Ildemaro Vargas
AZ
· 117 appearances tracked
5
HRs
4.3%
HR Rate
20.9%
Avg HR/FB
87.2
Avg EV
0.186
ISO
#11
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
56.7%
7
Breaking
21.3%
1
Offspeed
21.9%
1
All
100%
3.2%
9
9.9%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
9.9
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
5 this season · avg 422 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
May 12
MacKenzie Gore · Globe Life Field
—
103.9
422.0
HR by month
May
All Appearances
117 tracked · 5 HR · 8 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 26
@ SD · Walker Buehler
0
—
—
Sep 25
@ SD · SD Bullpen Proxy
0
—
—
Sep 22
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
4
107.9
4 BIP
Sep 18
vs NYY · Gerrit Cole
1
65.1
1 BIP
Sep 16
vs MIA · Ryan Gusto
0
—
—
Sep 15
vs MIA · Janson Junk
2
98.3
2 BIP
Sep 14
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
0
—
—
Sep 12
vs TEX · Kumar Rocker
3
96.1
3 BIP
Sep 11
vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore
4
98.9
4 BIP
Sep 9
@ KC · Daniel Lynch IV
2
98.6
2 BIP
Sep 7
@ KC · Noah Cameron
4
93.9
4 BIP
Sep 6
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
4
97.2
4 BIP
Sep 2
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
3
92.4
3 BIP
Sep 1
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
3
104.7
3 BIP
Aug 31
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
3
106.2
3 BIP
Aug 29
@ SF · Matt Wilkinson
8
99.1
8 BIP
Aug 28
@ SF · Blade Tidwell
4
91.1
4 BIP
Aug 27
@ SF · Landen Roupp
3
100.3
3 BIP
Aug 26
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
3
99.1
3 BIP
Aug 25
vs CHC · Clay Holmes
3
88.6
3 BIP
Aug 24
vs CHC · Kevin Gausman
2
83.4
2 BIP
Aug 23
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
4
105.8
4 BIP
Aug 22
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
3
103.9
3 BIP
Aug 21
vs CIN · Nick Lodolo
5
98.4
5 BIP
Aug 19
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
4
107.1
4 BIP
Aug 18
@ BOS · Ranger Suarez
3
104.1
3 BIP
Aug 17
@ BOS · Alec Gamboa
4
98.4
4 BIP
Aug 15
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
5
105.4
HR
5 BIP
Aug 14
@ ATL · Chris Sale
4
80.0
4 BIP
Aug 11
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
3
98.5
3 BIP
Aug 10
vs COL · Gabriel Hughes
2
89.8
2 BIP
Aug 9
vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski
3
101.0
3 BIP
Aug 7
vs LAD · Roki Sasaki
0
—
—
Aug 6
vs SD · Walker Buehler
0
—
—
Aug 5
vs SD · Casey Mize
5
104.5
5 BIP
Aug 4
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
0
—
—
Aug 3
vs SD · Michael King
1
65.1
1 BIP
Aug 2
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
2
99.6
2 BIP
Aug 1
@ CLE · Parker Messick
3
105.4
3 BIP
Jul 29
@ PIT · Jared Jones
2
106.5
2 BIP
Jul 27
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
4
97.8
4 BIP
Jul 25
@ WSH · Foster Griffin
4
86.6
4 BIP
Jul 23
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
5
104.0
5 BIP
Jul 22
vs ATH · Gage Jump
4
100.7
4 BIP
Jul 21
vs ATH · Jack Perkins
4
104.1
4 BIP
Jul 20
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
3
105.7
3 BIP
Jul 17
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
4
97.9
4 BIP
Jul 12
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
4
101.5
4 BIP
Jul 10
@ LAD · Kyle Hurt
2
95.2
2 BIP
Jul 9
@ SD · Griffin Canning
1
93.4
1 BIP
Jul 8
@ SD · Michael King
3
100.8
3 BIP
Jul 7
@ SD · Germán Márquez
0
—
—
Jul 6
@ SD · Walker Buehler
4
98.0
4 BIP
Jul 5
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
3
93.1
3 BIP
Jul 4
vs MIL · Brandon Woodruff
3
109.4
3 BIP
Jul 3
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
4
101.1
4 BIP
Jul 1
vs SF · Trevor McDonald
0
—
—
Jun 30
vs SF · Landen Roupp
0
—
—
Jun 29
vs SF · Tyler Mahle
0
—
—
Jun 28
@ TB · Drew Rasmussen
3
85.0
3 BIP
Jun 25
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
0
—
—
Jun 24
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
4
102.0
4 BIP
Jun 21
vs MIN · Mike Paredes
3
93.1
3 BIP
Jun 20
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
3
104.8
3 BIP
Jun 19
vs MIN · Connor Prielipp
3
107.0
3 BIP
Jun 17
vs LAA · Sam Aldegheri
2
85.5
2 BIP
Jun 16
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
3
92.0
3 BIP
Jun 15
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
0
—
—
Jun 14
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
106.6
3 BIP
Jun 12
@ CIN · Nick Lodolo
3
81.9
3 BIP
Jun 10
@ MIA · Ryan Gusto
3
100.9
3 BIP
Jun 5
vs WSH · Foster Griffin
0
—
—
Jun 4
vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski
2
99.7
2 BIP
Jun 3
vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani
3
97.3
3 BIP
Jun 2
vs LAD · Eric Lauer
4
97.5
4 BIP
Jun 1
vs LAD · Emmet Sheehan
3
88.9
3 BIP
May 31
@ SEA · Bryce Miller
4
103.4
4 BIP
May 30
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
3
103.0
3 BIP
May 29
@ SEA · George Kirby
5
98.2
5 BIP
May 27
@ SF · Trevor McDonald
3
100.4
3 BIP
May 26
@ SF · Tyler Mahle
3
106.4
3 BIP
May 24
vs COL · Jose Quintana
2
97.5
2 BIP
May 22
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
4
94.1
4 BIP
May 21
vs COL · Zach Agnos
3
95.7
3 BIP
May 20
vs SF · Tyler Mahle
4
87.8
4 BIP
May 19
vs SF · Landen Roupp
4
92.6
4 BIP
May 18
vs SF · Robbie Ray
5
98.7
5 BIP
May 17
@ COL · Michael Lorenzen
5
105.1
5 BIP
May 16
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
4
100.8
4 BIP
May 15
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
5
102.4
5 BIP
May 13
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
4
100.3
4 BIP
May 12
@ TEX · MacKenzie Gore
4
103.9
HR
4 BIP
May 11
@ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
3
93.2
3 BIP
May 10
vs NYM · Huascar Brazobán
3
82.5
3 BIP
May 9
vs NYM · Clay Holmes
4
96.6
4 BIP
May 8
vs NYM · Nolan McLean
3
99.5
3 BIP
May 7
vs PIT · Mitch Keller
3
91.6
3 BIP
May 6
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
3
90.9
3 BIP
May 5
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
5
95.4
5 BIP
May 3
@ CHC · Matthew Boyd
4
106.8
4 BIP
May 2
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
4
104.2
4 BIP
May 1
@ CHC · Colin Rea
4
109.0
4 BIP
Apr 30
@ MIL · Brandon Woodruff
4
108.2
4 BIP
Apr 29
@ MIL · Brandon Sproat
4
92.8
4 BIP
Apr 28
@ MIL · Chad Patrick
3
87.4
3 BIP
Apr 26
vs SD · Michael King
4
102.1
HR
4 BIP
Apr 25
vs SD · Germán Márquez
4
101.2
4 BIP
Apr 23
vs CWS · Davis Martin
4
105.0
4 BIP
Apr 22
vs CWS · Anthony Kay
4
107.1
HR
4 BIP
Apr 21
vs CWS · Sean Burke
0
—
—
Apr 19
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
3
100.6
3 BIP
Apr 18
vs TOR · Max Scherzer
3
93.6
3 BIP
Apr 17
vs TOR · Eric Lauer
3
90.4
3 BIP
Apr 15
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
5
99.4
5 BIP
Apr 14
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
3
99.2
HR
3 BIP
Apr 12
@ PHI · Andrew Painter
4
105.4
4 BIP
Apr 10
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
2
82.7
2 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
1.93×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
14 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
27 gm
since his last HR, Aug 15
Season
5 HR
117 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 4 gaps · median 14 gm · MAD ± 9.5 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Ildemaro Vargas
Will Ildemaro Vargas hit a home run today?
Ildemaro Vargas is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 5 times in 117 scored games (about 4% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Ildemaro Vargas hit home runs?
Across 117 scored games this season, Ildemaro Vargas has 5 home runs — one every 23.4 games, or about 4% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.