HOU
@
7:40p
MIN
Park Factor
1.01×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.911
Temp
55.9°F
Wind
3.4 mph
out
Roof
open
Tatsuya Imai
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 99 | 🥇 S | · | 🔥 HOT | 2 | 0.320 | 89.5 | 21.1% | 40.0% | 393 | 34.2% | 50.0% | 43.1% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Ryan Jeffers | 78 | 🟡 B | +950 | · | 15 | 0.238 | 91.1 | 15.3% | 27.3% | 402 | 17.9% | 27.3% | 34.5% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Matt Wallner | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 81 | 0.125 | 88.4 | 10.4% | 57.1% | 415 | 10.8% | 12.5% | 16.6% | 6 |
| 4 |
|
Josh Bell | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 158 | 0.111 | 89.3 | 9.2% | 11.1% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Brooks Lee | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 163 | 0.144 | 87.0 | 4.6% | 16.7% | 364 | 12.2% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 44 |
| 6 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 164 | 0.113 | 86.6 | 7.5% | 6.2% | 381 | 5.4% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Victor Caratini | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 201 | 0.039 | 88.8 | 4.7% | 12.5% | 423 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 15 |
| 8 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 209 | 0.070 | 84.3 | 3.6% | 8.3% | 367 | 2.5% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 28 |
| 9 |
|
Austin Martin | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 217 | 0.096 | 86.1 | 2.1% | 0.0% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 37 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 90 | 🔥 A+ | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 5 | 0.321 | 94.4 | 17.6% | 35.3% | 393 | 32.3% | 16.7% | 41.8% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 71 | 🟡 B | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 22 | 0.245 | 91.0 | 12.7% | 20.0% | 394 | 22.2% | 25.0% | 28.8% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Brice Matthews | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 74 | 0.177 | 88.2 | 7.9% | 33.3% | 398 | 10.5% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Cam Smith | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 79 | 0.121 | 88.3 | 13.5% | 10.0% | 406 | 9.3% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 22 |
| 5 |
|
Carlos Correa | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 92 | 0.139 | 89.2 | 10.3% | 42.9% | 384 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 14.6% | 1 |
| 6 |
|
Christian Vázquez | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 105 | 0.171 | 87.0 | 2.9% | 16.7% | 374 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 139 | 0.109 | 87.8 | 3.4% | 12.5% | 380 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 44 |
| 8 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 155 | 0.111 | 87.1 | 4.1% | 0.0% | 369 | 6.8% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Jose Altuve | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 171 | 0.120 | 86.3 | 6.2% | 13.6% | 373 | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 29 |