velo101.3 mph Angle27.0° Distance361 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park
24
·Nick Kurtz (L)
70 -7.6 Walbert Ureña (RHP)
ATH @ LAA · Angel Stadium
9:38p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
10
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%17.2% Avg EV94.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
LAA Bullpen
HR/FB19.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.63 IP155.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp61.5°F Wind5.8 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note62°F, wind 6 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: -1
25
·Spencer Steer (R) 2
69 · Andrew Painter (RHP)
CIN @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park
6:40p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls48 BBE Barrel%15.3% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.6×
PHI Bullpen
HR/FB11.8% HR/90.79 FIP3.32 IP137.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citizens Bank Park
Weather · Citizens Bank Park
cool air · crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp64.2°F Wind0 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note64°F, wind 0 mph N (cross) — modifier: +0
26 69 +5.1 Ryan Weathers (LHP)
TOR @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
7:05p 🔵 C+
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%15.3% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB13.8% HR/90.84 FIP3.55 IP139.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
mild air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp68.8°F Wind4.6 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note69°F, wind 5 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
27
·Corey Seager (L) 3
69 · Jose Quintana (LHP)
TEX @ COL · Coors Field
8:40p 🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%15.7% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB14.7% HR/91.18 FIP4.24 IP167.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp43.7°F Wind4.6 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-3 Note44°F, wind 5 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -3
28
·Max Muncy (L)
68 -3.0 Walbert Ureña (RHP)
ATH @ LAA · Angel Stadium
9:38p 🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
2
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%18.7% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
LAA Bullpen
HR/FB19.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.63 IP155.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp61.5°F Wind5.8 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note62°F, wind 6 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: -1
29 67 -5.2 Walbert Ureña (RHP)
ATH @ LAA · Angel Stadium
9:38p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
8
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%14.9% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
LAA Bullpen
HR/FB19.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.63 IP155.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp61.5°F Wind5.8 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note62°F, wind 6 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: -1
30 66 · Patrick Corbin (LHP)
TOR @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
7:05p 🔵 C+
?HH vs LHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
3
Form · —
SignalUNKNOWN Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%18.0% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
TOR Bullpen
HR/FB11.5% HR/90.53 FIP2.77 IP152.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
mild air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp68.8°F Wind4.6 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note69°F, wind 5 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
🔥

The full lineup is in the hole

Sign up to see every ranked matchup with scores, tiers, pitcher intel, and conviction tools. Pro gets 150+ batters daily.

247 more waiting in the on-deck circle
Model Health · HR catch rate by tier
season-to-date
S 0.0%
A+ 17.2%
A 18.2%
B 20.0%
C+ 15.1%
C 12.3%
D 7.7%
Best Day
32.0%
May 29
LD 3.2.76

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.