2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 10 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Tristan Peters 6 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Cal Raleigh 4 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 8 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 9 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 10 Jake Burger 4 HRs · 11 Mickey Gasper 4 HRs · 12 Jordan Walker 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 10 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Tristan Peters 6 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Cal Raleigh 4 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 8 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 9 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 10 Jake Burger 4 HRs · 11 Mickey Gasper 4 HRs · 12 Jordan Walker 4 HRs
Pitch Arsenal
Batter vs. pitcher pitch-type matchups — when a batter who crushes a pitch type faces a pitcher whose version of that pitch is getting shelled, that's an exploitable edge.
⚡ Arsenal Edges
14 days available
Historical Snapshot
Validated pre-game snapshot. This view was captured before first pitch.
refresh_11 - 2026-08-27T11:00:23-04:00
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data/cache/arsenal_batting_2026.csv
Pitching missing cache
data/cache/arsenal_pitching_2026.csv
Arsenal Edges · 2026-08-27
30 signals · no HR connections
Hit? Signal ? Composite signal strength combining three factors: how much the batter crushes this pitch (45%), how badly the pitcher gets shelled on it (35%), and how often the pitcher throws it (10%). Higher = more exploitable. Batter Pitcher Pitch ? The specific pitch type where the matchup edge exists. Color-coded by family:

Hard — Fastball, Sinker, Cutter
Breaking — Slider, Curve, Sweeper
Offspeed — Changeup, Splitter
Bat RV/100 ? Batter's Run Value per 100 pitches against this pitch type.

+15 = solid · +30 = elite crusher
Pit RV/100 ? Pitcher's Run Value allowed per 100 on this pitch type.

+10 = vulnerable · +20 = getting shelled
Usage% ? How often the pitcher throws this pitch type. Bat HRs ? Home runs the batter has hit off this specific pitch type this season. Pit HRs ? Home runs the pitcher has allowed on this pitch type this season. Rank ? The batter's rank on that day's slate (by model HR probability score).
· 7.5 Andres Chaparro Gabriel Hughes Fastball +5.4 -1.3 56% 7 2 #9
· 6.5 Garrett Mitchell Sean Manaea Sweeper +5.9 +2.0 31% 1 5 #30
· 6.4 Carson Benge Jacob Misiorowski Fastball +1.4 -1.8 64% 6 8 #65
· 5.9 Cj Abrams Gabriel Hughes Fastball +1.7 -1.3 56% 4 2 #14
· 5.8 Jacob Young Gabriel Hughes Fastball +1.5 -1.3 56% 6 2 #47
· 5.6 Michael Massey Spencer Arrighetti Curveball +4.8 +0.1 34% 1 1 #43
· 5.3 Jake Bauers Sean Manaea Sweeper +3.4 +2.0 31% 4 5 #5
· 5.3 Jose Altuve Gerrit Cole Fastball +2.3 -2.0 49% 6 5 #68
· 5.2 Yordan Alvarez Gerrit Cole Fastball +2.1 -2.0 49% 12 5 #7
· 5.2 Jeremy Peña Gerrit Cole Fastball +2.2 -2.0 49% 3 5 #23
· 5.2 Keibert Ruiz Gabriel Hughes Fastball +0.3 -1.3 56% 3 2 #42
· 5.2 Jorbit Vivas Gabriel Hughes Fastball +0.3 -1.3 56% 1 2 #80
· 5.0 Brett Sullivan Jake Irvin Sinker +5.1 +2.0 20% 1 7 #13
· 4.9 Max Muncy Chris Sale Fastball +2.8 -1.2 41% 15 7 #3
· 4.9 Yainer Diaz Gerrit Cole Fastball +1.4 -2.0 49% 4 5 #38
· 4.9 Alec Burleson Trevor Rogers Fastball +1.3 -0.7 46% 7 9 #49
· 4.9 Nolan Gorman Trevor Rogers Fastball +1.2 -0.7 46% 5 9 #76
· 4.9 Jj Wetherholt Trevor Rogers Fastball +1.2 -0.7 46% 12 9 #88
· 4.8 Brice Turang Sean Manaea Sweeper +2.1 +2.0 31% 3 5 #35
· 4.6 Cam Smith Gerrit Cole Fastball +0.8 -2.0 49% 5 5 #25
· 4.5 Ben Rice Hayden Wesneski Fastball +4.4 +0.1 25% 17 1 #1
· 4.5 Jake Bauers Sean Manaea Fastball +2.0 -0.9 39% 6 8 #5
· 4.5 Rafael Devers Jose Cabrera Sinker +0.4 +9.7 9% 2 1 #8
· 4.5 Jordan Walker Trevor Rogers Fastball +0.5 -0.7 46% 9 9 #17
· 4.5 Isaac Paredes Gerrit Cole Fastball +0.6 -2.0 49% 6 5 #44
· 4.5 Ildemaro Vargas Landen Roupp Sinker +2.4 +0.1 34% 4 6 #94
· 4.3 Jackson Chourio Sean Manaea Sweeper +1.0 +2.0 31% 3 5 #19
· 4.3 George Springer Noah Cameron Cutter +5.8 -1.0 21% 3 2 #73
· 4.2 Rafael Devers Jose Cabrera Cutter +3.5 +0.0 26% 4 1 #8
· 4.2 Jackson Chourio Sean Manaea Fastball +1.5 -0.9 39% 6 8 #19
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What is Run Value (RV)? Run Value measures how much a pitch outcome changes the expected runs in a game. Positive RV for a batter = good (they're generating offense). Positive RV against a pitcher = bad (they're giving up offense). RV/100 normalizes per 100 pitches seen/thrown for fair comparison.

How Arsenal Edges work: When a batter with a high RV against fastballs faces a pitcher whose fastball has a high RV allowed, and that pitcher throws their fastball 40%+ of the time — that's a concrete, pitch-level HR edge that goes beyond general HR/FB rates.

Pitch families: Hard (Fastball, Sinker, Cutter) · Breaking (Slider, Curveball, Sweeper) · Offspeed (Changeup, Splitter)

Data source: Statcast pitch-level data via Baseball Savant. Hover any column header for a detailed explanation, or hover any cell for per-pitcher/batter context.
THR 3.3.164 · build 668

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