Victor Caratini
SHB
MIN
· 83 appearances tracked
5
HRs
6.0%
HR Rate
14.3%
Avg HR/FB
89.0
Avg EV
0.103
ISO
#30
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.102
Avg EV89.5
Barrel%7.4%
HR/FB vs RHP16.2%
Avg HR Dist404
Match%8.2%
Season HR%
0.0%
14D Pace
0.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-31
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
57.4%
6
Breaking
25.2%
1
Offspeed
17.4%
0
All
100%
6.4%
7
19.5%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Jackson Jobe · RHP · MIN
SMALL SAMPLE · 3 PA · since 2024
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-1 and 1 walk across 3 plate appearances since 2024. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Target Neutral
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Edge
Weather +1
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
7.4
vs
—
HR/FB
16.2
vs
20.0 ▼ risk
K%
19.5
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
5 this season · avg 423 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Apr 13
George Kirby · T-Mobile Park
—
106.0
423.0
HR by month
Apr
All Appearances
83 tracked · 5 HR · 2 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
3
96.7
3 BIP
Aug 25
@ ATH · Gage Jump
1
101.7
1 BIP
Aug 23
@ SD · Walker Buehler
3
95.5
3 BIP
Aug 19
vs ATL · AJ Smith-Shawver
3
97.1
3 BIP
Aug 16
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
3
92.0
3 BIP
Aug 12
vs BAL · Shane Baz
4
104.7
4 BIP
Aug 10
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
1
82.4
1 BIP
Aug 9
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
2
96.8
2 BIP
Aug 7
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
2
101.5
2 BIP
Aug 6
@ KC · Michael Wacha
1
84.4
1 BIP
Aug 5
@ KC · Noah Cameron
2
96.7
2 BIP
Aug 1
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
2
96.0
2 BIP
Jul 29
vs KC · Randy Dobnak
3
104.6
3 BIP
Jul 28
vs KC · Seth Lugo
4
103.2
4 BIP
Jul 25
vs ATH · Brady Basso
3
105.4
3 BIP
Jul 24
vs ATH · Jacob Lopez
1
91.4
1 BIP
Jul 22
@ CLE · Slade Cecconi
1
95.1
1 BIP
Jul 21
@ CLE · Parker Messick
3
98.9
3 BIP
Jul 20
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
101.8
3 BIP
Jul 19
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
4
88.3
4 BIP
Jul 18
@ CHC · Matthew Boyd
4
97.3
4 BIP
Jul 11
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
2
103.7
2 BIP
Jul 8
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
3
95.7
3 BIP
Jul 5
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
3
99.6
3 BIP
Jul 3
@ NYY · Gerrit Cole
3
89.4
3 BIP
Jul 1
@ HOU · Tatsuya Imai
3
91.9
3 BIP
Jun 30
@ HOU · Mike Burrows
2
100.3
2 BIP
Jun 29
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
2
107.0
HR
2 BIP
Jun 27
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
3
91.3
3 BIP
Jun 26
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
3
102.9
3 BIP
Jun 24
vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani
3
106.4
3 BIP
Jun 23
vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski
4
100.4
HR
4 BIP
Jun 22
vs LAD · Eric Lauer
3
97.6
3 BIP
Jun 4
vs KC · Seth Lugo
4
102.9
HR
4 BIP
Jun 3
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
3
95.2
3 BIP
Jun 1
vs CWS · David Sandlin
3
100.0
3 BIP
May 30
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
3
96.4
3 BIP
May 28
@ CWS · Davis Martin
4
103.5
4 BIP
May 26
@ CWS · Sean Burke
2
95.1
2 BIP
May 24
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
2
84.9
2 BIP
May 23
@ BOS · Jovani Morán
3
98.9
3 BIP
May 22
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
0
—
—
May 20
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
3
107.2
HR
3 BIP
May 19
vs HOU · Jason Alexander
2
100.9
2 BIP
May 18
vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai
0
—
—
May 17
vs MIL · Robert Gasser
2
91.7
2 BIP
May 14
vs MIA · Braxton Garrett
3
92.5
3 BIP
May 13
vs MIA · Max Meyer
3
100.4
3 BIP
May 12
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
0
—
—
May 10
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
1
99.5
1 BIP
May 9
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
102.9
3 BIP
May 8
@ CLE · Parker Messick
1
98.1
1 BIP
May 7
@ WSH · Jake Irvin
0
—
—
May 6
@ WSH · Miles Mikolas
2
96.1
2 BIP
May 5
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
0
—
—
May 2
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
0
—
—
May 1
vs TOR · Patrick Corbin
2
95.8
2 BIP
Apr 30
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
0
—
—
Apr 28
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
2
91.5
2 BIP
Apr 27
vs SEA · Luis Castillo
0
—
—
Apr 25
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
2
75.6
2 BIP
Apr 24
@ TB · Drew Rasmussen
2
92.5
2 BIP
Apr 22
@ NYM · Clay Holmes
3
101.0
3 BIP
Apr 21
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
0
—
—
Apr 19
vs CIN · Brady Singer
5
96.8
5 BIP
Apr 18
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
0
—
—
Apr 17
vs CIN · Brandon Williamson
3
98.5
3 BIP
Apr 13
vs HOU · George Kirby
2
106.0
HR
2 BIP
Apr 12
vs HOU · Logan Gilbert
3
95.7
3 BIP
Apr 11
vs HOU · Luis Castillo
2
90.1
2 BIP
Apr 10
@ TOR · Patrick Corbin
1
80.3
1 BIP
Apr 8
vs HOU · Michael Lorenzen
4
106.0
4 BIP
Apr 7
vs HOU · Kyle Freeland
2
100.8
2 BIP
Apr 6
vs HOU · Ryan Feltner
5
104.2
5 BIP
Apr 5
vs HOU · Jacob Lopez
0
—
—
Apr 4
vs HOU · Luis Morales
3
103.4
3 BIP
Apr 1
vs BOS · Garrett Crochet
4
98.5
4 BIP
Mar 31
vs BOS · Brayan Bello
0
—
—
Mar 30
vs BOS · Ranger Suarez
2
89.5
2 BIP
Mar 29
@ BAL · Shane Baz
5
99.4
5 BIP
Mar 28
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
0
—
—
Mar 27
vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
0
—
—
Mar 26
vs LAA · José Soriano
3
97.9
3 BIP
Ballpark
Target Field · open-air
Park Factor
0.935
Wind
3 mph from WSW
Temp
82°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:40p
3 ↑
82°
+1
7:40p
2 ↑
81°
+1
8:40p
3 ↑
80°
+2
9:40p
3 ↑
79°
+2
10:40p
3 ↑
78°
+0
+1
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from NW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Mon 8/31
Dueness now
3.00×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
9 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
27 gm
since his last HR, Jun 29
Season
5 HR
83 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 4 gaps · median 9 gm · MAD ± 6.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 33 → 33
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Pitcher FIP
Park Factor
HR/FB Matchup
Exit Velocity
season hr rate
recent hr density 14d
Common questions about Victor Caratini
Will Victor Caratini hit a home run today?
Victor Caratini is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #150 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Jackson Jobe at Target Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Victor Caratini hit home runs?
Across 83 scored games this season, Victor Caratini has 5 home runs — one every 16.6 games, or about 6% of his scored games.
Has Victor Caratini homered off Jackson Jobe before?
Not yet — Victor Caratini has faced Jackson Jobe 3 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.