HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.69
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
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Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
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Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
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FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
7.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
139
Pool Matchups
11
HRs Allowed (Pool)
5
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
7.9%
HR Rate
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Mark Vientos | #123 | 45 | Citizens Bank Park | 99.0mph | 33.0° | 383ft |
| 2026-06-20 | Carson Benge | #150 | 39 | Citizens Bank Park | 105.4mph | 32.0° | 420ft |
| 2026-06-14 | Jackson Chourio | #39 | 62 | American Family Field | 102.6mph | 27.0° | 412ft |
| 2026-06-14 | Blake Perkins | #224 | 20 | American Family Field | 101.8mph | 27.0° | 399ft |
| 2026-06-08 | Ernie Clement | #63 | 48 | Rogers Centre | 100.0mph | 33.0° | 399ft |
| 2026-05-22 | Kyle Manzardo | #71 | 47 | Citizens Bank Park | 101.2mph | 34.0° | 364.0ft |
| 2026-04-23 | Ian Happ | #8 | 67 | Wrigley Field | 110.7mph | 32.0° | 429.0ft |
| 2026-04-23 | Seiya Suzuki | #31 | 51 | Wrigley Field | 103.6mph | 39.0° | 393.0ft |
| 2026-04-23 | Michael Busch | #89 | 35 | Wrigley Field | 106.0mph | 25.0° | 421.0ft |
| 2026-04-13 | Dansby Swanson | #72 | 47 | Citizens Bank Park | 97.5mph | 36.0° | 359.0ft |
| 2026-03-26 | Jake Burger | #81 | 40 | Citizens Bank Park | 108.1mph | 21.0° | 438.0ft |
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Zack Short | #191 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Luis Torrens | #189 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Carson Benge | #150 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-20 | Bo Bichette | #145 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Mark Vientos | #123 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marcus Semien | #106 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Juan Soto | #18 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Joey Ortiz | #227 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Blake Perkins | #224 | 20 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-14 | Luis Rengifo | #223 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | William Contreras | #162 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | David Hamilton | #156 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Andrew Vaughn | #135 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Garrett Mitchell | #128 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Jackson Chourio | #39 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-14 | Gary Sánchez | #26 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Tyler Heineman | #119 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Myles Straw | #112 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Nathan Lukes | #102 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Andrés Giménez | #98 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | George Springer | #76 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Ernie Clement | #63 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-08 | Kazuma Okamoto | #33 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #241 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Jase Bowen | #199 | 33 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Miguel Andujar | #197 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Xander Bogaerts | #179 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Jackson Merrill | #174 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Gavin Sheets | #83 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Rodolfo Durán | #77 | 51 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Manny Machado | #69 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Ty France | #19 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Freddy Fermin | #266 | 10 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #257 | 18 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Xander Bogaerts | #224 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Jackson Merrill | #210 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Nick Castellanos | #184 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Miguel Andujar | #124 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Manny Machado | #104 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Ramón Laureano | #102 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Gavin Sheets | #45 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Steven Kwan | #250 | 14 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Brayan Rocchio | #207 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Bo Naylor | #139 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Daniel Schneemann | #138 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | José Ramírez | #100 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Rhys Hoskins | #89 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Chase DeLauter | #77 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Kyle Manzardo | #71 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-22 | Angel Martínez | #62 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Jared Triolo | #260 | 6 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Nick Gonzales | #257 | 7 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Bryan Reynolds | #215 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Henry Davis | #204 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Konnor Griffin | #183 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Marcell Ozuna | #173 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Ryan O'Hearn | #161 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Oneil Cruz | #48 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Brandon Lowe | #44 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Brenton Doyle | #117 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Kyle Karros | #99 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Ezequiel Tovar | #91 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Willi Castro | #68 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Troy Johnston | #67 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | TJ Rumfield | #63 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Edouard Julien | #36 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Mickey Moniak | #17 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Hunter Goodman | #11 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Jacob Wilson | #247 | 9 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Lawrence Butler | #150 | 24 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Jeff McNeil | #149 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Denzel Clarke | #140 | 25 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Nick Kurtz | #108 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Max Muncy | #101 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Tyler Soderstrom | #100 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Carlos Cortes | #22 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Shea Langeliers | #15 | 70 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Matt Chapman | #166 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Rafael Devers | #158 | 15 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Willy Adames | #144 | 17 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Luis Arraez | #143 | 17 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Jerar Encarnacion | #123 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Patrick Bailey | #93 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Jung Hoo Lee | #79 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Heliot Ramos | #39 | 45 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Casey Schmitt | #29 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Rafael Devers | #164 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Matt Chapman | #155 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Luis Arraez | #148 | 30 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Harrison Bader | #139 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Patrick Bailey | #138 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Willy Adames | #116 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Casey Schmitt | #78 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Jung Hoo Lee | #59 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Heliot Ramos | #55 | 43 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Miguel Amaya | #104 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Michael Busch | #89 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-23 | Alex Bregman | #50 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Nico Hoerner | #46 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Matt Shaw | #38 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Seiya Suzuki | #31 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-23 | Carson Kelly | #25 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Dansby Swanson | #11 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Ian Happ | #8 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-18 | Mike Yastrzemski | #163 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Ozzie Albies | #114 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Mauricio Dubón | #79 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Austin Riley | #44 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Dominic Smith | #39 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | #38 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Michael Harris II | #33 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Drake Baldwin | #21 | 73 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Matt Olson | #5 | 85 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Nico Hoerner | #83 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Kyle Tucker | #80 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Carson Kelly | #79 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Matt Shaw | #78 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #75 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Ian Happ | #73 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Dansby Swanson | #72 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-13 | Michael Busch | #69 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Patrick Bailey | #231 | 21 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Jung Hoo Lee | #229 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Tyler Fitzgerald | #214 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Heliot Ramos | #187 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Casey Schmitt | #171 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Dominic Smith | #154 | 23 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Willy Adames | #128 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Wilmer Flores | #126 | 25 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Matt Chapman | #125 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Josh Smith | #138 | 27 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Marcus Semien | #128 | 31 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Jonah Heim | #123 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Josh Jung | #104 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Kyle Higashioka | #102 | 35 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Adolis Garcia | #101 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Jake Burger | #81 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-03-26 | Wyatt Langford | #77 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Corey Seager | #49 | 45 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |