Results · 2026-10-07

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Results · 2026-10-07

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

📦 STACK Daniel Espino FIP 3.8 → #1 Munetaka Murakami, #4 Miguel Vargas, #5 Randal Grichuk, #10 Colson Montgomery

📦 STACK Nick Martinez FIP 4.02 HR/FB 11.7% → #2 Ben Rice, #8 Luis García Jr., #13 George Lombard Jr., #14 Spencer Jones

📦 STACK Tyler Glasnow FIP 2.78 HR/FB 12.1% → #3 Matt Olson, #11 Ronald Acuna Jr.

📦 STACK Tyler Mahle FIP 4.05 HR/FB 16.7% → #6 Shohei Ohtani, #7 Max Muncy, #12 Andy Pages, #15 Mookie Betts

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Due	BP	Weather	Hit?
1	·Munetaka Murakami (L)	69	·	Daniel Espino (RHP) CLE @ CWS · Rate Field	4:00p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	35	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%13.9% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.7×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.10 FIP3.89 IP1377.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+36 Weather · Rate Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note76°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
2	·Ben Rice (L)	67	·	Nick Martinez (RHP) TB @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	8:00p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	41	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.07 IP1396.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Yankee Stadium cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind6 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 40 HR Note60°F, wind 6 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
3	·Matt Olson (L)	63	·	Tyler Glasnow (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	6:00p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	41	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.3×	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.14 FIP3.87 IP1377.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 41 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
4	·Miguel Vargas (R)	62	·	Daniel Espino (RHP) CLE @ CWS · Rate Field	4:00p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	33	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.2×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.10 FIP3.89 IP1377.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+43 Weather · Rate Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+43 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note76°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
5	·Randal Grichuk (R)	62	·	Daniel Espino (RHP) CLE @ CWS · Rate Field	4:00p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	15	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.10 FIP3.89 IP1377.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+41 Weather · Rate Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note76°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
6	·Shohei Ohtani (L)	60	·	Tyler Mahle (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	6:00p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5.8×	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.18 FIP4.24 IP1335.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Max Muncy (L)	59	·	Tyler Mahle (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	6:00p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	9	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.3×	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.18 FIP4.24 IP1335.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 38 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)	Max Muncy — Home Run OffRaisel Iglesias Exit Velo104.3 mph Angle29.0° Distance389 ft StadiumTruist Park
8	·Luis García Jr. (L)	58	·	Nick Martinez (RHP) TB @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	8:00p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.8×	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.07 IP1396.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+2 Weather · Yankee Stadium cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind6 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note60°F, wind 6 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
9	·Junior Caminero (R)	55	·	Max Fried (LHP) TB @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	8:00p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	42	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%6.4% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.04 FIP3.76 IP1445.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Yankee Stadium cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind6 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 42 HR Note60°F, wind 6 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
10	·Colson Montgomery (L)	55	·	Daniel Espino (RHP) CLE @ CWS · Rate Field	4:00p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	31	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4.2×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.10 FIP3.89 IP1377.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Rate Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note76°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
11	·Andy Pages (R)	54	·	Tyler Mahle (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	6:00p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	23	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%7.4% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.18 FIP4.24 IP1335.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-19 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-19 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
12	·George Lombard Jr. (R)	54	·	Nick Martinez (RHP) TB @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	8:00p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	7	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%7.5% Avg EV87.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.07 IP1396.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Yankee Stadium cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind6 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 6 HR Note60°F, wind 6 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
13	·Spencer Jones (L)	53	·	Nick Martinez (RHP) TB @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	8:00p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	11	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.3×	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.07 IP1396.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+18 Weather · Yankee Stadium cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind6 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note60°F, wind 6 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
14	·Mookie Betts (R)	52	·	Tyler Mahle (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	6:00p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	23	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls45 BBE Barrel%7.3% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.18 FIP4.24 IP1335.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-19 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-19 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
15	·Jake Bauers (L)	52	·	Walker Buehler (RHP) MIL @ SD · Petco Park	10:00p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	26	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.2×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.07 FIP4.11 IP1350.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-11 Weather · Petco Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind5 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note84°F, wind 5 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
16	·Michael Harris II (L)	51	·	Tyler Glasnow (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	6:00p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	26	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.5×	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.14 FIP3.87 IP1377.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-13 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
17	·Drake Baldwin (L)	51	·	Tyler Glasnow (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	6:00p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.14 FIP3.87 IP1377.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
18	·Trent Grisham	50	·	Nick Martinez (RHP) TB @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	8:00p	🟠 C	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	— Form · — SignalUNKNOWN Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.07 IP1396.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+2 Weather · Yankee Stadium cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind6 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note60°F, wind 6 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
19	·Ronald Acuna Jr. (R)	49	·	Tyler Glasnow (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	6:00p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.14 FIP3.87 IP1377.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
20	·Will Smith (R)	49	·	Tyler Mahle (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	6:00p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.1×	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.18 FIP4.24 IP1335.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-17 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
21	·Austin Riley (R)	49	·	Tyler Glasnow (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	6:00p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.14 FIP3.87 IP1377.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
22	·Jackson Chourio (R)	49	·	Walker Buehler (RHP) MIL @ SD · Petco Park	10:00p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.5×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.07 FIP4.11 IP1350.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · Petco Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind5 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note84°F, wind 5 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
23	·Kyle Teel (L)	48	·	Daniel Espino (RHP) CLE @ CWS · Rate Field	4:00p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	5	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV85.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.10 FIP3.89 IP1377.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+39 Weather · Rate Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 5 HR Note76°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
24	·Jo Adell (R)	47	·	Sean Newcomb (LHP) CLE @ CWS · Rate Field	4:00p	⚪ D	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	23	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%7.7% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	CWS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.06 FIP4.14 IP1413.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+40 Weather · Rate Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+40 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note76°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
25	·Austin Wells (L)	47	·	Nick Martinez (RHP) TB @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	8:00p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%7.3% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.07 IP1396.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+1 Weather · Yankee Stadium cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind6 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note60°F, wind 6 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Victor Mesa Jr. (L)	47	·	Max Fried (LHP) TB @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	8:00p	⚪ D	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	14	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%5.8% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.6×	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.04 FIP3.76 IP1445.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · Yankee Stadium cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind6 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note60°F, wind 6 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)	Victor Mesa Jr. — Home Run OffMax Fried Exit Velo107.3 mph Angle34.0° Distance401 ft StadiumYankee Stadium
27	·Nathaniel Lowe (L)	47	·	Sean Newcomb (LHP) CLE @ CWS · Rate Field	4:00p	⚪ D	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%7.4% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.8×	CWS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.06 FIP4.14 IP1413.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+31 Weather · Rate Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note76°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
28	·Brice Turang (L)	46	·	Walker Buehler (RHP) MIL @ SD · Petco Park	10:00p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%8.0% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.1×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.07 FIP4.11 IP1350.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · Petco Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind5 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note84°F, wind 5 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
29	·Cody Bellinger (L)	46	·	Nick Martinez (RHP) TB @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	8:00p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%6.7% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.07 IP1396.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+1 Weather · Yankee Stadium cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind6 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note60°F, wind 6 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
30	·Manny Machado (R)	49	·	MIL Bullpen Proxy MIL @ SD · Petco Park	10:00p	⚪ D	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	30	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.05 FIP3.68 IP1322.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-19 Weather · Petco Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind5 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-19 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note84°F, wind 5 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)

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Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

0.0%

— flat

avg daily catch rate · vs 0.0% prior 15d

Results · 2026-10-07

scoring

⏳

Results scoring in progress

Catch-rate and HR totals for 2026-10-07 update once the night's games finish and the model collects results. Usually live by mid-morning.

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.6%

B 20.1%

C+ 17.2%

C 13.9%

D 9.1%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Results · 2026-10-07

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.