⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
SF
@ 9:40p
AZ
Chase Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.81×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.810
Temp
70.3°F
Wind
1.0 mph
in
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 62 🔵 C+ +540 · 42 0.215 89.6 14.2% 17.2% 388 14.6% 23.1% 26.4% 30
2 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 44 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 111 0.165 92.0 13.4% 13.6% 399 10.3% 8.3% 11.1% 34
3 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 41 ⚪ D +450 · 137 0.148 89.9 7.4% 15.4% 396 9.7% 23.1% 12.0% 33
4 Willy Adames Willy Adames 33 ⚪ D +540 · 187 0.123 88.5 8.3% 13.0% 375 4.8% 0.0% 8.8% 42
5 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 31 ⚪ D +650 🌤️ WARM 195 0.082 86.9 5.6% 9.5% 349 2.4% 0.0% 8.2% 30
6 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 211 0.037 90.0 5.8% 0.0% 407 2.5% 0.0% 4.8% 10
7 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 21 ⚪ D +1000 · 232 0.070 87.0 · 3.1% 345 4.7% 15.4% 4.4% 44
8 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 18 ⚪ D +900 ❄ COLD 239 0.112 87.9 1.9% 13.0% 363 7.3% 8.3% 6.0% 52
9 Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert 15 ⚪ D +700 ❄ COLD 245 0.100 83.2 3.1% 28.6% 380 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 25
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 61 🔵 C+ +500 · 44 0.238 90.8 13.5% 8.3% 417 15.4% 16.7% 15.7% 36
2 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 45 ⚪ D +525 🌤️ WARM 106 0.178 84.6 7.1% 40.0% 401 12.5% 8.3% 14.3% 27
3 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 45 ⚪ D +500 🌧️ COOL 109 0.230 87.6 4.3% 45.5% 399 13.3% 8.3% 19.3% 46
4 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 148 0.180 85.9 7.4% 16.7% 351 3.8% 0.0% 13.2% 5
5 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 39 ⚪ D · · 156 0.151 88.2 8.3% 15.8% 403 11.1% 0.0% 6.9% 18
6 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 38 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 160 0.159 89.9 8.3% 11.1% 408 3.7% 0.0% 8.4% 5
7 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 36 ⚪ D +350 🌧️ COOL 174 0.152 91.5 9.6% 0.0% 411 3.6% 0.0% 6.1% 38
8 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 27 ⚪ D +900 · 210 0.135 87.0 3.1% 11.1% 382 3.3% 0.0% 7.3% 36
9 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 20 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 233 0.111 88.6 4.4% 27.3% 409 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 19
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