⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
MIL
@ 7:40p
CHC
Wrigley Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.05×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · strong crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.154
Temp
74.6°F
Wind
19.6 mph
cross
Roof
open
Brandon Sproat
Brandon Sproat RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 83 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 9 0.232 90.4 17.5% 36.4% 400 23.9% 15.4% 38.2% 23
2 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 63 🔵 C+ · · 36 0.219 90.9 12.6% 27.3% 390 8.7% 0.0% 18.5% 19
3 Michael Busch Michael Busch 58 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 50 0.125 88.0 11.2% 8.8% 401 8.7% 15.4% 10.3% 32
4 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 56 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 54 0.226 88.2 8.0% 31.6% 414 11.1% 0.0% 30.1% 31
5 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 84 0.166 90.6 8.5% 11.1% 393 13.0% 0.0% 12.4% 35
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 101 0.133 90.8 8.1% 12.0% 382 11.1% 15.4% 10.4% 35
7 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 42 ⚪ D · · 124 0.113 89.3 6.6% 23.1% 390 6.8% 7.7% 12.2% 38
8 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 173 0.098 90.3 8.9% 0.0% 414 4.7% 0.0% 7.8% 22
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 202 0.142 85.5 1.7% 6.5% 383 8.7% 0.0% 9.3% 53
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 64 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 33 0.204 93.1 12.7% 20.0% 399 12.0% 11.1% 18.9% 17
2 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 80 0.112 92.2 14.5% 8.3% 413 3.8% 10.0% 9.6% 18
3 Gary Sánchez Gary Sánchez 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 83 0.238 88.3 10.9% 27.8% 405 10.5% 0.0% 15.2% 11
4 Brice Turang Brice Turang 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 86 0.213 91.3 9.4% 0.0% 405 9.5% 9.1% 12.4% 34
5 William Contreras William Contreras 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 196 0.111 90.2 6.2% 0.0% 404 7.3% 9.1% 4.8% 36
6 Luis Rengifo Luis Rengifo 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 224 0.068 87.8 6.2% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 26
7 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 231 0.085 84.7 3.2% 15.8% 402 5.1% 0.0% 9.5% 34
8 Joey Ortiz Joey Ortiz 13 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 246 0.044 85.9 3.8% 0.0% 395 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 21
9 David Hamilton David Hamilton 9 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 249 0.021 84.3 2.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 15
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