Pitch Arsenal
Batter vs. pitcher pitch-type matchups — when a batter who crushes a pitch type faces a pitcher whose version of that pitch is getting shelled, that's an exploitable edge.
⚡ Arsenal Edges
Historical Snapshot
Validated pre-game snapshot. This view was captured before first pitch.
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Batting
Pitching
Arsenal Edges · 2026-08-27
| Hit? | Signal Composite signal strength combining three factors: how much the batter crushes this pitch (45%), how badly the pitcher gets shelled on it (35%), and how often the pitcher throws it (10%). Higher = more exploitable. | Batter | Pitcher |
Pitch
The specific pitch type where the matchup edge exists. Color-coded by family: Hard — Fastball, Sinker, Cutter Breaking — Slider, Curve, Sweeper Offspeed — Changeup, Splitter |
Bat RV/100
Batter's Run Value per 100 pitches against this pitch type. +15 = solid · +30 = elite crusher |
Pit RV/100
Pitcher's Run Value allowed per 100 on this pitch type. +10 = vulnerable · +20 = getting shelled |
Usage% How often the pitcher throws this pitch type. | Bat HRs Home runs the batter has hit off this specific pitch type this season. | Pit HRs Home runs the pitcher has allowed on this pitch type this season. | Rank The batter's rank on that day's slate (by model HR probability score). |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | Andres Chaparro | Gabriel Hughes | Fastball | +5.4 | -1.3 | 56% | 7 | 2 | #9 | |
| · | Garrett Mitchell | Sean Manaea | Sweeper | +5.9 | +2.0 | 31% | 1 | 5 | #30 | |
| · | Carson Benge | Jacob Misiorowski | Fastball | +1.4 | -1.8 | 64% | 6 | 8 | #65 | |
| · | Cj Abrams | Gabriel Hughes | Fastball | +1.7 | -1.3 | 56% | 4 | 2 | #14 | |
| · | Jacob Young | Gabriel Hughes | Fastball | +1.5 | -1.3 | 56% | 6 | 2 | #47 | |
| · | Michael Massey | Spencer Arrighetti | Curveball | +4.8 | +0.1 | 34% | 1 | 1 | #43 | |
| · | Jake Bauers | Sean Manaea | Sweeper | +3.4 | +2.0 | 31% | 4 | 5 | #5 | |
| · | Jose Altuve | Gerrit Cole | Fastball | +2.3 | -2.0 | 49% | 6 | 5 | #68 | |
| · | Yordan Alvarez | Gerrit Cole | Fastball | +2.1 | -2.0 | 49% | 12 | 5 | #7 | |
| · | Jeremy Peña | Gerrit Cole | Fastball | +2.2 | -2.0 | 49% | 3 | 5 | #23 | |
| · | Keibert Ruiz | Gabriel Hughes | Fastball | +0.3 | -1.3 | 56% | 3 | 2 | #42 | |
| · | Jorbit Vivas | Gabriel Hughes | Fastball | +0.3 | -1.3 | 56% | 1 | 2 | #80 | |
| · | Brett Sullivan | Jake Irvin | Sinker | +5.1 | +2.0 | 20% | 1 | 7 | #13 | |
| · | Max Muncy | Chris Sale | Fastball | +2.8 | -1.2 | 41% | 15 | 7 | #3 | |
| · | Yainer Diaz | Gerrit Cole | Fastball | +1.4 | -2.0 | 49% | 4 | 5 | #38 | |
| · | Alec Burleson | Trevor Rogers | Fastball | +1.3 | -0.7 | 46% | 7 | 9 | #49 | |
| · | Nolan Gorman | Trevor Rogers | Fastball | +1.2 | -0.7 | 46% | 5 | 9 | #76 | |
| · | Jj Wetherholt | Trevor Rogers | Fastball | +1.2 | -0.7 | 46% | 12 | 9 | #88 | |
| · | Brice Turang | Sean Manaea | Sweeper | +2.1 | +2.0 | 31% | 3 | 5 | #35 | |
| · | Cam Smith | Gerrit Cole | Fastball | +0.8 | -2.0 | 49% | 5 | 5 | #25 | |
| · | Ben Rice | Hayden Wesneski | Fastball | +4.4 | +0.1 | 25% | 17 | 1 | #1 | |
| · | Jake Bauers | Sean Manaea | Fastball | +2.0 | -0.9 | 39% | 6 | 8 | #5 | |
| · | Rafael Devers | Jose Cabrera | Sinker | +0.4 | +9.7 | 9% | 2 | 1 | #8 | |
| · | Jordan Walker | Trevor Rogers | Fastball | +0.5 | -0.7 | 46% | 9 | 9 | #17 | |
| · | Isaac Paredes | Gerrit Cole | Fastball | +0.6 | -2.0 | 49% | 6 | 5 | #44 | |
| · | Ildemaro Vargas | Landen Roupp | Sinker | +2.4 | +0.1 | 34% | 4 | 6 | #94 | |
| · | Jackson Chourio | Sean Manaea | Sweeper | +1.0 | +2.0 | 31% | 3 | 5 | #19 | |
| · | George Springer | Noah Cameron | Cutter | +5.8 | -1.0 | 21% | 3 | 2 | #73 | |
| · | Rafael Devers | Jose Cabrera | Cutter | +3.5 | +0.0 | 26% | 4 | 1 | #8 | |
| · | Jackson Chourio | Sean Manaea | Fastball | +1.5 | -0.9 | 39% | 6 | 8 | #19 |
What is Run Value (RV)?
Run Value measures how much a pitch outcome changes the expected runs in a game.
Positive RV for a batter = good (they're generating offense). Positive RV against a pitcher = bad (they're giving up offense).
RV/100 normalizes per 100 pitches seen/thrown for fair comparison.
How Arsenal Edges work: When a batter with a high RV against fastballs faces a pitcher whose fastball has a high RV allowed, and that pitcher throws their fastball 40%+ of the time — that's a concrete, pitch-level HR edge that goes beyond general HR/FB rates.
Pitch families: Hard (Fastball, Sinker, Cutter) · Breaking (Slider, Curveball, Sweeper) · Offspeed (Changeup, Splitter)
Data source: Statcast pitch-level data via Baseball Savant. Hover any column header for a detailed explanation, or hover any cell for per-pitcher/batter context.
How Arsenal Edges work: When a batter with a high RV against fastballs faces a pitcher whose fastball has a high RV allowed, and that pitcher throws their fastball 40%+ of the time — that's a concrete, pitch-level HR edge that goes beyond general HR/FB rates.
Pitch families: Hard (Fastball, Sinker, Cutter) · Breaking (Slider, Curveball, Sweeper) · Offspeed (Changeup, Splitter)
Data source: Statcast pitch-level data via Baseball Savant. Hover any column header for a detailed explanation, or hover any cell for per-pitcher/batter context.