Today · 2026-09-21

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

📦 STACK Trey Yesavage FIP 4.14 HR/FB 20.0% → #1 Pete Alonso, #3 Coby Mayo, #9 Pro pick, #12 Pro pick

📦 STACK DET Bullpen Proxy FIP 4.07 HR/FB 12.4% → #2 James Wood, #10 Pro pick, #15 Pro pick

📦 STACK WSH Bullpen Proxy FIP 4.74 HR/FB 14.8% → #5 Riley Greene, #8 Pro pick, #11 Pro pick, #13 Pro pick

📦 STACK Blade Tidwell FIP 4.81 HR/FB 23.1% → #6 Pro pick, #14 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-20. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.6% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	James Wood (L)	69	·	●	DET Bullpen Proxy WSH @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	30	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%19.4% Avg EV95.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	57d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffKevin Ginkel Exit Velo109.6 mph Angle25.0° Distance418 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	11.5×	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.06 FIP4.07 IP1445.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+24 Weather · Comerica Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp58°F Wind9 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note58°F, wind 9 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Pete Alonso (R) ²	63	·	●	Trey Yesavage (RHP) TOR @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	38	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-09-18 OffDustin May Exit Velo106.0 mph Angle21.0° Distance353 ft StadiumCamden Yards	●●●○○	0.7×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.01 FIP3.86 IP1278.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-38 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind7 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-38 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph ENE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Coby Mayo (R)	59	·	●	Trey Yesavage (RHP) TOR @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	24	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-09-15 OffJonathan Pintaro Exit Velo106.9 mph Angle25.0° Distance410 ft StadiumCiti Field	●○○○○	1.0×	1	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.01 FIP3.86 IP1278.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-28 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind7 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-28 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph ENE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Kazuma Okamoto (R) ²	58	·	●	Shane Baz (RHP) TOR @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	33	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-09-14 OffKyle Finnegan Exit Velo107.3 mph Angle31.0° Distance390 ft StadiumRogers Centre	○○○○○	2.5×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.3% HR/91.04 FIP4.07 IP1337.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-32 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind7 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-32 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph ENE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Riley Greene (L)	61	·	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy WSH @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%15.1% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-09-18 OffBryan Hudson Exit Velo108.9 mph Angle33.0° Distance413 ft StadiumRate Field	○○●○○	0.4×	·	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.36 FIP4.74 IP1417.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Comerica Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp58°F Wind9 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note58°F, wind 9 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ²	54	·	●	Blade Tidwell (RHP) MIN @ SF · Oracle Park	9:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.98 FIP4.25 IP1445.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+33 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind10 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note60°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ²	53	·	●	Zebby Matthews (RHP) MIN @ SF · Oracle Park	9:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.21 FIP4.38 IP1359.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+40 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind10 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+40 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note60°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (R) ²	56	·	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy WSH @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.36 FIP4.74 IP1417.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · Comerica Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp58°F Wind9 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note58°F, wind 9 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L) ²	53	·	●	DET Bullpen Proxy WSH @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.06 FIP4.07 IP1445.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Comerica Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp58°F Wind9 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note58°F, wind 9 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (R) ²	53	·	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy WSH @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.36 FIP4.74 IP1417.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+5 Weather · Comerica Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp58°F Wind9 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note58°F, wind 9 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L) ²	48	·	●	Trey Yesavage (RHP) TOR @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.01 FIP3.86 IP1278.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-44 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind7 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-44 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph ENE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (R) ²	49	·	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy WSH @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	⚪ D	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.36 FIP4.74 IP1417.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+14 Weather · Comerica Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp58°F Wind9 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note58°F, wind 9 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (S) ²	45	·	●	Blade Tidwell (RHP) MIN @ SF · Oracle Park	9:45p	⚪ D	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.98 FIP4.25 IP1445.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+47 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind10 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note60°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ²	48	·	●	DET Bullpen Proxy WSH @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	⚪ D	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.06 FIP4.07 IP1445.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Comerica Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp58°F Wind9 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note58°F, wind 9 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (L) ²	44	·	●	Trey Yesavage (RHP) TOR @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%6.9% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.01 FIP3.86 IP1278.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-49 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind7 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-49 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph ENE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (R) ²	43	·	●	Blade Tidwell (RHP) MIN @ SF · Oracle Park	9:45p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.98 FIP4.25 IP1445.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+58 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind10 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+58 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note60°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (R) ²	45	·	●	DET Bullpen Proxy WSH @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	⚪ D	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.06 FIP4.07 IP1445.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · Comerica Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp58°F Wind9 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note58°F, wind 9 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L) ²	41	·	●	Trey Yesavage (RHP) TOR @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%7.9% Avg EV87.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.01 FIP3.86 IP1278.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-45 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind7 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-45 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph ENE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (S) ²	41	·	●	Blade Tidwell (RHP) MIN @ SF · Oracle Park	9:45p	⚪ D	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%6.3% Avg EV88.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.98 FIP4.25 IP1445.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+32 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind10 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+32 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note60°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (R) ²	40	·	●	Shane Baz (RHP) TOR @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%6.7% Avg EV88.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.3% HR/91.04 FIP4.07 IP1337.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-27 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind7 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph ENE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L) ²	40	·	●	Zebby Matthews (RHP) MIN @ SF · Oracle Park	9:45p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%7.7% Avg EV86.6 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.21 FIP4.38 IP1359.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+33 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind10 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note60°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L) ²	42	·	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy WSH @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	⚪ D	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%7.6% Avg EV88.7 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.36 FIP4.74 IP1417.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Comerica Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp58°F Wind9 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note58°F, wind 9 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L) ²	41	·	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy WSH @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	⚪ D	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%7.1% Avg EV88.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.36 FIP4.74 IP1417.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+24 Weather · Comerica Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp58°F Wind9 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note58°F, wind 9 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (S) ²	39	·	●	DET Bullpen Proxy WSH @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	⚪ D	SHH vs ?HP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%4.9% Avg EV88.0 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.06 FIP4.07 IP1445.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Comerica Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp58°F Wind9 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note58°F, wind 9 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (S) ²	33	·	●	Trey Yesavage (RHP) TOR @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	⚪ D	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%5.0% Avg EV88.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.01 FIP3.86 IP1278.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-44 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind7 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-44 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 8 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph ENE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (R) ²	33	·	●	Shane Baz (RHP) TOR @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%7.0% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.3% HR/91.04 FIP4.07 IP1337.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-37 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind7 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-37 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph ENE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ²	32	·	●	Zebby Matthews (RHP) MIN @ SF · Oracle Park	9:45p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%4.9% Avg EV87.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.21 FIP4.38 IP1359.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind10 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note60°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R) ²	35	·	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy WSH @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	⚪ D	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%6.3% Avg EV86.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.36 FIP4.74 IP1417.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+24 Weather · Comerica Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp58°F Wind9 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 8 HR Note58°F, wind 9 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R) ²	35	·	●	DET Bullpen Proxy WSH @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	⚪ D	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%5.7% Avg EV87.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.06 FIP4.07 IP1445.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+1 Weather · Comerica Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp58°F Wind9 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note58°F, wind 9 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (S) ²	31	·	●	Blade Tidwell (RHP) MIN @ SF · Oracle Park	9:45p	⚪ D	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%7.9% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.98 FIP4.25 IP1445.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+46 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind10 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+46 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note60°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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34 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.0%

▼ -2.6 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 18.3% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-20

27 HRs

25%

7 caught / 27 HRs

in top 50

#1 Pete Crow-Armstrong

31.8%

🟡

#6 Hunter Goodman

31.0%

🔵

#29 Victor Mesa Jr.

23.5%

🟠

#33 Michael Conforto

15.8%

🟠

#35 Seiya Suzuki

14.8%

🟠

#36 Rafael Flores Jr.

30.5%

🟠

#39 Oneil Cruz

19.0%

🟠

Missed

JJ Bleday Nolan Arenado Spencer Jones Jake Burger William Contreras +15 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Miguel Vargas ×3 Pete Crow-Armstrong ×3 Ronald Acuña Jr. ×3 Pete Alonso ×3 Brandon Lowe ×2

❄️ Cold

Corey Seager 0 of 6d Cam Smith 0 of 5d Bryce Harper 0 of 5d Drake Baldwin 0 of 5d Mookie Betts 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.2%

B 20.1%

C+ 17.2%

C 13.9%

D 9.1%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-21

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.