Rafael Flores Jr.
RHB
PIT
· 27 appearances tracked
7
HRs
25.9%
HR Rate
27.7%
Avg HR/FB
90.5
Avg EV
0.283
ISO
#8
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-09-28
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
56.7%
5
Breaking
31.2%
5
Offspeed
12.1%
1
All
100%
15.0%
11
27.4%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
27.4
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
7 this season · avg 407 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Sep 8
@ CWS · José Urquidy
—
98.2
372
Sep 20
vs KC · Nate Pearson
—
110.2
426
Sep 25
@ DET · Andrew Sears
—
105.1
422
HR by month
Sep
All Appearances
27 tracked · 7 HR · 18 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 25
@ DET · Jackson Jobe
3
105.1
HR
3 BIP
Sep 23
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
107.5
3 BIP
Sep 20
vs KC · Michael Wacha
2
110.2
HR
2 BIP
Sep 19
vs KC · Noah Cameron
3
97.7
3 BIP
Sep 17
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
1
92.3
1 BIP
Sep 16
vs MIL · Logan Henderson
2
107.6
HR
2 BIP
Sep 15
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
4
98.5
4 BIP
Sep 13
@ CHC · Matthew Boyd
2
101.1
2 BIP
Sep 11
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
3
104.0
3 BIP
Sep 10
@ CWS · Hagen Smith
2
104.3
2 BIP
Sep 9
@ CWS · Davis Martin
4
103.7
4 BIP
Sep 8
@ CWS · Sean Burke
5
104.8
HR
5 BIP
Sep 5
vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
4
107.9
4 BIP
Sep 3
vs SF · Blade Tidwell
3
98.5
3 BIP
Sep 2
vs SF · Landen Roupp
3
105.0
3 BIP
Aug 30
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
2
103.3
2 BIP
Aug 29
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
2
108.6
HR
2 BIP
Aug 28
@ STL · Quinn Mathews
2
96.0
2 BIP
Aug 26
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
3
83.0
3 BIP
Aug 23
@ LAD · Blake Snell
1
83.4
1 BIP
Aug 22
@ LAD · Tarik Skubal
2
79.8
2 BIP
Aug 18
vs DET · Keider Montero
2
107.2
2 BIP
Aug 17
vs DET · Framber Valdez
1
99.8
1 BIP
Aug 16
vs BOS · Patrick Sandoval
1
94.4
1 BIP
Aug 15
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
2
96.8
2 BIP
Aug 14
vs BOS · Jake Bennett
4
104.4
HR
4 BIP
Aug 13
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
3
106.3
HR
3 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
0.00×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
5 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
0 gm
since his last HR, Sep 25
Season
7 HR
27 games · 3 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 6 gaps · median 5 gm · MAD ± 2.5 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Rafael Flores Jr.
Will Rafael Flores Jr. hit a home run today?
Rafael Flores Jr. is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 7 times in 27 scored games (about 26% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Rafael Flores Jr. hit home runs?
Across 27 scored games this season, Rafael Flores Jr. has 7 home runs — one every 3.9 games, or about 26% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.