⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
HOU
@ 7:40p
MIN
Target Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.01×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.911
Temp
55.9°F
Wind
3.4 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 99 🥇 S · 🔥 HOT 2 0.320 89.5 21.1% 40.0% 393 34.2% 50.0% 43.1% 25
2 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 78 🟡 B +950 · 15 0.238 91.1 15.3% 27.3% 402 17.9% 27.3% 34.5% 28
3 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 81 0.125 88.4 10.4% 57.1% 415 10.8% 12.5% 16.6% 6
4 Josh Bell Josh Bell 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 158 0.111 89.3 9.2% 11.1% 392 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 25
5 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 163 0.144 87.0 4.6% 16.7% 364 12.2% 0.0% 10.5% 44
6 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 164 0.113 86.6 7.5% 6.2% 381 5.4% 11.1% 8.0% 22
7 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 201 0.039 88.8 4.7% 12.5% 423 2.6% 0.0% 8.9% 15
8 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 28 ⚪ D · · 209 0.070 84.3 3.6% 8.3% 367 2.5% 0.0% 7.9% 28
9 Austin Martin Austin Martin 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 217 0.096 86.1 2.1% 0.0% 406 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 37
Kendry Rojas
Kendry Rojas LHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 90 🔥 A+ +525 🌤️ WARM 5 0.321 94.4 17.6% 35.3% 393 32.3% 16.7% 41.8% 27
2 Christian Walker Christian Walker 71 🟡 B +700 🌧️ COOL 22 0.245 91.0 12.7% 20.0% 394 22.2% 25.0% 28.8% 32
3 Brice Matthews Brice Matthews 51 🟠 C · · 74 0.177 88.2 7.9% 33.3% 398 10.5% 8.3% 13.8% 34
4 Cam Smith Cam Smith 50 🟠 C · · 79 0.121 88.3 13.5% 10.0% 406 9.3% 0.0% 7.5% 22
5 Carlos Correa Carlos Correa 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 92 0.139 89.2 10.3% 42.9% 384 3.7% 0.0% 14.6% 1
6 Christian Vázquez Christian Vázquez 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 105 0.171 87.0 2.9% 16.7% 374 0.0% 0.0% 10.9% 22
7 Yainer Diaz Yainer Diaz 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 139 0.109 87.8 3.4% 12.5% 380 5.3% 0.0% 7.9% 44
8 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 155 0.111 87.1 4.1% 0.0% 369 6.8% 9.1% 5.0% 33
9 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 171 0.120 86.3 6.2% 13.6% 373 7.3% 10.0% 8.1% 29
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